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برجام زیر شمشیر داموکلس (بخش دوم) : یک راه میانه؟ پالیسی واچ ۲۸۶۸
تهدید به عدم تصدیق توافق اتمی از سوی رئیس جمهور آمریکا به دولت این کشور فرصتی برای تعامل با کسانی را مهیا میسازد که مایلند این توافق حفظ شود. از اینرو، رئیس جمهور باید به جای رویکرد «یا همه چیز یا هیچ»، از این اهرم به شکلی معقول استفاده کند.
۶ اکتبر ۲۰۱۷
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کاترین باوئر
پاتریک کلاوسون
Articles & Testimony
Decertifying the Iran Deal Wouldn't Have to Kill It
European leaders surely do not want the U.S. to walk away from the JCPOA. But their room to maneuver is politically limited, given Mr. Trump's unpopularity in their countries. Responding to the White House on Iran will prove difficult for them unless Mr. Trump changes his tone and emphasizes that
۶ اکتبر ۲۰۱۷
◆
Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
An Opening for Jihadists in Southeast Asia
Myanmar's growing humanitarian crisis is fueling calls for jihad by global extremist groups and threatening to draw Middle East and Asian fighters into a new front.
۶ اکتبر ۲۰۱۷
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Jay Solomon
Brief Analysis
Are Shia Dynamics in Iraq and Lebanon Turning Against Iran?
If Iraqi Shia reject Tehran's call for a unified bloc in next year's elections, it could have welcome implications for the future of Iranian influence in Baghdad -- and Beirut.
۵ اکتبر ۲۰۱۷
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Hanin Ghaddar
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Tattoo Sectarianism
October 05, 2017 There is not a war in the world that does not bring misfortune. Even if Hezbollah wins the Syrian war, sharp divisions among the Lebanese Shia will remain. The war has exacerbated the phenomenon of sectarianism in a variety of ways. Day after day, the region’s poor
۵ اکتبر ۲۰۱۷
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Hala Nasrallah
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Radical Change of the Tunisian Peaceful Revolution
October 05, 2017 As the birthplace of the Arab Spring, Tunisia has proven to be an oddity. While other Arab Spring countries have experienced varying levels of war, mayhem, and authoritarian crack-downs, Tunisia has remained on a path of peaceful change. The absence of violence, however, should not be mistaken
۵ اکتبر ۲۰۱۷
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Ahmed Gaaloul
Brief Analysis
King Salman's Moscow Visit Overshadowed by Past Tensions
The two countries have found themselves at odds on several decades' worth of regional issues, but Riyadh may finally be coming around to Moscow's views on Syria, energy, and trade.
۴ اکتبر ۲۰۱۷
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Why Israel Is Cheering On Iraqi Kurds' Push for Independence
A discussion on how the relationship has evolved to the point where Israel was the only regional government encouraging rather than decrying the KRG referendum.
۴ اکتبر ۲۰۱۷
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Bilal Wahab
Articles & Testimony
Iran's Shadow over Lebanon
Beirut's tilt toward Tehran has dangerous implications when it comes to countering Sunni radicalization.
۴ اکتبر ۲۰۱۷
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
How to Contain and Roll Back Iranian-Backed Militias
A six-step plan that can help U.S. officials actively counter Tehran's efforts to deploy its inexpensive proxy forces throughout the Middle East.
۴ اکتبر ۲۰۱۷
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Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
How to Get Regime Change Right
A former ambassador offers concrete guidelines for engaging in regional interventions when necessary, and for avoiding the disastrous mistakes of the past.
۳ اکتبر ۲۰۱۷
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James Jeffrey
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Unique Saudi Poll Shows Moderate Majority, But Sectarian Split
October 03, 2017 The startling news that Saudi Arabia plans to let women drive aroused surprisingly mixed reactions among key kingdom-watchers. There is general satisfaction that Riyadh is really reforming at long last, but also some apprehension about a possible reactionary backlash. This points to a larger issue that is
۳ اکتبر ۲۰۱۷
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David Pollock
Video
Brief Analysis
After the Kurdish Referendum: Regional Implications
Watch experts discuss the potential fallout from the September 25 independence vote in Iraqi Kurdistan.
۳ اکتبر ۲۰۱۷
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Michael Knights
David Pollock
Bilal Wahab
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
In Tunisia’s War on Corruption, Local Government is on the Front Line
October 2, 2017 Seven years after the Jasmine Revolution toppled the graft-ridden dictatorship of Zine el-Abidine Ben Ali, corruption remains one of the top concerns of average Tunisians. With the launch of Prime Minister Youssef Chahed’s “war on corruption” in May 2017, many Tunisians hope that they may finally see
۲ اکتبر ۲۰۱۷
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Brian Braun
Eguiar Lizundia
Brief Analysis
Survey: Qatari Public Wants Compromise, Not Iran's Help
The findings strongly suggest that, to maintain his popularity, the emir should seek a middle-ground exit from Qatar's standoff with other Arab states.
۲ اکتبر ۲۰۱۷
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David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Cairo Bombing Exposes the Muslim Brotherhood's Jihadist Tilt
This weekend's embassy attack demonstrates that Brotherhood-aligned militants are becoming a more formidable threat, so Washington should designate them accordingly.
۲ اکتبر ۲۰۱۷
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Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
The Urgent U.S. Role in Post-Referendum Kurdistan
The Iraqi Kurds have angered their neighbors, but imminent punitive measures could quickly strengthen Iran and disrupt the campaign against the Islamic State.
۲۹ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۷
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Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
A Field Trip to the Front Lines of the Qatar-Saudi Cold War
The ongoing Gulf crisis is seen as an almost childish indulgence in Washington and Europe, but diplomacy and PR campaigns have made little progress in bringing it to an end.
۲۸ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۷
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Iran's New Ballistic Missile May Have North Korean ICBM Links
The recent reveal indicates strong technical cooperation with Pyongyang, raising concerns that Iran might be on the path to developing a nuclear-capable ICBM down the road.
۲۷ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۷
◆
Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
Is Saudi Arabia Really Changing?
A woman's right to drive has much to say about the influence of the kingdom's hardline clerics and the prospects for deep, lasting reform.
۲۷ سپتامبر ۲۰۱۷
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Simon Henderson
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