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Articles & Testimony
Deterrence and the Burden of Israeli Moderates
This week, Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert declared that success in handing Hezbollah a major setback would help Israel as it seeks to withdraw from most of the settlements in the West Bank. This may seem odd to some looking for a relationship between how fighting Hezbollah could minimize conflict
۳ اوت ۲۰۰۶
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
The Rules of War
The conflict in the Middle East is about much more than Israel and Hezbollah, or even Hezbollah's Syrian and Iranian sponsors. What is at stake are the very rules of war that underpin the entire international order. Sadly, judging from how most of the world has responded to Israel's military
۳ اوت ۲۰۰۶
Articles & Testimony
Laying Out the Qana Calculation:
Disarming Hezbollah Prevents More Crises
Israeli footage of the Hezbollah katushya rocket launcher entering the parking structure of the residential apartment building in Qana, Lebanon, was compelling if not indisputable. But regardless of whether Israel convinces the international community that Hezbollah was using innocent civilians to shelter rocket launchers, the tragic death of more than
۲ اوت ۲۰۰۶
◆
David Schenker
Video
Brief Analysis
Israel's War against Hizballah and Its Battle against Hamas
On August 1, 2006, the Honorable Shimon Peres addressed the Washington Institute’s Special Policy Forum to discuss Israel’s political and military strategy in its war against Hizballah. Shimon Peres is the deputy prime minister of Israel and a member of Knesset from the Kadima Party. A former prime minister, defense
۲ اوت ۲۰۰۶
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Shimon Peres
Brief Analysis
'Trust Allah, Not Nasrallah':
The Hizballah Crisis Reshapes Lebanese Politics
With the ongoing clashes between Israel and Hizballah raging without respite and Lebanon sustaining significant human and material losses, the sociopolitical scene in Beirut is bursting with both centrifugal and centripetal forces. While these forces threaten the country with implosion, they are sparking a national debate on Lebanese national identity
۲ اوت ۲۰۰۶
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Robert Rabil
Articles & Testimony
Casus Belli
For years, we were told that the “root cause” of the Middle East’s problems was the Israeli occupation of Arab lands—the Sinai Peninsula, the Gaza Strip, the West Bank, the Golan Heights, and southern Lebanon. Peace would come to the Middle East, according to this view, only when Israel finally
۳۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۶
Articles & Testimony
Roll Back
Conspiracy is like oxygen in the Middle East. Everyone breathes it. And it’s a mode of thought suited to understanding Hezbollah’s attacks on Israel. The attacks, after all, represented a sudden shift in the group’s thinking. In the six years following Israel’s withdrawal from Lebanon, the Shia militants didn’t cross
۳۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۶
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Dennis Ross
In-Depth Reports
Dangerous Ambitions:
The Challenges of Iran and Hamas
In the Greater Middle East, the United States is currently engaged in three wars: in Iraq, in Afghanistan, and against al-Qaeda and its affiliate organizations. As serious as those conflicts are, they do not constitute the sum of challenges facing America in the region. Indeed, two additional challenges -- from
۳۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۶
Brief Analysis
Assessing What Arabs Do, Not What They Say
On July 25, 2006, Robert Satloff and David Pollock addressed The Washington Institute's Special Policy Forum. Dr. Satloff is the executive director of The Washington Institute and the author most recently of the Institute monograph Assessing What Arabs Do, Not What They Say: A New Approach to Understanding Arab Anti-Americanism
۳۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۶
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Robert Satloff
In-Depth Reports
Assessing Turkey's Future as an Energy Transit Country
On July 13, the Baku-Tbilisi-Ceyhan oil pipeline (BTC) was formally opened, connecting the Caspian oil basin with the Mediterranean and providing a more direct route to Western markets. The pipeline also represents one of several developments that may propel Turkey into a central role in the global energy industry. To
۲۸ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۶
Brief Analysis
The Potential for Escalation in the Hizballah-Israel Conflict
The critical question of whether or not the current conflict in Lebanon will escalate to a broader regional war is being answered in two overly simple ways. One such analysis is that this is a “meltdown” with escalating violence and mounting pressures for further escalation. A second, equally simplistic view
۲۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۶
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Jeffrey White
Articles & Testimony
The Rogues Strike Back
Iran thumbs its nose at Western diplomats and continues nuclear enrichment. Hamas’s chief, speaking from Damascus, boasts about kidnapping an Israeli soldier. Hezbollah launches a cross-border raid, prompting Israeli retaliation in Beirut and a return volley of rockets on northern Israel. Just another bleak week in the hopeless Middle East
۲۴ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۶
Brief Analysis
Ceasefire Options for Implementing UN Security Council Resolution 1559
On Wednesday, an international conference will open in Italy to discuss the state of Lebanon and explore potential formulas for an Israeli-Hizballah ceasefire. Current conditions make an immediate ceasefire unlikely, but should changing events make a ceasefire possible, one of the first priorities for the Bush administration and the international
۲۴ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۶
◆
David Schenker
Brief Analysis
An International Stabilization Force for Lebanon:
Problems and Prospects
As diplomacy to halt the violence in Lebanon slowly gathers momentum, Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice has endorsed the idea of an international “stabilization force” to keep the peace, seconding proposals previously put forward by UN secretary-general Kofi Annan, British prime minister Tony Blair, and European Union foreign policy envoy
۲۴ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۶
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Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
Concessions Will Not Defeat Terrorism
Americans and Europeans fighting the global war against al-Qaida can learn a vital lesson from Israel’s two-front war against Hezbollah and Hamas: Moderation doesn’t moderate the terrorists. Radical Islamist groups bent on the destruction of Israel have targeted Israeli civilians for nearly 20 years. Throughout that time, Israel has borne
۲۴ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۶
Articles & Testimony
Iran's Hand in Lebanon
The current crisis in Lebanon has galvanized world attention because it is generally understood that this is not a local conflict, but rather one that represents Iran’s bid to raise the stakes in the Middle East. The fact that several countries are planning to convene next week in Rome to
۲۳ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۶
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Hizballah's Global Terror Option
In a July 17 article in Kayhan, a newspaper sponsored by Iran’s supreme leader, editor Hossein Shariatmadari wrote, “The Muslim nations should not let the engagement [with Israel] remain in its limited regional boundaries. The Zionists are scatted in many parts of the world and their identification is not that
۲۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۶
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Barak Ben-Zur
Christopher Hamilton
Brief Analysis
Ahmadinezhad's Popularity One Year On
Westerners believe Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinezhad to be popular in Iran, in no small part because of his strong support for Iran’s nuclear program. However, there is much evidence to the contrary. There is limited information available with which to form a judgment about the popularity of any politician or
۲۰ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۶
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Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
The Role of UNIFIL after an Israeli Withdrawal from South Lebanon
This article originally appeared as a chapter in the book The Last Arab-Israeli Battlefield? Implications of an Israeli Withdrawal from Lebanon (Washington Institute, 2000). John Hillen is currently assistant secretary of state for political-military affairs. When he wrote this essay, he was serving on the U.S. Commission on National Security/21st
۲۰ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۶
Articles & Testimony
Not Only Israel Is Opposed to a Ceasefire
The United States has made it clear that it is providing Israel with the requisite political breathing space to obtain its military objectives in Lebanon. U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice has delayed her mediation mission, and President Bush has not pressed Israel to end its military operations at this
۲۰ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۶
◆
David Makovsky
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