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Brief Analysis
Bad News or Bad Data?
The Debate over Arab and Muslim Public Opinion
On April 17, 2008, David Pollock and Dalia Mogahed addressed a Policy Forum at The Washington Institute. Dr. Pollock is a visiting fellow at The Washington Institute and author of its recently released Policy Focus Slippery Polls: Uses and Abuses of Opinion Surveys from Arab States. Ms. Mogahed is executive
۲۴ آوریل ۲۰۰۸
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David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
Choices and Strategies for Dealing with Iran
On April 24, 2008, Ambassador Dennis Ross testified before the Senate Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Subcommittee on Federal Financial Management, Government Information, Federal Services, and International Security. The following is an excerpt from his prepared remarks. When President George W. Bush assumed office in 2001, Iran was not a
۲۴ آوریل ۲۰۰۸
◆
Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Winning the War on Terror: Marking Success and Confronting Challenges
How does the U.S. government assess the state of the war on terror, and how does it define success?
۲۳ آوریل ۲۰۰۸
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Juan Zarate
◆
Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Brief Analysis
Iranian Parliamentary Elections and Ahmadinezhad's Discontents
On April 25, a second round of voting will determine the remaining eighty-eight seats of the Iranian Majlis. The first round, held on March 14, decided 202 seats and was considered a defeat for both the reformists and President Mahmoud Ahmadinezhad. His reaction to the setback -- the dismissal of
۲۲ آوریل ۲۰۰۸
◆
Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Egypt Builds a Wall, Changes Its Tune on Israel's Barrier
Much ado has been made of the Israeli security fence isolating the West Bank. When it is completed in 2010, the barrier -- which runs roughly along the 1967 border between Israel and Palestinian territory -- will span nearly 500 miles. Israelis say the purpose of the structure is to
۲۱ آوریل ۲۰۰۸
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
The False Hope of Embracing Hamas
Jimmy Carter's embrace of the radical Palestinian Islamist movement Hamas -- he actually hugged a senior Hamas official this week -- means that Ramsey Clark may finally get a run for his money as America's most embarrassing ex-somebody. But no one should take the former president's freelance diplomacy lightly. Far
۲۱ آوریل ۲۰۰۸
Brief Analysis
Electoral and Social Tensions Spike in Egypt
On April 8, Egypt held elections for nearly 53,000 municipal representatives. Not surprisingly, participation was abysmal: Egypt's ruling faction, the National Democratic Party (NDP), ran unopposed for more than 80 percent of the seats, while the Muslim Brotherhood -- the country's only real opposition party -- boycotted the contest in
۱۸ آوریل ۲۰۰۸
◆
David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Toward a New Era in Turkish-Iraqi Relations Regarding the PKK
Last month, Iraqi President Jalal Talabani visited Ankara for a meeting with his Turkish counterpart Abdullah Gul to discuss, among other things, the PKK issue. The PKK (Kurdistan Workers' Party) currently controls a terror enclave in northeastern Iraq. The Iraqi Kurdish parties -- Talabani's Patriotic Union of Kurdistan and the
۱۷ آوریل ۲۰۰۸
◆
Abdulkadir Onay
Brief Analysis
Bad News or Bad Data?
The Debate over Arab and Muslim Public Opinion
For better or worse, yesterday's "Arab street" has merged with today's information superhighway. With public opinion polls from the Middle East becoming front-page -- and usually alarmist -- news, the results raise as many questions as they claim to answer: How reliable are numbers from undemocratic states? Do the region's
۱۷ آوریل ۲۰۰۸
◆
David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
Al-Qa'ida's Finances:
Evidence of Organizational Decline?
Speaking before congress in February, Director of National Intelligence (DNI) Michael McConnell commented that during the previous 12-18 months the intelligence community noticed that "al Qaeda has had difficulty in raising funds and sustaining themselves." In early April, Undersecretary of the Treasury Stuart Levey echoed the DNI's assessment, adding that
۱۷ آوریل ۲۰۰۸
Articles & Testimony
Legitimizing Hamas:
Carter's Visit Sends the Wrong Message
Imagine the Alice in Wonderland scene that will take place later this week, when U.S. Secret Service agents entrusted with protecting former president Jimmy Carter stand guard over a meeting with the head of a designated terrorist group responsible for near daily attacks targeting civilians, including numerous attacks in which
۱۶ آوریل ۲۰۰۸
Brief Analysis
Divergent European Approaches to Combating PKK Terrorism
Earlier this month, Europol -- the European Union law enforcement agency that handles criminal intelligence -- released its annual Terrorism Situation and Trend Report, part of which addresses the European criminal activities of the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK). The release comes on the heels of a March 29 German report
۱۱ آوریل ۲۰۰۸
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Abdulkadir Onay
Articles & Testimony
Think Local
It is interesting to be asked about what victory in Iraq might mean. It suggests, of course, that victory in Iraq might now be in our grasp or within reach. Apart from requiring a definition of victory, something that is not self-evident, this assumes that the path to success in
۱۱ آوریل ۲۰۰۸
◆
Dennis Ross
In-Depth Reports
Slippery Polls:
Uses and Abuses of Opinion Surveys from Arab States
For better or worse, yesterday's "Arab street" has merged with today's information superhighway. One can hardly pick up a newspaper, turn on the television, or go online without coming across the latest poll numbers purporting to show what Middle Easterners are "really" thinking. Even senior U.S. officials often give such
۱۱ آوریل ۲۰۰۸
◆
David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Who Won the Battle for Basra?
The recent military offensive in Basra was the first sizeable operation in which Iraqi government forces took the initiative to pursue armed groups in one of the country's most politically charged regions. Although the operation was a military success, its political aftermath will be crucial for the survival of both
۱۰ آوریل ۲۰۰۸
◆
Nazar Janabi
Articles & Testimony
Ankara's Quiet Revolution
Turkey's Justice and Development Party (AKP) must be delighted by the recent turn of events. On March 31, the nation's constitutional court agreed to review a case urging that the party be banned for allegedly violating Turkey's secular Constitution, throwing the country into a period of enormous instability. But while
۱۰ آوریل ۲۰۰۸
Articles & Testimony
The Pakistan Paradox
On the day that Pakistan saw a new prime minister sworn into office, one of Pakistan's leading newspapers, The News, led with the headline, "Hands Off Please, Uncle Sam." The article was a response to the arrival of two senior American envoys, Deputy Secretary of State John Negroponte and Assistant
۳ آوریل ۲۰۰۸
◆
Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
The Damascus Arab Summit:
Arab Divisions Ensure Modest Achievements
This weekend, the much-anticipated annual Arab Summit will convene in Damascus. The run-up to the twentieth summit -- the first ever held in Damascus -- has been overshadowed by the controversy surrounding Syria's role in undermining Lebanon's presidential elections. And Damascus has exacerbated regional concerns by inviting Iran to attend
۲۷ مارس ۲۰۰۸
◆
David Schenker
In-Depth Reports
Provincial Politics in Iraq:
Fragmentation or New Awakening?
In post-Saddam Iraq, decentralization has been a central rhetorical theme in the reconstruction process. Yet, it has failed to mature into fully realized policies on the ground, as seen in the continued lack of local participation in governance. Despite legislative changes and other efforts, the frustration caused by this unfulfilled
۲۶ مارس ۲۰۰۸
◆
Michael Knights
Eamon McCarthy
Brief Analysis
The Hamas Dilemma:
A Debate on Alternative Strategies
On March 19, 2008, Robert Satloff and Robert Malley addressed a Policy Forum at The Washington Institute. Dr. Satloff is executive director of the Institute and editor of its 2003 compendium Hamas Triumphant: Implications for Security, Politics, Economy, and Strategy. Dr. Malley is director of the International Crisis Group's Middle
۲۶ مارس ۲۰۰۸
◆
Robert Satloff
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