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Brief Analysis
The Hodeida Redeployment Plan: A Slow Start in Yemen
Even as it nudges the parties to make good on their initial withdrawal agreements, Washington should counsel patience on what will likely be a long, bumpy road toward full peace talks.
۲۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
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Elana DeLozier
In-Depth Reports
The Supreme Leader and the Guard:
Civil-Military Relations and Regime Survival in Iran
As the Islamic Republic of Iran turns forty, the dream of a unified theocratic state remains elusive. The national leadership faces three converging threats: Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's uncertain health and the prospect of a destabilizing succession process; domestic dissatisfaction, manifested in daily protests across the country; and economic struggles brought
۲۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
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Saeid Golkar
Brief Analysis
Saudi Ambassador Switch Overshadows Important Defense Appointment
Sending a princess to head the embassy in Washington has grabbed the headlines, but her predecessor’s elevation to deputy defense minister may have greater policy and political implications.
۲۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
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Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
What Washington—and Iran—Should Take Away from the Warsaw Conference
“Takeaways” is the classic Washington term used to encapsulate the outcomes of high-profile diplomatic gatherings. Last week, I was invited to moderate a panel at the “Ministerial to Promote a Future of Peace and Security in the Middle East,” cohosted in Warsaw by Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and Polish
۲۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Dueling Narratives in Israel’s Election Campaign
A new political merger has distilled the campaign into a two-faction race, and each side is already crafting its message accordingly.
۲۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Options for a Lighter U.S. Footprint in Syria
There are alternatives to the overt presence of U.S. controllers on the ground, and allies can help maintain the tempo of strikes in various ways.
۲۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
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August Pfluger
Michael Knights
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
International Engagement in Iraq Is Tied to Military Presence
The U.S.-led coalition to defeat the Islamic State is the strongest alliance Iraq has ever enjoyed, but much of the resultant international attention and support could dissipate if forces are removed.
۲۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
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Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
The Khashoggi Showdown: Executive-Congressional Dynamics and the U.S.-Saudi Relationship
The administration’s handling of the situation has exacerbated distrust among lawmakers and opened the door to wider questioning of the bilateral relationship.
۱۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
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Dana Stroul
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
After Withdrawal, Soft Power and a Safe-Zone Can Still Help U.S. Interests in Syria
On December 19, 2018, the Trump administration surprised the international community by announcing the withdrawal of U.S. forces from Syria. While the Pentagon has begun crafting a strategy for withdrawal, the timeline for the departure is uncertain and could stretch over several months. With the process already in motion, Syrian
۱۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
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John Saleh
Brief Analysis
What Washington—and Iran—Should Take Away from the Warsaw Conference
The moderator of a landmark Middle East panel explains why the conference may signal growing Arab-Israeli strategic convergence, firmer European action on Iran, and further stalemate in Syria.
۱۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
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Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
Saudi Arabia’s Powerful Prince Tours Asia—With Purpose
The trip has coincided with a new flare-up in India-Pakistan tensions, making Riyadh’s balancing act between regional rivals trickier than ever.
۱۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
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Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Russia’s Search for Strategic Partnerships in North Africa: Balancing Algeria and Morocco
There has recently been a great deal of controversy surrounding the question of what role Russia will play in North Africa, especially after the apparent success of the Russian strategy in managing the Syrian conflict. This relative military and diplomatic success has opened the way for Russia to rethink its
۱۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
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Mohammed Issam Laaroussi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Local Partnerships are Key to Confronting Iran in Iraq
With its historical, cultural, and civilizational depth, combined with a deft wielding of soft and hard power, Iran currently feels that it has the upper hand in Iraq. Moreover, Iranian strategy has experienced an important development: it has moved from calling for popular revolutions against political regimes to intervening in
۱۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
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Firas Elias
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Generational Conflict and Forging the Future in the Current Sudanese Movement
The December 25th movement in Sudan, with its ongoing protests, should not be viewed as a political movement so much as the movement of a new generation earnestly questioning what lies in their future. Despite the prevalence of political and economic analysis on the crisis, this aspect of a generational
۱۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
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Yasir Zaidan
Brief Analysis
Seeing Red: Trade and Threats Shaping Gulf-Horn Relations
The Red Sea is fast becoming a critical economic and security node between the Gulf states and the Horn of Africa, so Washington should work to ensure cooperation, not conflict.
۱۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
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Elana DeLozier
Brief Analysis
Can Asaib Ahl al-Haq Join the Political Mainstream?
The Iraqi militia seeks to follow peers like the Sadrist movement and Badr Organization, but it must first back up its rhetoric with moderating actions.
۱۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
Michael Knights
Frzand Sherko
Video
Brief Analysis
A Cultural Policy for Arab-Israeli Partnership
Watch a lively conversation with Joseph Braude and Tamara Cofman Wittes on the opportunities for Arab-Israeli normalization created by initiatives beyond the commonly discussed security and economic sectors.
۱۳ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
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Joseph Braude
Tamara Wittes
Articles & Testimony
Iran, 40 Years After Revolution, Still Looms Large in Middle East
The ball has bounced mostly in the regime’s direction since 1979, though Tehran may now be approaching the revolutionary equivalent of imperial overstretch.
۱۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Is Mosul Headed for a Second Fall?
During the nine-month campaign to wrest the Nineveh Governorate and its capital Mosul from Islamic State (IS) completed in 2017, much of Mosul’s infrastructure was destroyed. Although life has returned more or less to normal in the eastern part of the city, scenes of destruction remain prevalent in the city’s
۱۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
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Gevera Zaya
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
U.S. Withdrawal, Arab NATO, and How America Can be a “Force for Good”
As many anticipated, U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo’s January 10 speech in Cairo focused on three main themes: the Trump administration’s unconditional support for Israel, an emphasis on decisively confronting Iran, and the continued intention to combat the Islamic State (IS) and radical Islamism. Pompeo presented these themes in
۱۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
Muhammad Mansour
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