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Articles & Testimony
The Iranian Republic of Fear
Iran's clerical regime governs by a simple formula: He who is the most frightening wins. "Victory by terrifying" is a trope that is present in many of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's speeches. Indeed, it is a reliable guide to his political philosophy. This view was not invented by Khamenei
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In-Depth Reports
Terrorist Dropouts: Learning from Those Who Have Left
This study tackles the question of why terrorists drop out of their movements, with compelling case studies and practical policy recommendations.
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Michael Jacobson
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Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Articles & Testimony
Revolutionary Ayatollah:
How My Father Went from the Prison of the Shah to the Prison of Khamenei
In the very cold winter of 1979, Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, the founder of the Islamic Republic of Iran, returned to Qom, the spiritual capital of the Shiite world, for the first time after his long exile. A huge crowd came out that day. As he made his way to the
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Articles & Testimony
Iraq's Politics of Fear
Until recently, the Iraqi elections on March 7, 2010 seemed likely to showcase the growing maturity of local democracy and offer the United States a chance to claim some success and, more importantly, a mandate to withdraw troops. The election would mark the third time a peaceful transfer of power
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Brief Analysis
The Iranian Opposition, the Nuclear Issue, and the West
On January 14, 2010, Patrick Clawson and Ray Takeyh addressed a special Policy Forum luncheon at The Washington Institute to discuss the twin challenges of resolving the nuclear impasse with Iran and responding to its ongoing domestic protests. Dr. Clawson is deputy director for research at the Institute, where he
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Patrick Clawson
Ray Takeyh
Articles & Testimony
Turks vs. Kurds
Turkey's Kurdish problem, a long and bitter conflict, has taken a vicious new turn in recent weeks as ordinary Kurds and Turks have started fighting in the streets. That might sound like nothing new, but it is: although Ankara and the Kurdistan Workers' Party (PKK) have fought each other since
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In-Depth Reports
Much Traction from Measured Steps:
The Iranian Opposition, the Nuclear Issue, and the West
Resolving the nuclear standoff with Iran remains a serious concern of major Western powers. At the same time, the international community has an interest in promoting Iranian human rights and democracy. The June 12 presidential elections in Iran brought the tension between these two objectives to a head, with Iranian
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Renewed Violence against Egypt's Coptic Christians
On January 6 -- Christmas Eve according to the Eastern Orthodox calendar -- six Coptic Christians and a policeman were killed in a drive-by shooting while exiting church in Naga Hammadi, Upper Egypt. The attack, which came in retaliation to an alleged rape of a twelve-year-old Muslim girl by a
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Prospects for the Resumption of Israeli-Palestinian Peace Talks
U.S. Middle East peace envoy George Mitchell will return to the region next week in a bid to restart talks that have been stalled since the beginning of the Obama administration. In a television interview earlier this month, Mitchell declared that he would like to complete peace talks between Israel
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Statement on the Arrest of Ayatollah Mohammad Taqi Khalaji in Iran
Institute senior fellow Mehdi Khalaji made a public statement on January 14, 2010, regarding the January 12 arrest of his father, Ayatollah Mohammad Taqi Khalaji, by agents of Iran's Ministry of Intelligence. The Washington Institute requests all governments, international agencies, and nongovernmental organizations with access in Tehran to take up
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Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Offending the Turks
This article also appeared in Hurriyet Daily News on January 15, 2010. The diplomatic spat between Israel's Deputy Foreign Minister Danny Ayalon and the Turkish ambassador Oguz Celikkol on Monday was the worst thing that could have happened to the already strained Ankara-Jerusalem ties. Relations between Turkey and Israel have
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Brief Analysis
Al-Qaeda in the West Bank and Gaza
On January 11, 2010, Matthew Levitt and Bruce Riedel addressed a special Policy Forum luncheon at The Washington Institute to discuss the emergence and potential of al-Qaeda-inspired groups in the Palestinian arena. Dr. Levitt is a senior fellow and director of the Stein Program on Counterterrorism and Intelligence at the
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Saudi Public Backs Iran Sanctions but Split on Military Action
A highly unusual and credible private poll of Saudi citizens taken in late November 2009 by a reputable regional firm shows solid popular support for tough measures against Iran, even though domestic economic issues loom larger in the public's perception. Conducted in partnership with Pechter Middle East Polls, a new
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David Pollock
In-Depth Reports
Deterred but Determined:
Salafi-Jihadi Groups in the Palestinian Arena
Last summer, Hamas security forces raided a mosque affiliated with the Salafi-Jihadi group Jand Ansar Allah, killing 24 and wounding 130 in the ensuing firefight. This relatively recent episode highlights the presence in Gaza of Salafi-Jihadi groups inspired by but not yet formally affiliated with al-Qaeda. Unlike Hamas, which despite
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Matthew Levitt
Yoram Cohen
Articles & Testimony
Defending Lebanon or Israel?
In December, the Lebanese Web site Qifa Nabki featured a satirical "news story" discussing U.S. arms transfers to Lebanon. According to the article, the U.S. gifted "cutting edge" military material to the Lebanese Armed Forces that included camouflage-print bandages and, more menacingly, the USS Tadpole, a decommissioned World War II
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Fighting al-Qaeda: The Role of Yemen's President Saleh
Yemen's reemergence in the headlines as a crucial player in the fight against al-Qaeda raises questions about Washington's next steps. What sort of relationship will the Obama administration have with President Ali Abdullah Saleh, the longtime leader of what could be the world's next failed state? Saleh spoke with President
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Strengthening Yemeni Counterterrorism Forces:
Challenges and Political Considerations
On January 2, 2010, President Barack Obama confirmed that he had "made it a priority to strengthen our partnership with the Yemeni government -- training and equipping their security forces, sharing intelligence and working with them to strike al-Qaeda terrorists." Increasing military aid to Sana will involve a delicate balancing
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Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Dangerous Violence:
Turkey's Emerging Ethnic Fault Line
Rising social violence between Kurds and non-Kurds in Turkey, with daily incidents occurring, is an unusual, and therefore alarming, phenomenon. This violence has been spurred as much by the recent Kurdish opening, which has created a backlash against Kurdish nationalism, as it has been by the closing of the Kurdish
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Articles & Testimony
Prisons in Iraq:
A New Generation of Jihadists?
Over the last two years, thousands of Iraqi detainees have been released from prisons in compliance with Iraq's 2008 general amnesty law and the U.S.-Iraq Security Agreement that was enforced in January 2009. Following the withdrawal of U.S. combat troops from Iraqi cities in June, and the upsurge in violence
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Articles & Testimony
The Murdered Fathers Club
On Saturday, Lebanese Prime Minister Saad Hariri traveled to Damascus for a meeting with Syrian president Bashar Asad, the man widely believed to have ordered the assassination of his father, former Lebanese premier Rafiq Hariri. The 2005 murder sparked the Cedar Revolution, a mass protest movement that resulted in the
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David Schenker
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