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Brief Analysis
Why Erdogan Could Push for Early Elections:
Turkey's Regulatory Bodies in a New Era
Under a coalition government, President Erdogan would likely face a gradual decline in his oft-abused power over agencies that regulate a wide swath of Turkish life, so he might push for early elections to avoid that scenario.
۷ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۵
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Mark Bhaskar
Brief Analysis
Missiles and the Nuclear Negotiations with Iran
Although Iran's missile arsenal is conventionally armed, credible reports of links with its nuclear program underscore the need for limits on missile R&D work as part of a nuclear accord.
۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۵
◆
Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
The Umbrellas of Sousse
Three summers ago, as a graduate student living in Tunisia, I took a break from my research and spent a long weekend on the beach in a resort town called Hammamet, protected from the hot sun by one of the many colorful umbrellas that dotted the sand. Hammamet sits roughly
۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۵
◆
Sarah Feuer
Articles & Testimony
The Tunisian-Libyan Jihadi Connection
A relationship that dates back decades deserves closer attention, and could well lead to repeat Islamic State attacks on Tunisian soil.
۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۵
◆
Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
Egyptian Assassinations and Islamist Escalation
Following the latest high-profile assassination, tensions between Islamists and the state will likely continue to escalate, with the judiciary looming large in both the government's response and further Islamist plots.
۲ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۵
◆
Mohammed Soliman
Brief Analysis
Abbas Targets Key Palestinian Officials
The recent actions taken against Salam Fayyad and Yasser Abed Rabbo raise broader systemic concerns about PA governance and leadership.
۲ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۵
◆
Ghaith al-Omari
Brief Analysis
What Turkey Could Lose and Gain From a Military Operation in Syria
Despite its potential short-term political benefits for the AKP, a ground incursion into northern Syria could pose numerous longer-term threats to Turkey, including renewed Kurdish separatism, economic retaliation by Russia, and armed reprisals by the Assad regime, the PYD, and ISIS.
۲ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۵
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Content of an Iran Deal Matters More Than Timing
The United States needs to be clear on the consequences of cheating, and for that it will need access to nuclear sites.
۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۵
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Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
Can We Trust How Iran Would Spend Funds From a Nuclear Deal?
The deadline in the Iran nuclear negotiations has just been extended. But if an agreement is ultimately reached, Tehran is expected to receive a substantial financial windfall. Critics have argued that an influx of funds will permit Iran to expand its destabilizing regional activities. The Obama administration has argued that
۳۰ ژوئن ۲۰۱۵
◆
Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Egypt's Evolving Salafi Bloc: Puritanism and Pragmatism in an Unstable Region
A survival instinct and backing from foreign governments are among the factors that can trump ideology in guiding Salafi parties' actions.
۳۰ ژوئن ۲۰۱۵
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Jacob Olidort
Articles & Testimony
How to Counter Iranian Foot-Dragging (While Not Circumventing Congress)
With reports suggesting that the June 30 deadline for a deal on Iran’s nuclear will be missed, just as previous negotiating deadlines were, we’re on the brink of not an end but a new phase in this diplomatic saga. After July 9, the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act–which President Barack
۲۹ ژوئن ۲۰۱۵
◆
Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
How to Salvage Some Security From the Botched Iran Deal
If the United States and its partners do not stand firm in the coming days and years, Israelis feel they may be left alone to face the ayatollahs.
۲۹ ژوئن ۲۰۱۵
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Michael Herzog
Brief Analysis
Jordan's Economy Surprises
Solid economic growth, low inflation, and comfortable international reserves offer a hopeful story line in a war-torn region, but continued chaos in Syria and Iraq threaten the kingdom's stability.
۲۹ ژوئن ۲۰۱۵
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Farewell, President Demirel
Among many distinctions, the former leader had a sharp mind and wit, and a passion for U.S.-Turkish ties.
۲۷ ژوئن ۲۰۱۵
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
The Price of Aljazeera's Politics
The network's leadership has manipulated the truth and revealed itself as a mouthpiece for extremism, rather than providing a much-needed forum for the region's many independent voices.
۲۶ ژوئن ۲۰۱۵
◆
Mohamed Fahmy
Articles & Testimony
The Palestinian Case Against BDS
Whereas the movement's spokespeople live in comfortable circumstances abroad, boycotts will result in increased economic hardships for actual Palestinians.
۲۵ ژوئن ۲۰۱۵
◆
Bassem Eid
Brief Analysis
Reading Turkish Tea Leaves: Speaker's Election Will Offer Clues to Political Future
The very process of choosing a parliamentary speaker will suggest whether a governing coalition will be formed, and including which parties, or whether Turkey will see early elections.
۲۵ ژوئن ۲۰۱۵
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
The Key to Averting Another Gaza War? Egypt.
Cairo and Jerusalem have a shared interest in helping Gaza's long-suffering residents but restraining Hamas.
۲۵ ژوئن ۲۰۱۵
◆
David Makovsky
Ghaith al-Omari
Brief Analysis
Forming a New Palestinian Government: Challenges and Opportunities
If handled right, the seemingly imminent transition could help address concerns about over-centralization of power and stalled reconstruction, but early signs point to continued internal bickering.
۲۵ ژوئن ۲۰۱۵
◆
Ghaith al-Omari
Articles & Testimony
Aligning Means and Ends, Policies and Strategy in the War on ISIL
The means-ends mismatch in Washington's approach to ISIL is a function of several problems, including inadequate commitment of resources, the jihadist group's resilience, the weakness of America's regional partners, and the incoherence of current U.S. strategy.
۲۴ ژوئن ۲۰۱۵
◆
Michael Eisenstadt
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