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Brief Analysis
Hezbollah's Message for Israel
Given its recent track record of targeting Israelis, Hezbollah's decision to take public responsibility for a new border attack likely has more to do with burnishing its domestic "resistance" credentials than sending a deterrent signal to Israel.
۲۱ اکتبر ۲۰۱۴
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Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
There's a Worrisome Amount of Support in Jordan for the Islamic State
As the palace dispatches bombing sorties and mitigates immediate threats posed by ISIS, the ongoing dynamic in Syria guarantees a growing and potentially destabilizing reservoir of Jordanian popular sympathy for the group.
۲۰ اکتبر ۲۰۱۴
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
How to Muddle Through with Iran
By revealing all the offers that Iran has rejected, Washington could block Tehran's potential Plan B, which will likely involve constructing a reasonable public image in order to erode the international sanctions regime.
۱۹ اکتبر ۲۰۱۴
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Falling Oil Prices and Saudi Decisionmaking
As prices drop to around $80 per barrel, more attention is being focused on the mindset of Saudi Arabia, the world's largest oil exporter.
۱۷ اکتبر ۲۰۱۴
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Hamas Is Going Through a Rough Patch, So What Is It Singing About?
Given the violent message the group continues to convey in Arabic to viewers young and old, it will be difficult to achieve full Palestinian reconciliation, a long-term ceasefire with Israel, or large-scale reconstruction of Gaza.
۱۵ اکتبر ۲۰۱۴
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Matthew Levitt
Oula A. Alrifai
Kelsey Segawa
Assessing Iran-P5+1 Talks as Deadline Nears
The former chief of staff to Israel's defense minister discusses the pros and cons of the interim nuclear agreement with Iran and the prospects for continued negotiations past the upcoming deadline.
۱۵ اکتبر ۲۰۱۴
◆
Michael Herzog
Maps & Graphics
Articles & Testimony
ISIS Has Almost No Popular Support in Egypt, Saudi Arabia, or Lebanon
New polls show that the group has curried little favor in key countries, but the nuances behind the numbers have important implications for U.S. policy toward Syria, Iran, and other actors.
۱۴ اکتبر ۲۰۱۴
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David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
Why the Islamic State Is Losing
The pundits have it wrong -- the group's move toward Baghdad is a sign of desperation.
۱۴ اکتبر ۲۰۱۴
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Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Tribal Boots on the Ground in Iraq
As a leading general once said of past insurgencies in the region, “The only way to defeat guerillas is with better guerillas."
۱۳ اکتبر ۲۰۱۴
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Daniel Green
Brief Analysis
Turkey Calls for Safe Havens and No-Fly Zones in Syria: Five Things You Need to Know
Ankara's security and political concerns may drive it to establish buffer zones unilaterally, while Washington's hesitance could cost it a coalition.
۱۰ اکتبر ۲۰۱۴
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Soner Cagaptay
Andrew J. Tabler
Brief Analysis
Gaza Donor Conference Needs to Send the Right Message on Hamas
Officials at this weekend's summit should reinforce the message that Hamas is not a legitimate go-between for reconstruction assistance, while also pressing PA officials for practical answers about their plans in Gaza.
۱۰ اکتبر ۲۰۱۴
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Neri Zilber
Brief Analysis
The Islamic State's First Colony in Libya
A local jihadist group has claimed a Libyan city in the name of ISIS, showing how the "Islamic State" could flout traditional notions of territorial contiguity by expanding its "borders" well beyond Iraq and Syria.
۱۰ اکتبر ۲۰۱۴
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Aaron Y. Zelin
In-Depth Reports
Hamas Searches for a New Strategy
In a September 10 television appearance, Hamas leader Mousa Abu Marzouk suggested that Hamas might engage in direct talks with the Israelis. The surprising comment, made following Hamas's costly summer military engagement in Gaza, reflected the group's desperate need for a period of calm, with its weapons stockpiles depleted and
۱۰ اکتبر ۲۰۱۴
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Ehud Yaari
Articles & Testimony
Fast-Tracking the Arab Spring in Yemen
The quick fall of Yemen's capital could push the country toward the Syrian model of sectarian strife, but it also presents an opportunity for reform led by a new political player.
۹ اکتبر ۲۰۱۴
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Abdul-Ghani al-Iryani
Articles & Testimony
Divided Forces in Iraq
Washington is relying on local forces to carry out ground operations following airstrikes against ISIS, but disunity within the Kurdish ranks may hamper their ability to defeat the insurgents.
۹ اکتبر ۲۰۱۴
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Michael Knights
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Branding Terrorism
October 8, 2014 What is in a name? Apparently a lot. Branding is as important for terrorist groups as it is for companies, if not more so. A brand – its style, symbols, and words – can assist in detracting enemies, recruiting fighters and supporters, attracting followers, inspiring loyalty, raising
۸ اکتبر ۲۰۱۴
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Nathaniel L. Wilson
Brief Analysis
Turkey and the Battle for Kobane
Turkey's primary objective in Syria is to oust the Assad regime, so it is unlikely to materially help the besieged enclave without U.S. and Kurdish commitments toward that goal.
۸ اکتبر ۲۰۱۴
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
The Politics of Small Slights in the GCC
Political differences between Gulf countries are more complex than simply "Qatar vs. the rest."
۷ اکتبر ۲۰۱۴
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Karen E. Young
Brief Analysis
Tough Dilemma in Southern Syria
Coordinated Israeli, Jordanian, and allied assistance in the south could boost the moderate Syrian rebels there, stave off an extremist takeover, and facilitate the ongoing international campaign against ISIS.
۶ اکتبر ۲۰۱۴
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Ehud Yaari
Video
Brief Analysis
A Moving Target: The Art and Science of Middle East Policy Planning
Three distinguished scholars and former U.S. officials discuss how the Policy Planning Staff in the State and Defense Departments can draw on past lessons to address regional problems in Syria, Iran, and elsewhere.
۶ اکتبر ۲۰۱۴
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Jessica Tuchman Mathews
Dennis Ross
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