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Brief Analysis
Saudi Palace Politics Gain Pace
A media revelation about King Salman preparing a video declaring it is time for Muhammad bin Salman to replace him could accelerate changes in order to preempt opposition from other royal quarters.
۲۰ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Jordanians Protest Conviction of Sergeant Who Killed U.S. Troops
The latest demonstrations are unusual in that they highlight the divergence of the Western-oriented palace from much of the Jordanian people, who according to polling do not like the United States very much.
۱۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
The Best Thing America Built in Iraq:
Iraq's Counter Terrorism Service and the Long War Against Militancy
A compact size, high pay, and rigorous standards have helped the service thrive, but now it needs sustained support to become a lasting monument to U.S. good intentions in Iraq.
۱۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
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Michael Knights
Alex Almeida
Articles & Testimony
On Bombing Anniversary, Iran Still Engaged in Illicit Activity
Working through its proxy Hezbollah, the Islamic Republic continues to support terrorist plots across the globe and to raise significant sums through illegal smuggling, including in South America's Triborder Area.
۱۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
What to Expect From the State Department's Annual Counterterrorism Report
Areas of focus will likely include a damaged but still dangerous Islamic State, a regrouping al-Qaeda, and the wide network fielded by Iran and its proxy Hezbollah.
۱۸ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
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Matthew Levitt
Katherine Bauer
Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
Turkey Can Ally with Syria's Kurds Someday
Most Kurds are now seeking rights in their respective countries, while downplaying the pan-Kurdish dream, giving Turkey more room to separate the PYD from the PKK instead of lumping them together.
۱۸ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
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David Pollock
Brief Analysis
The Ceasefire and U.S. Interests on the Jordan-Syria Border
By setting limits on Iranian deployments in southern Syria, Washington could insulate Jordan from problems on the border and encourage Iranian caution in the east, potentially decreasing the likelihood there of a U.S.-Iran clash.
۱۷ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
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David Schenker
Hanin Ghaddar
Articles & Testimony
The Loneliness of Recep Tayyip Erdogan
Erdogan's lifelong resentment of secularists has decimated Turkish democracy.
۱۵ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Confidence- and Security-Building Measures in the Nineveh Plains
In the aftermath of Mosul's liberation, the adjacent Nineveh Plains could be a cockpit for new ethno-sectarian conflict or a test case of cooperative security arrangements, with the anti-IS coalition having strong incentives to ensure the latter.
۱۴ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
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Michael Knights
Yousif Kalian
Articles & Testimony
Why Trump's Syrian Ceasefire Makes Israel Nervous
The tepid response to the deal by Israeli prime minister Binyamin Netanyahu can be summed up in one word: Iran.
۱۴ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
The Caliphate Project in Iraq Post-Mosul
Destroying the vestiges of IS governance will not eliminate the group -- which will continue to pose an insurgent and terrorist threat -- but it will remove any arguments the jihadists might be inclined to make about the near-term viability of their state.
۱۳ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
The Qatar Crisis on the Mediterranean's Shores
Secretary Tillerson should bear in mind that his diplomatic efforts over Qatar's role in the Middle East will have significant implications for the balance of power in Libya, not just the Gulf.
۱۲ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
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Ben Fishman
Brief Analysis
Construction Begins at New Amona Settlement
For any observer of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict who views settlement expansion as an impediment to peacemaking, the latest developments suggest difficulties ahead.
۱۲ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
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Mitchel Hochberg
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The United States and Saudi Arabia Have More In Common Than Mere Interests
July 12, 2017 The conventional wisdom in Washington has long been that the United States and Saudi Arabia have important mutual interests that sustain their bilateral relations, but they do not adhere to the same core values. That assumption is in need of reassessment. Over the past two decades, Saudi
۱۲ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
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Fahad Nazer
Brief Analysis
An Opening for the Syrian Regime in Deir al-Zour
Events on the ground are fluid in the eastern Syrian city and province, but dynamics suggest Syrian forces and their backers will prevail over the Islamic State and U.S.-supported fighters.
۱۲ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
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Fabrice Balanche
Articles & Testimony
Why Latest Syria Ceasefire Is Exactly What Putin Wanted
As long as Putin keeps control of the narrative in Syria, he can forestall a resolution that compromises Russian interests.
۱۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
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Anna Borshchevskaya
In-Depth Reports
Kuwait: Democracy Trumps Reform
With Secretary of State Rex Tillerson now in Kuwait to support its mediating role in a severe intra-Arab crisis, an analysis of that country's unusual political and social dynamics is particularly timely. Relative to its neighbors, Kuwait is indeed a sort of middle ground in terms of several key issues
۱۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
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David Pollock
Will the Gulf Crisis Blow Up the Middle East?
A discussion of what's at stake in the region, how to evaluate the situation, and the roles of Israel and Iran.
۱۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Will Iranian President Rouhani's Second Term Be Different?
Although Rouhani is a skillful politician who convinced the Iranian leadership to go along with the nuclear deal, he likely will not be in a position to wield similar influence over his country's regional activities.
۱۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
Omer Carmi
Brief Analysis
Addressing Iranian Weapons Smuggling and the Humanitarian Situation in Yemen
Reenergized and more-targeted maritime interdiction operations could reduce Iranian support for the Houthis while helping respond to Yemen's humanitarian crisis.
۱۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
Eric Pelofsky
Jeremy Vaughan
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