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Brief Analysis
Iran's Evolving Maritime Presence
The growing capabilities of Iran's navy will enhance the country's soft power and its peacetime reach, while providing an alternative means of supplying the "axis of resistance" if traditional means of civilian transport become untenable.
۱۳ مارس ۲۰۱۴
◆
Michael Eisenstadt
Alon Paz
Brief Analysis
Preventing an Iranian Breakout after a Nuclear Deal
Washington must urgently reestablish the credibility of its military threat, along with other steps, to guard against noncompliance from Tehran.
۱۲ مارس ۲۰۱۴
◆
James Jeffrey
David Pollock
Brief Analysis
The Assad Regime Winning by Inches?
The regime's recent military successes are by no means sweeping, but its incremental gains in Aleppo and Damascus belie perceptions of stalemate and could shift the war's direction in its favor.
۱۱ مارس ۲۰۱۴
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Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Israel's Governance Law: Raising the Electoral Threshold
Far from disenfranchising certain groups, the pending legislation could spur smaller parties to form new political alliances that would likely favor the center-left opposition in future elections.
۱۰ مارس ۲۰۱۴
◆
Neri Zilber
Articles & Testimony
Syria Spillover: The Growing Threat of Terrorism and Sectarianism in the Middle East
The scope of the war's regional fallout will become more apparent in the coming months as radicalized foreign fighters return to their home countries, sectarian strife increases in Lebanon, and massive refugee flows exacerbate public health problems.
۶ مارس ۲۰۱۴
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Gulf Arabs in Crisis
The withdrawal of several ambassadors from Qatar is a setback to U.S. diplomacy with Gulf allies and another item for President Obama's upcoming meeting with the Saudi king.
۵ مارس ۲۰۱۴
◆
Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Threats to Israel: Trade Boycotts
The threat of European boycotts against Israel is much more potential than real, but it is gradually gaining ground as an unofficial movement and could surge if the current peace talks fail.
۵ مارس ۲۰۱۴
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David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Turkey's Muted Reaction to the Crimean Crisis
Issues such as energy dependence, deep-rooted fears of the Russian military, and Black Sea navigation policy all offer clues to Prime Minister Erdogan's vacillating response to Russian activities in Crimea.
۴ مارس ۲۰۱۴
◆
Soner Cagaptay
James Jeffrey
Brief Analysis
Egypt's Arms Deal with Russia: Potential Strategic Costs
Cairo's possible purchase of advanced weapons systems from Russia could become another irritant in U.S.-Egyptian relations.
۴ مارس ۲۰۱۴
◆
David Schenker
Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
Iran's Support for Terrorism Worldwide
By dramatically increasing its sponsorship of terrorism and cementing its partnership with Hezbollah in Syria, the Iranian regime is posing more of a threat to regional and international security than ever.
۴ مارس ۲۰۱۴
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Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Obama the Pragmatist
The president's approach to recent crises shows an emphasis on the feasibility of successfully intervening, so he may yet decide to take action in Syria if his assessment of the stakes changes.
۳ مارس ۲۰۱۴
◆
Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
A Regional Approach to Iran
If the United States neglects the bigger regional picture and focuses solely on deal-making with Tehran, the result may be a tactical victory but a strategic defeat.
۳ مارس ۲۰۱۴
◆
Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
The Ukraine Crisis and the Middle East
The Ukraine situation will affect Washington's Middle Eastern priorities, but not to such a degree that it will stymie a strong U.S. response to Russian actions, since America has the power to act in the region without Moscow if necessary. Ukraine could well make it necessary.
۳ مارس ۲۰۱۴
◆
James Jeffrey
Articles & Testimony
Libertarian Turkey
The rise of a middle class in Turkey has resulted in a society where rival political blocs and formerly violent factions are forced to coexist despite their enduring rancor.
۳ مارس ۲۰۱۴
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
How Ukraine Will Shape the Future of the Middle East
By showing leadership in its response to the Russian intervention, Washington can open a new conversation with its regional allies regarding Syria, Iran, and Egypt.
۲ مارس ۲۰۱۴
◆
Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
The U.S. Makes Crises in Ukraine and Syria Worse by Not Planning for Them
Russia’s incursion into Ukraine serves as a reminder of something policymakers have learned and forgotten many times over: geopolitics is not dead yet.
۲ مارس ۲۰۱۴
◆
Michael Singh
Brief Analysis
Netanyahu and Obama to Review Progress on Iran
Recent U.S. efforts to enforce sanctions and insist on strict interpretation of the Geneva agreement provide a backdrop for the two leaders' upcoming discussion of the Iran nuclear issue.
۲۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۴
◆
Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Algeria's Presidential Elections amid the Bickering of a Polarized Regime
Abdelaziz Bouteflika's decision to run for a fourth term blocks a historic opportunity to achieve a safe and peaceful transition of leadership.
۲۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۴
◆
Yacine Boudhane
Brief Analysis
Implications of a Sisi Presidency
The military chief has some strong assets and likely staying power, but he will still face great pressure if he is elected as anticipated, since the benchmark for success will be his ability to satisfy an Egyptian polity filled with unrealistically high socioeconomic expectations.
۲۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۴
◆
Adel El-Adawy
Articles & Testimony
Leadership Reshuffle: PKK Makes Changes in Its Ranks
Changes in the leadership of the Kurdistan Workers Party suggest preparations for a return to a more hardline stance toward Turkey should the peace process between them break down. They also signal that the PKK is likely to take a more active military role in Syria, potentially in alliance with
۲۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۴
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Coskun Unal
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