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Articles & Testimony
Sick Man on the Nile
This week, Egyptian president Hosni Mubarak brought his son Gamal to Washington to attend the kick-off of renewed Israeli-Palestinian peace talks. Back in Cairo, the unprecedented family visit will no doubt reinforce the widespread belief that Mubarak is planning a hereditary succession in the Arab republic. It will also confirm
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Hamas Attacks:
Deja Vu All Over Again?
On Tuesday night, Hamas shot dead four Israelis on the outskirts of Hebron, putting an end to nearly three years of quiet on the West Bank. They struck again the following day, this time critically wounding two. Abu Ubaida, spokesman for Hamas's armed wing, announced the Qassam Brigades' "full responsibility"
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
First Test for Peace Talks Coming Soon
Despite the optimistic tone struck over the past few days by U.S., Israeli, and Palestinian leaders, the latest round of direct negotiations between Israel and the Palestinians already faces a looming crisis. On Sept. 26, the ten-month moratorium on settlement activity decreed by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu will expire
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Articles & Testimony
Off the Table
While packaged as a triumph, the rollout of a new round of Israeli-Palestinian negotiations is in fact more of a relief, given the circuitous path required to arrive at the talks. Convinced of the need for a U.S. role that was at once more activist and yet more dispassionate, President
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Brief Analysis
Palestinian Public Opinion Turns Pragmatic as Peace Talks Open
As Palestinian Authority (PA) president Mahmoud Abbas prepares to begin peace talks with Israeli prime minister Binyamin Netanyahu in Washington this week, two just-released Palestinian polls offer some promising news, at odds with the tragic echoes of last night's Hamas terrorism in Hebron. Until now, much of the media has
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David Pollock
Brief Analysis
The Peace Talks Resume: Prospects for Success
On August 31, 2010, Robert Danin, Ghaith al-Omari, Abdel Monem Said Aly, and David Makovsky addressed a special Policy Forum at The Washington Institute to discuss direct talks between Israelis and Palestinians. Dr. Danin, the Eni Enrico Mattei senior fellow for Middle East and Africa Studies at the Council on
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Ghaith al-Omari
David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
China and the North Korea-Iran Nuclear Axis
With war drums being beaten in both the Korean Peninsula and the Middle East, a sign of a North Korea and Iran emboldened by the inability of the international community to stop their nuclear programs, eyes now fall on the credibility of the U.S. security umbrella over its allies Israel
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Christina Lin
Brief Analysis
Egypt in Transition:
Presidential Succession and U.S. Policy
Egyptian president Hosni Mubarak's recent health scares -- including major surgery in Germany in March -- have raised critical questions regarding the future of one of America's most important allies. In the event of his death, how would his successor be chosen, and who would it most likely be? Will
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J. Scott Carpenter
Brief Analysis
Iran's Shadow over Unrest in Bahrain
For nearly two weeks, the Persian Gulf island state of Bahrain has experienced near-daily disturbances following government arrests of opposition activists from the majority Shiite community. The timing of the arrests seemed geared toward preempting trouble in advance of the scheduled October 23 parliamentary and municipal elections, which minority Sunni
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
The Billionaire Prince
Prince Al-Waleed bin Talal bin Abdulaziz al-Saud is a man who wears many hats. One of the richest men in the world, he has recently been accused of being one of the financiers behind the planned Islamic center in downtown Manhattan by Fox News -- which is owned by a
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Brief Analysis
Reassessing U.S. Military Assistance to Lebanon
PolicyWatch 1693 is the second in a two-part series discussing U.S. military assistance to the Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF). This piece addresses the program's future direction, while PolicyWatch 1692 examined the context of the U.S. aid program. Since 2005, Washington has obligated more than $700 million in military assistance to
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Peace within a Year?
Israeli-Palestinian Direct Talks Resume
On Friday, August 20, Secretary of State Hillary Clinton announced the resumption of direct peace talks between Israelis and Palestinians, to be launched in Washington next week. On September 1, President Obama will welcome Israeli prime minister Binyamin Netanyahu and Palestinian Authority (PA) president Mahmoud Abbas, as well as Egyptian
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Mideast Peace Talks To Look Forward To?
The announcement Friday that Middle East peace talks would be launched Sept. 2 was not exactly met with an outpouring of enthusiasm. Yet progress on security and other issues suggests there is reason to believe peace talks can produce results. There has been a surge in cooperation between Israel and
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Hair Today, Prime Minister Tomorrow
Turkey has nearly a year to go before it holds elections, but one outcome seems certain: the country's next prime minister will wear a moustache. Over the past two decades a streak of hair between the nose and upper lip has gone from a sign of manhood to a class
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Articles & Testimony
The Caspian Sea:
China's Silk Road Strategy Converges with Damascus
Given the rising instability of Middle East energy supplies, the Caspian basin has emerged in prominence as an alternative resource for the world's growing energy consumers. As a result, the region is becoming enmeshed in a web of overlapping political, military, trade, and energy interests of countries extending from Asia
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Christina Lin
Articles & Testimony
The U.S. and Israel:
Same View of Threat, Different View on Force
Patrick Clawson participated in an online forum sponsored by TheAtlantic.com discussing Atlantic magazine's September cover story by Jeffrey Goldberg outlining the prospects and implications of an Israeli strike against Iran. Read contributions by all forum participants here. Over the last year, statements about the Iranian nuclear issue from Israel's leadership
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Brief Analysis
Arming Hizballah?
U.S. Military Assistance to Lebanon
PolicyWatch 1692 is the first in a two-part series discussing U.S. military assistance to the Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF). This piece examines the context of the U.S. aid program, while PolicyWatch 1693 addresses the program's future direction. The August 3 fatal shooting of an Israel Defense Forces officer by a
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Going Critical:
Iran's Bushehr Nuclear Reactor Starts Up
At a ceremony near the southern Iranian coastal city of Bushehr this Saturday, Russia will begin the process of loading fuel rods into Iran's first civilian nuclear reactor. Theoretically distinct from the rest of the regime's disturbing nuclear program, the Bushehr plant nevertheless remains a major international concern. The low-enriched
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Simon Henderson
Stefanie Peterson
In-Depth Reports
Reforming the Rogue:
Lessons from the U.S.-Libya Rapprochement
In August 2009, Scottish authorities released Abdel Basset al-Megrahi -- the Libyan terrorist responsible for the deaths of 270 passengers in the 1988 Pan Am Flight 103 bombing over Lockerbie, Scotland. Libya's acceptance of responsibility for the Lockerbie bombing and agreement to pay compensation to the families of victims had
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Dana Moss
Articles & Testimony
How Much Brinksmanship Will Israel Tolerate?
Patrick Clawson participated in an online forum sponsored by TheAtlantic.com discussing Atlantic magazine's September cover story by Jeffrey Goldberg outlining the prospects and implications of an Israeli strike against Iran. Read contributions by all forum participants here. Robin [Wright] is right (forgive the pun), and Jeff[rey Goldberg] is not, about
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