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Brief Analysis
Confidence- and Security-Building Measures in the Nineveh Plains
In the aftermath of Mosul's liberation, the adjacent Nineveh Plains could be a cockpit for new ethno-sectarian conflict or a test case of cooperative security arrangements, with the anti-IS coalition having strong incentives to ensure the latter.
۱۴ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
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Michael Knights
Yousif Kalian
Brief Analysis
The Caliphate Project in Iraq Post-Mosul
Destroying the vestiges of IS governance will not eliminate the group -- which will continue to pose an insurgent and terrorist threat -- but it will remove any arguments the jihadists might be inclined to make about the near-term viability of their state.
۱۳ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Construction Begins at New Amona Settlement
For any observer of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict who views settlement expansion as an impediment to peacemaking, the latest developments suggest difficulties ahead.
۱۲ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
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Mitchel Hochberg
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The United States and Saudi Arabia Have More In Common Than Mere Interests
July 12, 2017 The conventional wisdom in Washington has long been that the United States and Saudi Arabia have important mutual interests that sustain their bilateral relations, but they do not adhere to the same core values. That assumption is in need of reassessment. Over the past two decades, Saudi
۱۲ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
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Fahad Nazer
Brief Analysis
An Opening for the Syrian Regime in Deir al-Zour
Events on the ground are fluid in the eastern Syrian city and province, but dynamics suggest Syrian forces and their backers will prevail over the Islamic State and U.S.-supported fighters.
۱۲ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
The Qatar Crisis on the Mediterranean's Shores
Secretary Tillerson should bear in mind that his diplomatic efforts over Qatar's role in the Middle East will have significant implications for the balance of power in Libya, not just the Gulf.
۱۲ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
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Ben Fishman
Articles & Testimony
Will Iranian President Rouhani's Second Term Be Different?
Although Rouhani is a skillful politician who convinced the Iranian leadership to go along with the nuclear deal, he likely will not be in a position to wield similar influence over his country's regional activities.
۱۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
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Omer Carmi
Brief Analysis
Addressing Iranian Weapons Smuggling and the Humanitarian Situation in Yemen
Reenergized and more-targeted maritime interdiction operations could reduce Iranian support for the Houthis while helping respond to Yemen's humanitarian crisis.
۱۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
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Eric Pelofsky
Jeremy Vaughan
Articles & Testimony
Why Latest Syria Ceasefire Is Exactly What Putin Wanted
As long as Putin keeps control of the narrative in Syria, he can forestall a resolution that compromises Russian interests.
۱۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
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Anna Borshchevskaya
In-Depth Reports
Kuwait: Democracy Trumps Reform
With Secretary of State Rex Tillerson now in Kuwait to support its mediating role in a severe intra-Arab crisis, an analysis of that country's unusual political and social dynamics is particularly timely. Relative to its neighbors, Kuwait is indeed a sort of middle ground in terms of several key issues
۱۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
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David Pollock
Will the Gulf Crisis Blow Up the Middle East?
A discussion of what's at stake in the region, how to evaluate the situation, and the roles of Israel and Iran.
۱۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
The Foolhardy Crisis With U.S. Jews That Threatens Israel's National Security
Israelis must recognize that the American aid that has deterred major wars since 1973 is not automatic, and U.S. Jews are instrumental in securing it.
۱۰ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
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David Makovsky
Dov Zakheim
Articles & Testimony
Mosul Defeat a Blow to IS, but Not the End
Risks include a burgeoning jihadist insurgency in areas retaken from the group more than two years ago, including Diyala province, where Iran-backed militias have exacerbated matters by engaging in collective punishment.
۱۰ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
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Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
What Trump Should Have Asked Putin For: Ground Rules for the U.S.-Russia Relationship
A sensible approach would entail cooperation where U.S. and Russian interests converge, such as on proliferation, terrorism, and drugs, and management where they differ, such as on Iran.
۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
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Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
Terrorists and Territory: What Jordan Can Teach Us About Managing Jihadists
The Hashemite Kingdom, known for its effectiveness in fighting terrorism, illustrates how a country can manage jihadists at home without needing to eradicate them.
۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
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Jacob Olidort
Articles & Testimony
Terrorists and Territory: What Jordan Can Teach Us about Managing Jihadists
The Hashemite Kingdom, known for its effectiveness in fighting terrorism, illustrates how a country can manage jihadists at home without needing to eradicate them.
۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
Jacob Olidort
Articles & Testimony
One Year on from the Failed Coup, Recep Tayyip Erdogan Is More Autocratic than Ever
The Turkish president is taking steps to end democracy itself in Turkey, further polarizing an already sharply divided country.
۸ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
A Half-Million Syrian Returnees? A Look Behind the Numbers
Closer examination reveals that far more refugees are leaving Syria than coming home and that security and corruption represent major obstacles to their return.
۷ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
Fabrice Balanche
Articles & Testimony
A Killer Goes Free in Cairo
In the Egyptian capital, the Sisi government frees a billionaire imprisoned for a sensational murder, for reasons only known to itself.
۷ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
◆
David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
How Erdoganism Is Killing Turkish Democracy
Because Erdogan's approach delegitimizes all opposition, 40 million of the country's 80 million inhabitants are left on the outside, a recipe for national social upheaval not seen since the late 1970s.
۷ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۷
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Soner Cagaptay
Oya Aktas
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