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Articles & Testimony
The U.S. Should Not Yet Trust Syria’s New Regime
Even as they celebrate the demise of Assad’s dictatorship, U.S. officials should take a “verify, don’t trust” approach to HTS, judging the group by its actions on the ground before considering the removal of sanctions.
۱۳ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
Matthew Levitt
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Supporting the SDF in Post-Assad Syria
To preserve its only reliable and capable partner in the fight against the Islamic State, the United States must help the SDF deter HTS and fend off Turkey-backed militias.
۱۳ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
Ido Levy
Brief Analysis
Don’t Assume Iran’s Supply Lines to Hezbollah Are Cut
Tehran’s past efforts to reconstitute the group have passed through more difficult environments than post-Assad Syria, but an economical U.S.-led effort can complicate future smuggling efforts and further other counterterrorism goals in the process.
۱۲ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
The Emergence of Two Distinct Jihadist Ways of War
Comparing the offensive that toppled Assad with the Islamic State's 2014 campaign in Iraq shows how HTS has innovated its approach by mixing old and new tactics.
۱۲ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
Ido Levy
Articles & Testimony
The US Must Push Putin Out the Syrian Door
To prevent Russia from cutting permanent deals with the rebels or otherwise salvaging its defeat, Washington must take the reins of the coming transition process.
۱۲ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Syria Is the First Major Aftershock of October 7—With More to Come?
From stability in Jordan to the future of Kurdish autonomy, Lebanese sovereignty, and Iranian nuclear proliferation, officials must prepare quickly to prevent or manage—and in some cases even encourage—further shocks in the Middle East.
۱۱ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
Zohar Palti
Articles & Testimony
What to Know About the Man Who Toppled Assad
Abu Mohammad al-Jolani has worked for years to rebrand himself, but has he truly broken from his extremist past?
۱۱ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
Trump Can’t Sit This One Out
Despite his latest tweets about staying out of the Syria crisis, Trump has a history of working with Turkey on these issues and has several carrots to offer HTS as well.
۱۱ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
For Israel, a Strategic Win and New Headaches
Despite the welcome blow to Iran's axis, Israel’s must now protect its border communities in the Golan and ensure that the Assad regime's strategic weapons don't end up in the wrong hands.
۱۱ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
Assaf Orion
Articles & Testimony
Iran’s New Presidency
Policymakers would be wise to view Pezeshkian’s rise not as a development that will change Iran, but as a reflection of a regime that is struggling to stave off domestic troubles.
۱۰ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
Why Al-Assad Fell
The dictator’s rigidity at the negotiating table and within Syrian society left him with scant support when he needed it most, giving Washington a window for pushing a Syrian-led transition and cutting Iran’s axis for good.
۱۰ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
Hezbollah Post October 7—Beaten But Still Dangerous
The group has been greatly diminished by a year of war, but the Lebanese people won’t feel the difference unless the international community pushes Beirut and the LAF to reestablish trust and authority.
۱۰ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
Hanin Ghaddar
Articles & Testimony
With Assad Gone—What’s Next?
In addition to carefully managing moves on the Golan, Israel should focus on facilitating humanitarian assistance to the Druze, mending relations with Turkey, and convincing Trump to maintain America’s military presence in Syria.
۹ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
Ehud Yaari
Brief Analysis
Expanding C-SIPA to Britain Signals Continued Commitment to Integration
By adding Britain ahead of Trump’s inauguration, the parties hope to sustain the agreement’s vision of building an integrated defense structure and forming a network of trusted partners for economic and technological development.
۹ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
Elizabeth Dent
Brief Analysis
Syria Crisis Leaves Islamic State Prisons and Detention Camps Vulnerable
Even as global attention is turned toward major transition questions in Damascus, the international community cannot lose focus on the fight against the Islamic State—an essential part of which is ensuring the security of northeastern detention facilities.
۹ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
Devorah Margolin
Articles & Testimony
Russia’s Overstretched Military Faces Challenges from Syria to Ukraine
The West should move quickly to exploit Moscow's long series of bad strategic moves.
۶ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Ideological Constraints of the Islamic Republic
As long as the Islamic Republic’s decisions are dictated by rigid ideological imperatives, any shift in Tehran toward pragmatism in response to the new Trump Administration will likely be superficial at best.
۶ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
Masoud Zamani
Video
Brief Analysis
The (Next) Battle for Northwest Syria: U.S. Policy Implications
The director of the Syrian Emergency Task Force joins three Washington Institute experts to discuss the stunning rebel advances in the west.
۶ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
Andrew J. Tabler
Anna Borshchevskaya
Aaron Y. Zelin
Mouaz Moustafa
Brief Analysis
Back to the Future in Lebanon? Ceasefire Lessons from 2006
The former head of Israel’s “tripartite” delegation reflects on the slow-rolling failures that followed the 2006 ceasefire—lessons that can help authorities overcome similar obstacles to the new agreement.
۶ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
Assaf Orion
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Importance of a Joint IMF and EU Agreement for Tunisia: Learning from Greece's Economic Turnaround
By choosing a pathway to stability and growth through international partnership, Tunisia can mitigate its exposure to external shocks and create a more resilient economic environment for its citizens.
۵ دسامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
Ghazi Ben Ahmed
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