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In-Depth Reports
King Hussein's Strategy of Survival
For nearly four decades, King Hussein of Jordan has managed to survive and consolidate his rule in the face of difficult internal and external circumstances. Indeed, Hussein’s will to survive has been and will remain the central organizing principle of his statecraft. In this Policy Paper, Uriel Dann, highlights the
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In-Depth Reports
Democracy and Arab Political Culture
The collapse of the Soviet bloc and the end of the Cold War have come almost too swiftly to be registered. As Czechoslovakia's dissident-turned-President Vaclav Havel has said, one no longer has even the time to be astonished. No less striking than the demise of Soviet power has been the
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In-Depth Reports
Baghdad between Shi'a and Kurds
Executive Summary Since the formation of Iraq in 1920, the Sunni minority has held power and played the Shi'a and Kurdish minorities against each other. Aside from their shared enmity towards the Baghdad government, the Shi'a and the Kurds have nothing in common. The Iraqi opposition is structurally weak and
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Ofra Bengio
In-Depth Reports
Toward Middle East Peace Negotiations:
Israeli Postwar Political-Military Options in an Era of Accelerated Change
Executive Summary Israel enters a new peace process at a time of considerable short-term safety and long-term uncertainty. The social and demographic consequences of the Gulf War have not fully expressed themselves on the politics of the region, while the military role of Iraq in the future is hard to
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Dore Gold
In-Depth Reports
The Arab States and the Arab-Israeli Peace Process:
Linkage or Disengagement?
Executive Summary Traditionally, Arab states have been unable and/or unwilling to make peace with Israel for a variety of internal and external reasons -- domestic instability and external weakness in the case of Jordan, ideological and strategic militancy in the case of Syria, domestic opinion and regional weakness in the
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Barry Rubin
In-Depth Reports
Palestinian Self-Government (Autonomy):
Its Past and Its Future
154 Pages
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In-Depth Reports
The Arrow Next Time?
Israel's Missile Defense Program for the 1990s
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In-Depth Reports
A Post–Gulf War Assessment
What I hope to offer here is a Congressional perspective on the Persian Gulf War, the end of the Cold War, and what these developments may mean for the Middle East peace process. The Gulf War in Retrospect First, to the Persian Gulf War: there were many articles and retrospectives
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In-Depth Reports
From War to Peace in the Middle East?
Keynote addresses by Richard Haass, Les Aspin, and Dan Meridor. With Saad Eddin Ibrahim, Ze'ev Schiff, Zalman Shoval, Hussein Hammami, and others.
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In-Depth Reports
Damascus Courts the West:
Syrian Politics, 1989-1991
The Syrian regime of Hafez al-Assad has in the past year seemed to change direction, first with tentative moves toward liberalization, then by siding with the American-led coalition that fought against Saddam Hussein and, perhaps most dramatically, by acceding to America’s wish to attend a peace conference with Israel. There
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In-Depth Reports
The Economic Consequences of Peace for Israel, Jordan, and the Palestinians
While economic issues have not been a driving force in the Arab-Israeli peace process in the past, they are sure to play a critically important role in the historic negotiations looming ahead. Across the wide Sinai expanse, Egypt and Israel have little to show in the way of economic ties
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Patrick Clawson
Howard Rosen
In-Depth Reports
The Future of Iraq
68 pages
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In-Depth Reports
After the Storm:
Challenges for America's Middle East Policy
Executive Summary The defeat of Saddam Hussein and the elimination of Iraq's offensive capabilities have reestablished a favorable balance of power in the Middle East. But the Gulf War has left in its wake serious challenges to American efforts to establish a more stable regional order. This report focuses on
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In-Depth Reports
The Gulf War:
A First Assessment
The Difficulties Encountered in the Gulf Crisis The effort that was mounted last August by President Bush to counter Saddam Hussein's aggression now looks, in light of all that has happened since August 2nd, as though it were foreordained. We are all used to dealing with the fact that the
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In-Depth Reports
American Strategy after the Gulf War
Keynote addresses by Richard Cheney and Ze'ev Binyamin Begin. With Thomas Freidman, Tahseen Basheer, Ehud Ya'ari, Alexander Haig, and others.
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GulfWatch
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Brief Analysis
Avoiding American Complicity in the Coming Kurdish Massacre
Yesterday John Chancellor bitterly concluded that, "George Bush is supporting Saddam Hussein." The New York Times explained that: "President Bush has decided to let President Saddam Hussein put down rebellions in his country . . . rather than run the risk of splintering Iraq." The situation in Iraq today is
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Brief Analysis
Visiting Kuwait
Though Iraq wreaked enormous devastation on Kuwait's oil industry toward the end of the war, Kuwaitis can hope for a fairly rapid recovery after an initial period of sorting out. What may not return to normal is Kuwait's relationship with its Palestinian community and with Jordan. Kuwait and other Gulf
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Brief Analysis
Post War Issues #5:
Preventing Iraq's Rearmament
Iraqi efforts to acquire unconventional weapons became a major concern even before the invasion of Kuwait in 1990. Chemical weapons produced during the 1980s were used in large quantities against Iranian soldiers and Kurdish civilians. Iraq developed extended range ballistic missiles, and built an infrastructure for development and production of
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Brief Analysis
Post War Issues #4:
Iraq, Paying Its Debt to Society
The U.S. and its coalition partners have insisted on the acceptance in principle of Iraq's responsibility to pay compensation for the loss, damage and injury its aggression has caused. While all agree on the importance of the principle, strong differences exist on how hard to push Iraq for actual cash
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Patrick Clawson
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