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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
For Syrian Kurds, Western Sympathy Isn’t Enough
January 8, 2018 Hardly any event attended by Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan and other Turkish officials passes without mention of the threat the People’s Protection Unit (YPG) poses to Turkey’s national security followed by threats that a military campaign to destroy the YPG is only a matter of time
۸ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۸
◆
Youssef Sheiko
Brief Analysis
Rouhani's Protest Paradox
If the protests intensify, President Rouhani may be hard pressed to unravel his greatest dilemma: how to honor his economic and reform promises while preserving his decades-long commitment to the regime's core principles.
۸ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۸
◆
Omer Carmi
Brief Analysis
Iran's Coercive Apparatus: Capacity and Desire
A closer look at the structure and tactics of the many-headed internal security network that the Islamic Republic has deployed to crack down on protestors nationwide.
۵ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۸
◆
Saeid Golkar
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Is There a Coherent EU Policy Towards the Iranian Crisis?
January 5, 2018 After several days of demonstrations, protests, and civilian deaths as a result of clashes with security forces, the EU, through a spokeswoman for EU Foreign Policy chief Federica Mogherini, cautiously put out statements urging “restraint” and saying it was “monitoring the situation” after having “been in touch
۵ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۸
◆
Magnus Norell
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iran Protests: Mild Arab Official Reactions, Strong Public Ire at Iran
January 5, 2018 As street protests persist against the regime in Iran, Arab official reaction so far has been surprisingly restrained. Typically, a prominent op-ed this week by Abdul Rahman al-Rashed in the flagship Saudi media website, Al-Arabiya, urged not regime change but merely policy changes in Tehran. This reticence
۵ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۸
◆
David Pollock
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Terrorists, Not Kharijites
January 5, 2018 The use of the term “Kharijite,” an Islamic sect that is well-known in Islamic history and heritage, has accompanied the emergence of the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria to the point where the term “Kharijite” is used today to directly refer to the organization. Just as
۵ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۸
◆
Saud Al-Sharafat
Brief Analysis
Provinces Lead the Center in Iran's Protests
As ethnic minorities and poverty-stricken provincial communities assume a greater role in nationwide unrest, the regime will likely try to pit them against each other.
۴ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۸
◆
Brenda Shaffer
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
What Caused the KRG Miscalculation on the Independence Referendum?
January 03, 2018 The Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) conducted the independence referendum on 25 September 2017. Of the 72.16 percent of eligible voters in the Kurdistan Region and the disputed territories that cast their votes, 92.73 percent favored separation from Iraq despite vehement opposition both internally and externally. The KRG
۳ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۸
◆
Akiko Yoshioka
Articles & Testimony
Moscow’s Message on Iran Has Been Cautious and Almost Neutral
The muted response to the protests may stem from Russia's reliance on Iranian assistance in Syria and its dearth of other regional partners.
۳ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۸
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Oil and the Constitution: Kurdistan vs. Baghdad
January 03, 2018 There is an argument that natural resource abundance is associated with slow growth, greater inequality, and poverty for a majority of a country’s population. Therefore, natural resource wealth has a two-way path: it can lead to economic growth and development, or it can drop the country into
۳ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۸
Articles & Testimony
Shifts in the Demographic Profile of Hezbollah’s Combat Fatalities: What Do They Mean?
The group's efforts to increase recruitment in certain areas of Lebanon have helped it continue the fight in Syria, but they could cause internal fissures down the road.
۲ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۸
◆
Kendall Bianchi
Articles & Testimony
Iranians Are Mad as Hell About Their Foreign Policy
The more the regime believes that its foreign adventures threaten its internal foundations, the more likely it will be to temper its behavior.
۲ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۸
◆
Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
The Protesters in Iran Need Real Help from Washington
The sign of a successful policy response will be its ability to remain relevant whether the demonstrations gather steam or subside.
۲ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۸
◆
Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
Middle East's Dull Response to Jerusalem Decision Shouldn't Come as a Surprise
The various regional actors who galvanized past protests have lost much of their legitimacy in recent years.
۲۹ دسامبر ۲۰۱۷
◆
Haisam Hassanein
Wesam Hassanein
Articles & Testimony
The Fantasy of an International Jerusalem
One hundred years ago, over a lunch, the internationalization of Jerusalem became irrelevant, and it remains so today.
۲۸ دسامبر ۲۰۱۷
◆
Martin Kramer
تحلیل کوتاه
تقویت نیروهای امنیتی عراق
نهادهای امنیتی فعلی عراق نیاز به تقویت دارند، و نیروهای بسیج مردمی موسوم به «حشد شعبی» میتوانند به کمک نیروهای ائتلاف در این فرآیند گنجانده شوند.
۲۷ دسامبر ۲۰۱۷
◆
اسماعیل السودانی
مایکل نایتز
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
To Save Syria, Assad Must Step Down
At this current juncture there is not a viable path for either Syrian rebel forces nor for the opposition to win the war on their own. Saving Syria requires international cooperation by executing an effective plan to end the crisis. The best way forward is for the United States to
۲۶ دسامبر ۲۰۱۷
◆
Oula A. Alrifai
Articles & Testimony
The Tactical Side of Russia's Arms Sales to the Middle East
Putin continues to use weapons deals as a tool for gaining political influence and changing power dynamics abroad, courting virtually every government in the region.
۲۲ دسامبر ۲۰۱۷
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
Iran after Sanctions: Military Procurement and Force-Structure Decisions
Washington and its Gulf Arab partners should collectively hinder Tehran's efforts to close capability gaps, modernize its military, and develop its Shia foreign legion into a more effective expeditionary force.
۲۱ دسامبر ۲۰۱۷
◆
Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Israel's Gas Disappointment
The country's continuing political and commercial challenges, including limited export possibilities, are hampering development of its Eastern Mediterranean natural gas.
۲۱ دسامبر ۲۰۱۷
◆
Simon Henderson
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