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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
On the Murder of Husham al-Hashemi
On July 6, 2020, Iraq’s most prolific security commentator Husham al-Hashemi was assassinated in Zayouna, a social melting pot neighborhood of east Baghdad. At 8:19 pm, he arrived outside his home, driving his own unarmored white SUV. Seconds before, two motorbikes pulled up, each carrying two young men. They knew
۷ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۰
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Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Israel’s Short-Lived ‘Victory’ Over Coronavirus
Political, social, and epidemiological missteps have left the country with limited options short of an onerous national lockdown.
۷ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۰
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Neri Zilber
Articles & Testimony
Will Iran ‘Go Nuclear’ Over Its Latest Nuke Site Setback?
Even if the regime’s prospects of obtaining enough high-enriched uranium for a weapon have been greatly delayed, the potential repercussions do not end there.
۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
Simon Henderson
Video
Brief Analysis
How the Contest to Succeed Abbas Is Shaping Palestinian Options
Israeli and Palestinian experts and former negotiators explore the lack of clarity surrounding the next PA leader, including the potential effects succession might have on internal politics, annexation responses, U.S. policy, and more.
۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
Ghaith al-Omari
Ehud Yaari
Michael Herzog
Articles & Testimony
Israelis and Palestinians Must Realize That Each Needs to Give, Not Just Take
Netanyahu is treating the Trump plan like a buffet where he can choose only the parts he likes.
۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
David Makovsky
Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
The Role of the Military in Russian Politics and Foreign Policy Over the Past 20 Years
The Kremlin’s interventions in Syria and elsewhere are just one part of its society-wide efforts to bolster Putin’s domestic standing via the security sphere.
۲ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
The Fragile Status Quo in Northeast Syria
The mixed Kurdish-Arab zone could buckle under any number of security, health, and economic threats, especially if the United States surrenders to Russian and Turkish interests by withdrawing its remaining forces.
۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
Fabrice Balanche
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How GCC Conflict Impacts the Gulf Response to Israeli Annexation
With the potential of Israel moving forward with annexation looming, the question of its likely impact on recent steps of normalization with Gulf countries is becoming increasingly relevant. Yet the situation is ambiguous; while the scope of any annexation and the intensity of opposition to it throughout the Arab world
۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۰
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Yoel Guzansky
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Two-Thirds in Jordan Fear U.S.-Israeli Plans, But Domestic Issues Rank First
The Jordanian “street” is now relatively content with its government’s posture, in spite—or indeed precisely because—of all the turbulence surrounding it.
۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
The Blue Line: The Israel-Sudan Border? The Challenge of Infiltrators from Lebanon
Although Sudanese workers crossing the border are hardly a terrorist threat, they do pose problems that need to be addressed by Israeli, Lebanese, and international authorities.
۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۰
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Assaf Orion
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How Iraq and the United States Can Further the Strategic Dialogue
The United States and Iraq officially launched the bilateral strategic dialogue on June 11 as an opportunity to mend relations under the newly formed Iraqi government. While Iranian backed forces hoped for the initial meeting to produce dramatic results vis-a-vis the future of U.S. presence in the region, the first
۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
Shukur Khilkhal
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Al-Hawl Camp and the Potential Resurgence of ISIS
Even after the fall of of the Islamic State’s (ISIS) territorial control last March, the al-Hawl refugee camp of northern Syria remains the group’s beating heart. Over the past five years, both ISIS and other extremist groups have spread extremist ideologies throughout the Syrian al-Hawl region, with the al-Hawl camp
۲۹ ژوئن ۲۰۲۰
◆
Shoresh Khani
تحلیل کوتاه
انقضای تحریم تسلیحاتی ایران: راه باریک سازش در سیاستگذاری
جدا کردن تحریم تسلیحاتی از توافق هستهای میتواند بهترین امید برای کاهش تنشها بین اعضای گروه ۵+۱ باشد و همزمان دسترسی ایران به تسلیحات پیشرفته را هم محدود کند.
۲۹ ژوئن ۲۰۲۰
◆
مایکل سینگ
Brief Analysis
Testing Iraq’s Ability to Crack Down on Anti-U.S. Terrorism
After Kataib Hezbollah was caught red-handed prepping new rocket strikes, justice needs to be served, and Iraq’s government needs to be better secured.
۲۶ ژوئن ۲۰۲۰
◆
Michael Knights
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Egyptian Public Concerned About Internal Problems, Not Israel; Government Policies Rated Poorly, But Mixed Views on Protest
New data from a rare independent opinion poll show that the Egyptian public is much more concerned about domestic problems, including public health, than any foreign policy issue. And when it comes to foreign affairs and U.S. policy, only a third put the Israeli-Palestinian conflict at the top of their
۲۶ ژوئن ۲۰۲۰
◆
David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Merging Talks on Northeast Syria with a Whole-of-Country Approach
Deeper Turkish engagement with the Syrian Kurds would be helpful, but any such talks need to be linked with ongoing efforts to contain the Islamic State and advance the UN’s broader Geneva process.
۲۵ ژوئن ۲۰۲۰
◆
Jomana Qaddour
Cansu Camlibel
Articles & Testimony
I’m an Ardent Zionist. But Israel’s Annexation Makes No Sense.
If Netanyahu decides to throw prudence aside and proceed with the move, it would impose impossibly high costs and deliver few benefits.
۲۵ ژوئن ۲۰۲۰
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Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
The Ghost of Annexation Past
King Abdullah's 1950 annexation of “Arab Palestine” shows that a bold leader can play his advantages well, redraw the map, gain some recognition, and still leave only regrets.
۲۵ ژوئن ۲۰۲۰
◆
Martin Kramer
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
U.S.-Turkish Cooperation Is Key for Lasting Stability in Northern Syria
Conflicting priorities in the Syrian war have strained the U.S.-Turkish relationship since 2014, shaping Turkey's foreign policy in the country and the structure of its alliances. Turkey’s geopolitical identity and long-standing alliance with the United States, as well as its status in NATO, have come into question due to its
۲۴ ژوئن ۲۰۲۰
◆
Ammar Musarea
Articles & Testimony
Japan’s False Hopes of Courting Russia
A territorial dispute between Moscow and Tokyo illustrates the challenge that midsize powers face in an era of great power competition.
۲۴ ژوئن ۲۰۲۰
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
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