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Brief Analysis
Post-Gaza Crises for Religious Zionism in Israel
Israeli disengagement from Gaza and the northern West Bank settlements has left in its wake three important crises for the religious Zionist movement that spearheaded settlements in Israel. These crises involve the settlers' future relationships with the Israeli public, the Israeli state, and the political secular right. For settlers, these
۱ سپتامبر ۲۰۰۵
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David Makovsky
In-Depth Reports
Charting the Winds of Change:
America and the Middle East, 2005
When The Washington Institute was founded in 1985, the Middle East was a critical front in the Cold War, Ayatollah Khomeini was at the vanguard of the Islamic revolution, the Arab-Israeli peace process was stagnant, and America was still reeling from the ignominy of withdrawing its Marine contingent from Lebanon
۱ سپتامبر ۲۰۰۵
Brief Analysis
Entering the 'Tipping Period' in Iraq
Though armed insurgencies can last for a decade or more, they also can have decisive periods in which their paths are set, even if those paths do not become apparent for some time. Iraq appears to be entering just such a period of decision. Starting Conditions The process of political
۳۱ اوت ۲۰۰۵
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Jeffrey White
Articles & Testimony
The Wrong Lesson from Gaza
After Israel's pullout from Gaza, the secretary general of Hamas, Khaled Mashal, declared that the withdrawal was an Israeli defeat and a victory for violence. Mr. Mashal made clear to reporters in Beirut that suicide bombings inside Israeli cities and mortars fired at Israeli towns were effective. He proclaimed, "The
۲۶ اوت ۲۰۰۵
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
The Sunni Arab Insurgency:
A Spent or Rising Force?
Warnings by Sunni politicians of even greater violence if Sunni Arab concerns are not addressed in the draft Iraqi constitution raise the question: could the insurgency get worse? The answer can be found by examining the insurgency's demographic dimension. The Insurgency's Recruitment Base Sufficiently detailed demographic data exist to allow
۲۶ اوت ۲۰۰۵
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Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
Will the PKK Renounce Violence?
If the US-Turkish relationship is the single most important unintended victim of the Iraq war, then disarming the PKK is a sure way of restoring the partnership to good health. The PKK presence in northern Iraq has thus far escaped US occupation untouched, and the organization has relaunched attacks inside
۲۵ اوت ۲۰۰۵
Brief Analysis
The Black Sea Basin:
A New Axis in Global Maritime Security
The Black Sea Naval Cooperation Task Group (BLACKSEAFOR), a regional maritime security initiative started by Turkey in 2001, was activated August 14-27. With world attention devoted to Iraq and the Middle East, important developments in the nearby Black Sea region involving energy politics, frozen conflicts, and new regional security initiatives
۲۴ اوت ۲۰۰۵
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Orhan Babaoglu
Articles & Testimony
The Road Map after Gaza
This is a painful time for Prime Minister Ariel Sharon, but one he believes is required for Israel's fundamental security and demographic interests. He has bet his political future on the disengagement from Gaza. If there is calm not just for the disengagement but over the coming months, Sharon will
۲۲ اوت ۲۰۰۵
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
The Military Coup in Mauritania:
Domestic and International Implications
The August 3 bloodless military coup in Mauritania that removed president Maaouiya Ould Taya from power took place in one of the world's most impoverished nations, situated on Africa's northwest coast between Arab North Africa and black sub-Saharan Africa. The coup had all the familiar trappings of an African military
۱۸ اوت ۲۰۰۵
Discussing the Eviction Process
The following is a transcript from the PBS program NewsHour. MARGARET WARNER: For insight into how the Israel defense force -- or IDF -- is going about evicting the settlers, and the challenges ahead, we turn to Israeli Brig. Gen. Michael Herzog. Until last July, he was a top aide
۱۷ اوت ۲۰۰۵
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Michael Herzog
Q&A: U.S. Role in Gaza Pullout
Institute counselor and Ziegler distinguished fellow Dennis Ross was interviewed on August 16 by Bernard Gwertzman, consulting editor of cfr.org, the Council on Foreign Relations' web site. The New York Times featured their discussion as a Q&A on August 17. This is a transcript of that interview. Read the interview
۱۷ اوت ۲۰۰۵
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Sharon, Netanyahu, Disengagement, and Likud Leadership
An immediate consequence of Israel's disengagement from Gaza was Benjamin Netanyahu's August 7 resignation as finance minister, making a Likud Party leadership challenge between him and Ariel Sharon virtually inevitable. What will be the impact of such a challenge on Sharon's policy in the postdisengagement period? And how would a
۱۷ اوت ۲۰۰۵
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Presidential Election Rules in Egypt:
Multiple Problems
August 17 is the official start of the campaign for Egypt's first multicandidate presidential election; voting is scheduled for on September 7. President Hosni Mubarak, who has held office for twenty-four years, has been elected without opposition four times. In the upcoming election, only party leaders can be candidates; no
۱۶ اوت ۲۰۰۵
Articles & Testimony
The Worst Option
"No one can want the Iranian leadership to gain possession of atomic weapons," German Chancellor Gerhard Schröder opined earlier this week. "But let's take the military option off the table. We have seen it doesn't work." Actually, the option least likely to work is the one most actively considered: economic
۱۶ اوت ۲۰۰۵
Gaza Pullout Set to Begin Monday
The following is a transcript from the Washington Post online. Israel began its planned pullout from the Gaza Strip on today, despite internal opposition highlighted by the recent resignation of Benjamin Netanyahu from his position as finance minister. Netanyahu and the Likud party oppose Prime Minister Ariel Sharon 's plan
۱۵ اوت ۲۰۰۵
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Iranian Media Reactions to the Nuclear Impasse
Iran's hardline establishment often declares that all Iranian citizens are united in their determination to see Iran exercise its "right" to nuclear power and "self-sufficiency" -- that is, operation of the complete fuel cycle. But are all Iranians really so enthused by the national nuclear program and heedless of international
۱۵ اوت ۲۰۰۵
Articles & Testimony
Ready, or Not
Within hours, history will almost surely be made in the Middle East as Israel begins its withdrawal from Gaza after 38 years of occupation. By taking this unprecedented step to dismantle the 21 settlements there, Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon -- the driving force behind the Israeli settler movement --
۱۴ اوت ۲۰۰۵
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Sharm al-Shaykh Bombings:
The Egyptian Context
The July 23 bombings at Sharm al-Shaykh offered a harsh reminder that Egypt remains vulnerable to Islamists who see terrorism as their only viable means of affecting political change. The attacks, which left at least sixty-four dead and more than two hundred injured, were the deadliest to be carried out
۱۲ اوت ۲۰۰۵
Brief Analysis
On the Verge of Gaza Disengagement
On August 4, 2005, Dennis Ross, Brig. Gen. Michael Herzog, and David Makovsky addressed The Washington Institute's Special Policy Forum. Ambassador Ross, the Institute's counselor and Ziegler Distinguished Fellow and former U.S. Middle East peace envoy, has just returned from a month in the region. General Herzog of the Israel
۱۲ اوت ۲۰۰۵
◆
Dennis Ross
Michael Herzog
David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Challenges Facing Iran's New Government
Iran's bold August 7 decision to resume uranium conversion -- previously frozen under an agreement with Britain, France, and Germany -- came only four days after new president Mahmoud Ahmadinezhad took office. This confrontational step suggests that the new administration may take strong actions to advance its hardline agenda. At
۱۱ اوت ۲۰۰۵
◆
Mehdi Khalaji
Mohsen Sazegara
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