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Articles & Testimony
Turkey after July 2007 Elections:
Domestic Politics and International Relations
On July 26, 2007, Soner Cagaptay testified before the U.S. Commission on Security and Cooperation in Europe (the Helsinki Commission). The following is a transcript of his remarks. Thank you, Mr. Chairman and the commission for inviting me to appear at this very timely and important hearing on Turkey after
۲۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۷
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Turkish Election Results:
More or Less Stability?
On July 23, 2007, Soner Cagaptay, Matthew Bryza, and Alan Makovsky addressed a Policy Forum at The Washington Institute. Dr. Cagaptay is a senior fellow and director of the Turkish Research Program at The Washington Institute. Mr. Bryza is deputy assistant secretary of state for European and Eurasian affairs. Mr
۲۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۷
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Soner Cagaptay
Alan Makovsky
Brief Analysis
The Changing and Expanding al-Qaeda Threat
On July 17, Director of National Intelligence Mike McConnell released declassified key judgments from a National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) on "The Terrorist Threat to the U.S. Homeland." According to the NIE -- which represents the intelligence community's collective view on a given issue -- al-Qaeda still has both the capability
۲۵ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۷
◆
Michael Jacobson
Brief Analysis
How Supreme Is Iran's Supreme Leader?
Reports that Ayatollah Ali Meshkini has either died or is on the brink of death shed light on the nature of power in Iran. Meshkini is speaker of the Assembly of Experts -- a body that, despite its traditionally minor role in Iranian politics, is constitutionally empowered to not only
۲۳ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۷
◆
Patrick Clawson
Mehdi Khalaji
Brief Analysis
Reading Between the Lines of President Bush's July 16 Address
President Bush's July 16 address on the Middle East peace process was a mix of the old and the new, offering neither an unequivocal reaffirmation of past approaches nor a thoroughly novel direction for Arab-Israeli diplomacy in the wake of Hamas's coup in Gaza. On the one hand, Bush strongly
۲۰ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۷
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Robert Satloff
In-Depth Reports
July 2007 Turkish Elections:
Winners and Fault Lines
In the wake of a May 2007 presidential election crisis and subsequent political stalemate -- punctuated by massive public rallies and intervention by both the judiciary and the military -- Turkey called for early parliamentary elections to be held in July 2007. The ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP), which
۱۸ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۷
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Can Fatah Compete with Hamas?
It may be fashionable among some in Washington or even Tel Aviv to believe that it is time to talk to Hamas. But to the members of Fatah and the Palestinian independents in the West Bank with whom I have been meeting, it surely is not. What you hear from
۱۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۷
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Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
How Will the Turkish Military React?
Theme Since the 1990s, the Turkish military have emerged as a force defending Turkey's secular democracy in the political realm. How will they react towards the upsurge in Islamic influence and the other issues facing the country? Summary The Turkish military began to Westernise in the late 18th century and
۱۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۷
Brief Analysis
British Counterterrorism Efforts:
Implications for the United States
British police have been praised for their speedy and effective efforts in thwarting terrorist attacks this month in London and Glasgow, as well as for the arrest and subsequent prosecution of four men who attempted to bomb the London transport network on July 21, 2005. Today, those bombers were each
۱۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۷
◆
Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
AFRICOM:
A New American Military Command
This month, Secretary of Defense Robert Gates will appoint a commander for the newly created U.S. Africa Command (AFRICOM). Set to launch sometime this fall and become fully operational with 1,000 American personnel by September 2008, AFRICOM will be responsible for all African countries except Egypt. Although no African state
۱۰ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۷
Brief Analysis
U.S. Support for the Iranian Opposition
Directly reaching the Iranian people can be achieved in two ways: (1) supporting political opposition groups that explicitly advocate regime change, and (2) empowering human rights and other nongovernmental organizations (NGOs) that do not directly engage in political action but support issues such as women and children's rights, labor rights
۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۷
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Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
The Terror Hunt
The thwarted bomb attacks in London and Glasgow showed that Europe has become one of the most important battlegrounds in the global terror war. Not that further proof was needed, after the 2004 Madrid attacks, the 2005 London subway and bus bombings, and failed or disrupted plots in the U.K
۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۷
Brief Analysis
Upcoming Turkish Elections:
Issues and Winners
On June 19, the Turkish Supreme Elections Board, an independent body that monitors the elections process, finalized the candidate lists for the July 22 early parliamentary polls. The outcome at the polls should be easier to estimate now that the electorate can judge the parties as well as their candidates
۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۷
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Hamas's Hidden Economy
Military insurrections cost money. To take over the Gaza Strip last month, Hamas had to pay salaries, procure weapons, manufacture rockets, buy help from local crime families, bribe opponents, print leaflets and banners, produce media propaganda and even order up Hamas hats and bandanas. How did Hamas fund this Gaza
۳ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۷
Articles & Testimony
Make Iran Feel the Pain
The international community, led by the U.S. and the U.K., is now developing and debating new economic sanctions against Iran. This third round will be pivotal -- either by significantly increasing the cost to Iran of continuing to engage in illicit and dangerous activities, or by showing the regime that
۲ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۷
Articles & Testimony
Tony Blair's Challenges as Middle East Envoy
Tony Blair is joining the ranks of those who not only are committed to Arab-Israeli peace but will act as an envoy to try to do something about settling the conflict. As a former envoy, I can only welcome him to the club. It helps that he brings passion, energy
۲ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۷
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Terrorist Attacks in the United Kingdom:
More Faces of al-Qaeda
There are fast-moving developments in the British hunt for the terrorist cell that tried to set off two car bombs in central London on June 29. Two men were arrested after they tried to crash a vehicle loaded with flammable material into a Glasgow airport terminal on June 30. And
۲ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۷
◆
Simon Henderson
Michael Jacobson
Brief Analysis
American-Style Universities in the Middle East:
How Much Truth in Advertising?
On June 27, 2007, Shafeeq Ghabra and Amy Hawthorne addressed The Washington Institute's Special Policy Forum.
۳۰ ژوئن ۲۰۰۷
◆
Shafeeq Ghabra
Amy Hawthorne
In-Depth Reports
Iran's 'Unacceptable' Bomb:
Deterrence and Prevention in the Age of Terror
During the forty-year Cold War, a strategy of deterrence protected the United States and its allies from the threat of nuclear-armed adversaries. Although the prospect of nuclear conflict was, at times during that period, much closer than it may seem in retrospect, the underlying logic of deterrence -- that adversaries
۲۹ ژوئن ۲۰۰۷
Brief Analysis
Gaza:
The Next Terrorist Safe Haven?
Could Hamas members in the Gaza Strip join ranks with the global jihadist movement led by al-Qaeda? There is merit to this question, given the recent Hamas takeover of the territory and al-Qaeda's call for Muslims around the world to finance and arm Hamas. The interpersonal relationships between Hamas and
۲۹ ژوئن ۲۰۰۷
◆
Matthew Levitt
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