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Articles & Testimony
Oil Sanctions against Iran Will Not Be Enough
Predictably, last week's "expert level" talks between Iran and world powers were no more fruitful than previous rounds, leaving little optimism for a negotiated resolution to the nuclear crisis anytime soon. Western policymakers, buoyed by their success in reducing Iran's oil exports, appear content to give sanctions more time to
۸ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۲
◆
Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
What The Tlass Defection Means to Assad
Thursday came news that General Manaf Tlass, a senior commander of Syria's elite Republican Guard -- the troops most directly responsible for defending the embattled Bashar Assad regime -- had defected to Turkey. While the operational impact his departure on his particular unit may be inconsequential, the impact on the
۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۲
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
The Muslim Brotherhood's Long Game:
Egypt's Ruling Party Plots Its Path to Power
In the 18 months since the overthrow of Hosni Mubarak, the Muslim Brotherhood has risen swiftly from the cave to the castle. It founded the now-dominant Freedom and Justice Party last April, won a massive plurality in the winter parliamentary elections, and, last week, celebrated as its candidate, Mohamed Morsi
۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۲
◆
Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Syria's Eastern Front: The Iraq Factor
The United States should use its close relations with Iraq's Sunni Arab tribes to reduce the risk of spillover from Syria.
۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۲
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Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Senior Sunni Defections in Syria
The reported defection of a senior Sunni commander and friend of Assad, if true, would be a blow to the regime and an opportunity for Washington.
۵ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۲
◆
Andrew J. Tabler
Jeffrey White
Articles & Testimony
Blind in Baghdad
Something is stirring in Iraq. On July 3, car bombs ripped through mainly Shiite neighborhoods across the country, killing 36 people. It was the latest tragedy in a bloody month -- a prolonged political crisis has weakened the government in Baghdad, giving insurgent groups an opening to expand their operations
۵ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۲
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Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Egypt's Islamist Future
The struggle for supremacy between the Islamists and the military is second to a more important political battle: what kind of Islamic state Egypt will become.
۴ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۲
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David Schenker
Eric Trager to «Al-Watan»: «Morsi’s» Hostile Statements on «Septemebr 11» Concerns Washington
۳ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۲
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Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Mounting Pressure on the Syrian Army
Unless the army finds a way to relieve growing pressure on its capabilities and cohesion, it will likely collapse, sweeping away much of the regime in the process.
۲ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۲
◆
Jeffrey White
Video
Issues in Syria
David Pollock discussed Saturday's emergency meeting in Geneva on the crisis in Syria on C-SPAN's Washington Journal.
۳۰ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
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David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
Fluid Alliances: The Syrian Government's Support for and Complicity in Terrorism
The Syrian government's fluid relationships with terrorist groups such as Hizballah and Hamas have been further complicated by the ongoing popular uprising against Bashar al-Assad. This article dissects several of these key relationships, documenting how they evolved before and during the uprising and forecasting how they might change upon Assad's
۳۰ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
◆
Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
The Clerics vs. Modernity:
Failure of the Islamic Republic's Soft Power
The Islamic Republic's greatest fear is neither a military attack on its shadowy nuclear program nor a forced suspension of uranium enrichment, but a cultural invasion in the form of Western modernity.
۳۰ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
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Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Revolutionary Fallout: Egypt Faces Early Security Challenges
As post-revolutionary Egypt slowly shapes a new political landscape, it faces a resurgent security challenge from extremist groups. David Schenker examines recent incidents, security force capabilities, and the extent to which Islamist political blocs might influence the country's domestic and regional security posture. The following is a summary of the
۳۰ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
◆
David Schenker
In-Depth Reports
The Unexpected Vitality of Turkish-Israeli Trade
Given that political tensions continue to run high between Turkey and Israel, it would be inaccurate to describe their relations as good, or even on the mend. At the same time, booming trade ties and other economic indicators suggest that the two countries have great potential for a fresh start
۲۸ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
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Soner Cagaptay
Tyler Evans
Brief Analysis
Not by Sanctions Alone: Using Intelligence and Military Means to Bolster Diplomacy with Iran
To bolster diplomacy with Iran, the United States must intensify intelligence operations and more actively use the military instrument to alter Tehran's threat calculus.
۲۸ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
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Michael Eisenstadt
مقالهها و دیدگاهها
تابوی بهشتی در تابوت تبلیغات
محمد بهشتی کمابیش شخصیتی است ناشناخته. هنوز معلوم نیست در هفتم تیرماهِ ۱۳۶۰ چه کس یا گروهی دستور انفجار مقر حزب جمهوری اسلامی را صادر کرد. هدف اصلی آن انفجار بیتردید بهشتی بود، اما دهها تن دیگر نیز در آتش و آوارِ انفجار سوختند و شکستند. بر خلاف تبلیغات جمهوری
۲۷ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
◆
مهدی خلجی
Brief Analysis
Syria's Kurds in Play as Turkey Ponders Options
Yet another dimension of the Syrian imbroglio is the role of the Kurdish population.
۲۷ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
◆
David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Annan's Syria Action Group a Hopeful Sign
UN special envoy Kofi Annan recently issued invitations for a June 30 meeting in Geneva to deal with the Syria crisis. The participants -- whom Annan dubbed an "action group" -- include the five permanent members of the Security Council, Turkey, and Arab League members Iraq, Kuwait, and Qatar. Annan's
۲۷ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
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Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
Would Turkey Leave NATO?
Although Turkey has found comfort in NATO’s security, Ankara’s long-term commitment to the alliance should not be taken for granted: Turkey has at least two strategic alternatives to NATO.
۲۶ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Rich Outzen
Brief Analysis
Iran Confident As Sanctions Tighten
Iran sees itself in a strong position relative to the West and therefore believes it has little reason to be forthcoming in nuclear negotiations.
۲۶ ژوئن ۲۰۱۲
◆
Patrick Clawson
Mehdi Khalaji
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