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Brief Analysis
Demise of Syria’s “Second Lady” Shakes Up the Assad Regime
Although separating fact from fiction inside the Assad regime is often difficult, Luna al-Shibl’s death is likely a harbinger of further internal changes at a sensitive international juncture.
۱۵ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
Erik Yavorsky
Andrew J. Tabler
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Injecting New Blood into Militias: The Gradual Takeover of Iraqi Higher Education by the Popular Mobilization Forces
By firmly resisting the takeover of higher education by pro-Iran faculty and students, the United States can prevent the militias from recruiting the next generation of fighters.
۱۲ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
Jawad Mahdi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How a Defunct U.S. Initiative from 2004 Continues to Fuel Anti-Americanism in Turkey
Regional backlash against Washington’s unilateral interventionist policies, viewing the region only through security lenses, lack of social, economic, and cultural policies, and U.S. support for authoritarian regimes has created the conditions for conspiracy theories such as BOP.
۱۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
Hasim Tekines
Video
Brief Analysis
Countering Chinese and Russian Influence in North Africa
The U.S. ambassador to Tunisia joins three Washington Institute experts to discuss the evolution of great power competition in North Africa.
۱۰ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
Joey Hood
Anna Borshchevskaya
Ben Fishman
Grant Rumley
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Jihadist Governance and Statecraft
In this anthology, contributors discuss the policy challenges associated with an emerging phenomenon, but disabuse readers of any notion that jihadist governance and statecraft should be equated with political moderation.
۱۰ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
Devorah Margolin
Aaron Y. Zelin
◆
Jihadist Governance and Statecraft
Brief Analysis
Talking Nicely with Pezeshkian While Postponing Major Steps
Iran’s new reformist president will need time to generate consensus at home before making any significant foreign policy moves; Washington should do the same.
۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
How the EU’s Plan to Replace Russian Gas Exposes Challenges in Algeria’s Energy Sector
A promising cross-Mediterranean initiative has run into political challenges, burdensome investment laws, methane leaks, and other hurdles.
۴ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
Sabina Henneberg
Noam Raydan
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Are the Houthis Attacking Ships in the Mediterranean?
Direct strikes from the Yemeni group are unlikely at the moment, but a more aggressive Hezbollah could alter the threat picture.
۳ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
Noam Raydan
Farzin Nadimi
◆
Maritime Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
Europe Can Still Make a Difference in the Middle East
The challenge is to find a common line that accounts for different national positions on regional issues while still promoting a coherent foreign policy.
۲ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
Ehud Yaari
Video
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah-Israel Escalation: Prospects for War
A former Israeli military planner joins three experts to discuss each side’s current calculus and the U.S. policy implications if they opt for war or a truce.
۲ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
Matthew Levitt
Hanin Ghaddar
David Schenker
Assaf Orion
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Addressing the Inequality and Despair Driving Kurdish Migration to Europe
Only by working to address internal issues can the KRI hope to stem the tide of both irregular migration and the loss of its most valuable human capital.
۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
Ruwayda Mustafah
Brief Analysis
Israel Plans to Hike Gas Output Despite Hezbollah Threats
The deal could eventually boost supplies to Egypt, though Hezbollah’s robust missile arsenal and public threats against East Mediterranean energy targets may dampen broader regional investment in the sector.
۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
Simon Henderson
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Nujaba and AAH Argue Over Whether Asaib Is Still a Resistance Player
Asaib Ahl al-Haq cannot seem to decide whether it has detached from anti-U.S. militancy or not, causing other militias to tie themselves in rhetorical knots over the group's public credentials.
۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
Hamdi Malik
◆
Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
What If Gaza’s “Day After” Converges with the Day After Abbas?
If the PA leadership collapses under the weight of Israeli pressure and West Bank deterioration, the result could be a destabilizing reset in the Palestinian arena and a postwar void in Gaza.
۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
Neomi Neumann
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Four U.S.-Designated Terrorist Groups Rush to Support Judge Faeq Zaidan
Iran-backed militias were quick to defend the judge after he was accused of being a tool for Iranian influence.
۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۴
◆
Amir al-Kaabi
◆
Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Dueling Summits Show the Need to Enlist Arab Support on Ukraine
Key Middle East actors tend to distrust the U.S. narrative about the war and conclude they can reap better economic benefits from Russia, so Washington should do more to get them off the sidelines.
۲۸ ژوئن ۲۰۲۴
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Carrier Gap Increases the Red Sea’s Vulnerability to Houthi Attacks
To fill the capabilities gap between carrier groups and prepare for potential Houthi escalation in the next few weeks, the United States and its partners need to implement stopgap measures and, ideally, surge more military assets into the region temporarily.
۲۸ ژوئن ۲۰۲۴
◆
Elizabeth Dent
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Saraya Awliya al-Dam Finds New Mission in Israel Attacks
The brand appears to have been reactivated by its parent organization, Kataib Sayyid al-Shuhada, to claim certain attacks on Israel during the Gaza war.
۲۷ ژوئن ۲۰۲۴
◆
Michael Knights
◆
Militia Spotlight
In-Depth Reports
Evaluating UNRWA After the Colonna Report
The obvious nature of multiple recommendations points to scandalous mismanagement at the UN aid agency over decades.
۲۷ ژوئن ۲۰۲۴
◆
James G. Lindsay
Brief Analysis
Khamenei’s Second-Round Dilemmas
Allowing a runoff in the presidential election is a somewhat risky move for the Supreme Leader, but engineering a one-round outcome would raise domestic problems of its own.
۲۷ ژوئن ۲۰۲۴
◆
Patrick Clawson
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