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تحلیل کوتاه
انتخاب رهبر آینده ایران
اعضای مجلس خبرگان این ماه انتخاب میشوند. ممکن است وظیفه آنها به طور رسمی انتصاب جانشینی برای خامنهای سالخورده باشد، اما تصمیم واقعی به احتمال زیاد از سوی مراکز قدرت دیگری گرفته میشود که میتواند منجر به تحت کنترل گرفتن رهبر جدید شود
۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
مهدی خلجی
Brief Analysis
Denying the Islamic State Access to Money-Exchange Houses
Regional regulators must take steps, as the Iraqi Central Bank has done, to wall off their financial systems from unlicensed or loosely regulated money remitters vulnerable to exploitation by the Islamic State.
۳ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Katherine Bauer
Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Preventing a Middle Eastern Gordian Knot
The situation in the Middle East is beginning to resemble the Balkans: either the Balkans in the early 1990s, before Washington woke up and played its role as security leader, or the Balkans before World War I, when no one woke up.
۳ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
James Jeffrey
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Donors Growing Weary of Reconstructing Gaza
The promise of renewed conflict between Israel and Hamas has made donors shy away from funding the large-scale projects and new housing developments needed to improve and not simply manage living conditions in Gaza.
۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Mitchel Hochberg
Brief Analysis
Lining Up the Tools to Break the Islamic State Brand
Reversing the political, military, and ideological factors that led to the movement's rise will require substantive projects that are as self-sustaining and nimble as IS has proven to be.
۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Alberto Fernandez
Articles & Testimony
Putin's Comment About Helping the Syrian Free Army
On 11 December 2015 Russian President Vladimir Putin addressed the Russian Defense Ministry's expanded board meetings, where he said, for the first time according to Western press reports, that Russia is helping the Free Syrian Army -- an opponent of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad. Russia has supported Assad unequivocally since
۳۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
A Turkish-Friendly Zone Inside Syria
Tighter border security would pose an existential threat to IS, not to mention hindering its travel, smuggling, and recruitment efforts.
۲۹ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Ed Stafford
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
In the Regional Power Struggle, has Erbil Decided to Join the Sunni Bloc?
The security of the Kurdistan Region-Iraq (KRI) depends more on agreements between Erbil and Kurdistan’s neighbors than the KRI’s own security and intelligence capabilities. Whenever the regional powers surrounding the KRI have suspected that their interests are at risk, they have not hesitated to put the KRI’s security and stability
۲۹ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Frzand Sherko
Articles & Testimony
The Fifth Anniversary of the January 25 Revolution: Weakened Regime, Weakened Revolutionaries
There is no denying Egypt’s current state of public discontent, stemming from deteriorating living conditions and a state of frustration over the repressive policies of the Sisi government. Today’s Egyptian citizen has lost the most basic guarantees of freedom, justice, and human dignity. The brutality of the security state awaits
۲۸ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Muhammad Mansour
Brief Analysis
Fixing Geneva III
Pushing the Syrian opposition to the negotiating table while the regime's onslaught continues will only worsen the situation, so Washington should press Russia for a true ceasefire if it wants the talks to produce actual progress.
۲۸ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
How U.S. Concessions Threaten the Syria Peace Talks Before They Start
Diplomacy is shaped by facts on the ground, not the reverse, so Washington must be prepared to alter those facts by increasing its support for the opposition or expanding its own military involvement.
۲۸ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
The Case for Turkey’s EU Membership
Turkey is poised to become the most pivotal country of the Middle East. Turkey’s position as the geographical, historical, religious and cultural bridge between Europe and Asia leaves it uniquely situated in the region. It is also a close regional ally of Israel and the major Arab powers of Saudi
۲۸ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Maurizio Geri
Articles & Testimony
The Crackdown on Hezbollah’s Financing Network
Hassan Nasrallah has challenged Western governments to produce evidence of the group's illegal activities, and the Treasury Department appears to be doing just that via new sanctions.
۲۷ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Kemal Erdogan's Second Turkish Revolution
The Turkish leader seems intent on uprooting the Ottoman legacy and restoring Islam's central role.
۲۵ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
The Truth About Sectarianism
Rather than postulating alternatives to centuries-old sectarian doctrines, Washington should focus on preventing exploitative actors from institutionalizing their violent vision through schools and bureaucracies.
۲۵ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Jacob Olidort
Articles & Testimony
China's Middle East Tour
To ensure that Beijing's post-sanctions ambitions in the region do not include transferring dangerous nuclear and military technology to Iran, Washington and its allies need to set clear boundaries sooner rather than later.
۲۴ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
Biden Should Ask Turkey to Double Down on Its Commitment to the West
Although Ankara is seemingly responding to westward-oriented pressures at home and abroad, it could still swing Turkey back to the right if it continues to pursue the politics of religion, especially while the Islamic State looms on its borders.
۲۳ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Not So Fast: Big Questions on Iran Are Still Unanswered
If the Obama administration sees the nuclear agreement as a strategic win capable of transforming Tehran's hostility, then America's ability to deter and contain Iranian challenges will be eroded.
۲۲ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
James Jeffrey
Articles & Testimony
Sisi's Fracturing Regime
Egypt's strongman is cracking down ahead of the revolution's fifth anniversary, but the real threat he faces isn't from protests.
۲۲ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Iran's Parliamentary Elections: Inside the Candidate Approval Process
As in past elections, the Guardian Council seems poised to disqualify thousands of registered Majlis candidates, and its procedures for doing so are revealing.
۲۲ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Patrick Schmidt
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