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Brief Analysis
Indecisive Inter-Rebel Fighting in Syria Benefits the Regime
The ongoing clashes between rival rebel factions will likely be protracted and indecisive, and the resultant diversion of effort is already working to the regime's advantage.
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Jeffrey White
Video
Syria's Spillover: Will Israel Be Drawn In?
The complexities and dynamics of the Syrian conflict make it distinctly possible that Israel could become militarily involved -- even though none of the actors are interested in that outcome.
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Jeffrey White
David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Quiet Partnerships for a New Era: Emerging Opportunities for Arab-Israeli Cooperation
Regional circumstances point to both the possibility and the need for enhanced Arab-Israeli efforts to address challenges in the security, energy, food/water scarcity, and public-health domains.
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Alon Paz
Brief Analysis
Israel's Growing Role in Southern Syria
Concerned about the possible drift of al-Qaeda affiliates to areas adjacent to the Golan Heights border, Israel finds itself obliged to increase its assistance to local rebel militias in southern Syria.
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Ehud Yaari
Articles & Testimony
The Muslim Brotherhood Will Fight On
Given the Brotherhood and the military's mutually exclusive aims, Egypt's death-match will continue, with even deadlier stakes once Sisi becomes president.
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Eric Trager
Articles & Testimony
How to Solve Obama's Iran Dilemma
A deal with Iran may or may not be possible, but convincing Congress to prepare new sanctions without adopting them yet should be much easier.
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Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
There's Only One Real Law Now in Egypt
Washington should focus on shielding U.S. strategic interests in Egypt from the effects of persistent political instability, while also encouraging Cairo to address the root causes of this instability over time.
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Eric Trager
Brief Analysis
Royal Rivalry: Bahrain's Ruling Family and the Island's Political Crisis
As the anniversary of the 2011 troubles approaches, Bahrain's political battles are seemingly being fought out in the palaces as much as the streets.
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Turkey as a Rising Power Embedded in the Western International System
This paper argues that Turkey only partly fits the mold that describes the rising BRICS countries, and so it is useful to designate Turkey as a special case in the rising powers literature. On the one hand, Turkey has gained from the post-Cold War international structure by expanding its outreach
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
FIFA Has a Terrorism Problem
Bribery accusations and construction fatalities are bad enough, but linking Qatar's World Cup to the killing of Israelis does a disservice even to the morally tarnished FIFA.
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Trials and Tribulations in Lebanon
The controversial Hariri trial will unfold amid growing sectarian violence in Lebanon, the seemingly interminable war in Syria, and a longstanding political stalemate regarding Hezbollah's role in government.
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Assad's Indispensable Foreign Legions
Assad is still standing, but he is not standing alone -- and he likely no longer makes decisions alone either.
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Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Avoiding Assad's Forced Solution to the Syria Crisis
Given that Assad and his backers want to gut the transition process called for in the Geneva Communique, Washington should plan to take other steps in parallel to the Geneva process.
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Andrew J. Tabler
Articles & Testimony
Why Are Congressional Democrats Considering New Iran Sanctions?
The president's fellow party members in Congress are unhappy about his perceived lack of coordination with them on various issues, leading to a potentially damaging impasse on Iran.
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
The New Triangle of Egypt, Israel, and Hamas
With Israeli acquiescence to de facto alterations of the 1979 peace treaty, Egypt has deployed substantial military forces into the Sinai to combat terrorists. But Israel remains hesitant about Cairo's inclination to increase pressure on Hamas in Gaza.
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Ehud Yaari
Brief Analysis
Egypt's Multiple Power Centers
Given the limitations and internal divisions of Egypt's various power centers, neither the military nor any other single institution is solely in charge at the moment.
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Adel El-Adawy
Video
Geneva II: High Risk, Low Reward for the United States, Syrian Rebels
The international conference on Syria is unlikely to make headway toward a transitional government and might instead undermine U.S. interests in ending the civil war.
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David Schenker
Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Apaches in the Sinai
While delivering more Apache helicopters to Egypt may well increase the terrorist body count in the Sinai, Cairo must find a way to reduce the reportedly heavy collateral damage caused by such weapons.
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Hizb Allah at War in Syria: Forces, Operations, Effects and Implications
Hizb Allah is the most effective force on the Syrian battlefield and has been instrumental in the preservation of the Assad regime and the success of its offensive operations since spring 2013.
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Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
A Better Approach to Geneva: Aid the Syrian Opposition Now
Resuming direct U.S. material support for anti-Assad forces offers the only serious prospect, even if modest, for halting Syria's downward slide and its damage to U.S. interests.
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David Pollock
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