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مقالهها و دیدگاهها
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Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Saied’s Tunisia Is Politicizing Counterterrorism Again
His government is using CT tools to go after the political opposition, but the ongoing lull in jihadist activity may give Washington some breathing room to press him on these issues.
۹ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
How Europe Is Quietly Putting ‘Strategic Autonomy’ into Practice
The hard lessons learned in Syria have given European leaders the confidence and tools they needed to respond forcefully in Ukraine.
۹ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
Louis Dugit-Gros
Video
Brief Analysis
The National Security Implications of Israel's Judicial Debate
A panel of former senior Israeli officials discusses how the convulsive domestic debate may affect vital issues related to military preparedness, Iranian nuclear advancement, Palestinian terrorism, and more.
۸ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
David Makovsky
Shimrit Meir
Yaakov Amidror
Uzi Dayan
Zohar Palti
Articles & Testimony
Securing or Insecuring Israel? Assessing the Israel-Lebanon Maritime Agreement
Taking stock of last year’s deal shows that while there were plenty of good reasons for Washington and Jerusalem to accept it, improving Israel’s long-term security was not one of them.
۷ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
It Is Time for a New Hezbollah Policy
Growing domestic blowback presents a strategic opportunity to alter the balance of power in Lebanon, shrink Iran’s long-range influence, and promote true political diversity within the Shia community.
۷ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
Hanin Ghaddar
Articles & Testimony
Unpacking Turkey’s Non-Binary Ukraine War Policy
Erdogan's stance has been pro-Ukrainian but not anti-Russian, enabling him to strike a delicate balance between NATO expectations, Moscow’s economic lifeline, and domestic political pressures.
۷ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Russia Uses Middle Eastern Ties to Mitigate Isolation
By taking largely ambivalent stances on the Ukraine war, states in the region have helped ease the effects of international sanctions against Moscow.
۷ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Regional Crisis and Regional Cooperation: Israeli Response to the Earthquake in Syria and Turkey
Israeli aid efforts to Turkey and Syria have been multifaceted after the earthquake, despite the difficult political circumstances.
۶ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
Nir Boms
Joelle Rosenthal
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
UN Aid in Northwest Syria—Or Lack Thereof
In the direct aftermath of the devastating earthquake that hit Turkey and Syria, EU-funded UN aid was delivered to Damascus despite the Assad regime’s disastrous track record, which includes stealing aid from international institutions. On the ground in Northwest Syria, frustration with the UN is rising, especially as aid from neighboring countries entered quickly.
۶ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
Rena Netjes
Articles & Testimony
The Treacherous Triangle of Syria, Iran, and Russia
If the Assad regime's two main allies emerge victorious in Syria and Ukraine, U.S. adversaries will likely conclude that the pros of challenging Washington ultimately outweigh the negatives.
Spring 2023
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Disaster Dynamics:
Assessing Middle East Responses to the Turkey-Syria Earthquake and Other Destructive Events
Regional generosity was on display after the February 6 temblor, but aid decisions do appear to be driven by political considerations.
۳ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
Sarah Cahn
Erik Yavorsky
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Opposition in the Iranian Diaspora and among Iranian Reformers: The Case of Mousavi
As an Iranian opposition coalesces in the diaspora, challenges loom on the horizon. How the diaspora approaches reformists inside Iran calling for a new constitution will help demonstrate just how cohesive Iran’s disparate opposition groups can become.
۳ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
Majid Nikouei
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraq’s Endless Electoral Law Debate
The Coordination Framework is poised to yet again change Iraq's electoral law, continuing a history of such changes that have destabilized and delegitimized the political system.
۲ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
Feyzullah Tuna Aygün
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
How Militia Digital Media Avoid Domain Seizure and Blocking
Outlets run by terrorist groups Kataib Hezbollah and Harakat Hezbollah al-Nujaba continue to modify their domain names and social media brands to dodge shutdowns.
۲ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
Ranw Hassan
◆
Militia Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
Turkey’s Disaster—and Erdogan’s: How the Earthquake Could Spell the End of His Rule
The president might find the current situation ominously similar to two decades ago, when a combination of devastating natural disaster and deep public dissatisfaction swept his Islamist faction to power.
۱ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Is Iran Ready to Build a Nuclear Bomb or Not?
The Biden administration’s mixed messages about the significance of new enrichment revelations will make it more difficult to decide next steps.
۱ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Hayat Tahrir al-Sham and Imagined Communities in Its Proto-State
The jihadist group has been releasing upbeat online briefs about various locales under its control, seemingly aiming to unite residents in northwest Syria and soften its image abroad.
۱ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
Aaron Y. Zelin
Sarah Cahn
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Israel Expands Settlements as Smotrich Increases His Authority
Amid widening West Bank violence, the far-right minister is pursuing a policy leading to de facto annexation, and it is unclear whether Netanyahu will cap these ambitions.
۱ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
David Makovsky
David Patkin
Gabriel Epstein
تحلیل کوتاه
نتایج سفر رئیسی به چین بیشتر نمادین است تا واقعی
سفر رئیسجمهور ایران به پکن به همراه هیاتی عالیرتبه تاکید دوبارهای بود بر محدودیتهای رابطه ایران و چین و احتمالاً باعث افزایش بیمیلی تهران به سازش هستهای خواهد شد.
۲۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
هنری رُم
Brief Analysis
To Prevent the PA from Unraveling, Address Internal Reform
Reversing the dangerous trends in Palestinian domestic dynamics is a complicated undertaking, but failure to address these issues will ultimately hobble any diplomatic and security understandings reached on West Bank de-escalation.
۲۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۳
◆
Ghaith al-Omari
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