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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Protests in Southern Algeria: Causes and Repercussions
Protesters in the Algerian province of Ouargla took unprecedented action late last month and boycotted a concert on July 27 by holding communal evening prayers at the concert venue. The protesters hoisted placards condemning the marginalization, exclusion, and discrimination practiced against them for decades. These developed into calls for broader
۲۹ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
Ahmed Marwane
Brief Analysis
Breaking the Stalemate in the Egypt-Ethiopia Dam Dispute
Cairo needs Washington's help to avoid a drastic, potentially destabilizing water shortage while advancing the negotiations with Ethiopia.
۲۸ اوت ۲۰۱۸
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Barak Barfi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Former Saudi and Iranian Diplomats Agree: The Region is Stuck
Saudi Arabia and Iran are not often presented as being ‘in dialogue.’ Yet on January 29, 2018, two former Saudi and Iranian diplomats discussed a host of key issues at the Joint Special Operations University in Tampa, Florida. Prince Turki al-Faisal Al-Saud of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and Ambassador
۲۷ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
Andrew Ledford
Banafsheh Keynoush
Brief Analysis
Saudi Arabia’s Confusing Signals
A further delay in the Saudi Aramco sell-off adds to a growing picture of policy unpredictability.
۲۴ اوت ۲۰۱۸
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Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Druze Communities Face a Regional Decline in Influence
August 26, 2018 — Regional turmoil has forced the generally secretive Druze minority into the limelight. With its leaders losing the influence that has so far protected the community, the Druze must take seriously the threat of disappearing altogether.
۲۴ اوت ۲۰۱۸
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Mona Alami
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Tel Aviv Protests: While Arabs and Jews Unite, Fake News Divides
On the night of August 11, tens of thousands of Arab-Israelis and Jewish-Israelis marched from Rabin Square to the plaza of the Tel Aviv Museum in central Tel Aviv, protesting the recently passed Nation State Law. The demonstrators held up placards demanding equality, justice, a repeal of the law, and
۲۳ اوت ۲۰۱۸
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Neri Zilber
Brief Analysis
Syrian Refugees in Turkey
The continued difficulty of integrating so many displaced people could make Ankara more amenable to a political solution that ends the war and allows large numbers of them to return home.
۲۲ اوت ۲۰۱۸
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Soner Cagaptay
Maya Yalkin
Brief Analysis
Responding to Iran's New Weapons and Naval Drills in the Gulf
Renewed naval exercises, missile tests, and other developments point to a broadening threat, but their muted nature indicates that Tehran is trying to avoid popular backlash at home.
۲۱ اوت ۲۰۱۸
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Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
The Great Middle Eastern War of 2019
Far from simply replaying the 2006 Lebanon war, the next conflict on Israel’s northern frontier will likely involve many more actors on multiple fronts, raising unprecedented challenges for escalation management.
۲۰ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
Nadav Ben Hour
Michael Eisenstadt
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Is it Time to Pursue Intra-Sunni Reconciliation?
Although there is little official confirmation, reports have emerged that the Sisi government and Muslim Brotherhood representatives have begun attempting a type of reconciliation. Bloomberg first reported in February that the Egyptian government sought reconciliation in order to offset internal differences between the government and former members of the military
۲۰ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
Dani Tahrawi
Video
Brief Analysis
Turkey Sanctions: Navigating a Historic Bilateral Crisis
Three experts examine the past drivers and near-term consequences of Washington’s rapidly escalating diplomatic conflict with Ankara.
۱۷ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
Amanda Sloat
Max Hoffman
Steven Cook
Brief Analysis
Setting Limits on the Saudi Air Campaign in Yemen
The United States can greatly reduce civilian deaths by asking the Saudis to cease non-battlefield airstrikes in return for greater U.S. support on defensive arrangements.
۱۶ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Iran's Passive Defense Organization: Another Target for Sanctions
Despite its nominal defense role, the NPDO has helped the regime repress citizens online, a function that Washington should counter with sanctions.
۱۶ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
Turkey’s Economy May Be in Freefall, But Erdogan’s Base Believes He Can Do No Wrong
The president has cultivated an adoring crowd of inflexible ‘Erdoganists’ who feed on the politics of resentment and reject Ataturk’s pro-Western legacy entirely.
۱۶ اوت ۲۰۱۸
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Soner Cagaptay
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
'Futurism' is Shaping up as an Alternative to Islamism, and It May Need to Be Protected from Its Champions
The nation-state system in the Middle East is almost a century old and has now witnessed the rise and fall of four “grand narratives”—Modernism, Arab Nationalism, Revolutionary Socialism, and Islamism. These were frameworks that shaped cultural and political understandings of current conditions, as well as the path towards the narratives’
۱۶ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
Hassan Mneimneh
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Kurdish Cultural Freedoms are Possible in Syria—But Not Political Autonomy
From their establishment in 1957 up to the present time, Kurdish political movements in Syria have focused on demanding national rights for the Kurds, couching cultural rights within a package of political demands. With the outbreak of the Syrian revolt in 2011, the emergence of armed conflict, and the resulting
۱۶ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
Hussain Zaidou
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraq Needs a Leader with Vision
Since the fall of Saddam Hussein’s regime, the Iraqi state has successfully weathered a series of security crises that united the public against a common enemy. For example, during the war with the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS), Iraqis from different backgrounds joined forces and rallied behind the
۱۶ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
Hamzeh Hadad
Muhammad Al-Waeli
Articles & Testimony
Iran Is Throwing a Tantrum but Wants a Deal
Defiant warnings aside, Tehran will eventually negotiate with President Trump—as long as Vladimir Putin mediates.
۱۵ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
Dennis Ross
تحلیل کوتاه
خامنهای با حمله به میانهروها آنها را منبع مشکلات ایران خواند
دیدبان سیاستگذاری ۳۰۰۲
تندروان از بازگشت ناآرامیها به عنوان بهانهای برای حمله به کارنامه اقتصادی دولت، دخالت در صلاحیتهای قانونی آن در بخشهای مختلف، و تقویت استراتژی «مقاومتی» رهبر ایران بهرهبرداری میکنند
۱۵ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
مهدی خلجی
Articles & Testimony
Royal Family Politics Could Resolve Saudi Spat with Canada
The king has refused to be sidelined during the crown prince’s other recent instances of overreach, so he may intervene in this episode as well.
۱۵ اوت ۲۰۱۸
◆
Simon Henderson
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