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Brief Analysis
What to Watch for as Lebanon Forms a New Government
The cabinet’s composition is a fait accompli, but foreign officials may still be able to influence key security appointments—or, failing that, up the financial and diplomatic pressure on Hezbollah and its political allies.
۲۰ دسامبر ۲۰۱۸
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Hanin Ghaddar
Brief Analysis
As Washington Prepares to Withdraw from Syria, Turkey Is Set to Invade
The combination of premature steps would further damage U.S. credibility while giving Iranian proxies and Islamic State remnants free rein in east Syria.
۱۹ دسامبر ۲۰۱۸
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Dana Stroul
Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
In the Scramble to Save the Iran Deal, Don’t Forget Procurement
A new UN report does little to assuage concerns about suspicious Iranian procurements, underscoring the need for allied intelligence agencies to boost their detection efforts.
۱۹ دسامبر ۲۰۱۸
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Elana DeLozier
In-Depth Reports
Russia's Arabic Propaganda: What It Is, Why It Matters
Explore the subtle strategies, including information manipulation, that Moscow is using to expand Russian influence in the Middle East.
۱۹ دسامبر ۲۰۱۸
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Catherine Cleveland
Video
تحلیل کوتاه
چهل سال پس از جمهوری اسلامی: چه در پیش است؟
گفتوشنود رضا پهلوی در انستیتو واشنگتن
میزگرد «مباحث سیاست گذاری» روز جمعه ۱۴ دسامبر ۲۰۱۸، با حضور رضا پهلوی، فرزند شاه فقید ایران محمدرضا شاه و به مدیریت مهدی خلجی از دانشوران انستیتو واشنگتن در محل انستیتو برگزارشد. در این میزگرد که به زبان انگلیسی انجام شد، آینده جمهوری اسلامی، توانایی اپوزیسیون برای بهره گیری از نارضایتی گسترده از ایدئولوژی اسلامی و چشم انداز دموکراسی لیبرال در مسیر آتی ایران مورد بحث قرارگرفت. در ادامه ویدئو این جلسه به زبان انگلیسی و همچنین متن کامل آن به زبان فارسی در دسترس شما است.
۱۸ دسامبر ۲۰۱۸
◆
Reza Pahlavi
Video
Brief Analysis
Tunisia's Foreign Fighters
Two leading experts discuss why thousands of young Tunisians mobilized for jihad in Iraq and Syria, and what governments are doing now that they are taking their cause back home—or to the West.
۱۷ دسامبر ۲۰۱۸
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Jacob Walles
◆
Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Brief Analysis
After Palermo: Achievements and Future Challenges for Libya
The Italian-sponsored stabilization conference produced some positive outcomes, but a genuine breakthrough requires U.S. involvement.
۱۷ دسامبر ۲۰۱۸
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Ben Fishman
Barbara A. Leaf
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
UAE Public Privately Split on Key Issues, New Poll Reveals
Data from a rare public opinion poll conducted in the United Arab Emirates in November shows its citizens more divided than often assumed on a number of topical issues, both foreign and domestic. These issues include women’s rights, cooperation with Israel, and even the UAE’s close ties with the United
۱۷ دسامبر ۲۰۱۸
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David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
Rouhani’s Threat to Shut the Strait of Hormuz—More Than Bluster?
Thirty-five years of historical precedent make clear that Tehran will lash out if it feels cornered.
۱۴ دسامبر ۲۰۱۸
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Sisi Restores Jewish Heritage in Egypt
His recent outreach to Jews is welcome, though it should not be mistaken for a total shift in his repressive tendencies or a sea change in the Egyptian public’s rejection of Israel.
۱۴ دسامبر ۲۰۱۸
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Haisam Hassanein
Brief Analysis
The Big, the Small, and the Needless: Rebalancing Three UN Peacekeeping Missions
A former Israeli general explains why rethinking the missions is crucial to containing Iran’s proxies and reducing waste in international security expenditures.
۱۴ دسامبر ۲۰۱۸
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Assaf Orion
Brief Analysis
How to Build on the New Yemen Agreement
Negotiations in Stockholm have created opportunities for progress, but pressuring the parties is necessary to cement these initial gains and keep the nascent process from collapsing.
۱۳ دسامبر ۲۰۱۸
◆
Dana Stroul
Video
Brief Analysis
The IRGC and Regional Conflict: Temperature Rising
The author of a landmark new book on the IRGC joins two Iran scholars for a lively conversation on how best to understand the force’s origins and exploit its weaknesses.
۱۲ دسامبر ۲۰۱۸
◆
Nader Uskowi
Ali Alfoneh
Alex Vatanka
Brief Analysis
Saudi Arabia’s ‘Black Swan’ Policymaking
Riyadh’s allies need to adjust more to the kingdom’s dynamic decisionmaking, once noted for being slow and cautious.
۱۲ دسامبر ۲۰۱۸
◆
Assaf Orion
Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Hints of Crisis as Algeria Enters Election Mode
The country avoided the tumult of the Arab Spring, but its next election cycle will bring political, economic, and social challenges back to the fore.
۱۲ دسامبر ۲۰۱۸
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Abdelillah Bendaoudi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Fighting Corruption in Algeria: Turning Words into Action
In November, Secretary-general Haba El-Okb gave a speech on behalf of the Algerian President acknowledging Algeria’s widespread issue of corruption at a provincial governors’ conference held in Algiers. Through his proxy, Bouteflika warned that “bribery, nepotism, suffering, and iniquitous bureaucratic maneuvering—these ills have festered in the body of our society
۱۲ دسامبر ۲۰۱۸
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Ahmed Marwane
Brief Analysis
Iran Plans to Make Its Oil Industry More Resilient
To counter U.S. sanctions, Tehran is pursuing a three-pronged strategy of diversifying its export outlets, bumping up fuel production, and creating a strategic storage network.
۱۱ دسامبر ۲۰۱۸
◆
Farzin Nadimi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How Russia Challenges the United States’ Investment in Egypt
To outside observers, it sometimes appears that decision makers in Washington take the close relationship between Egypt and the United States for granted. On the one hand, this makes sense: The United States has invested a great deal of money and political capital in its relationship with Cairo. Egypt is
۱۱ دسامبر ۲۰۱۸
◆
Mohamed Maher
Articles & Testimony
All Is Quiet on Iran’s Western Front, Say UN Peacekeepers
Local UN forces need serious rebalancing if they are to help address Tehran’s blatant military buildup in the area.
۱۱ دسامبر ۲۰۱۸
◆
Assaf Orion
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
New Saudi Poll: Corruption a Major Concern, Divisions on Reforms and U.S. Ties
In the wake of the Khashoggi scandal, a rare new public opinion poll in Saudi Arabia shows wide popular concern about corruption and a number of other internal problems. At the same time, the survey data demonstrates only minority support for the official initiative of Islamic reform. Ironically, then, this
۱۱ دسامبر ۲۰۱۸
◆
David Pollock
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