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مقالهها و دیدگاهها
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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Southern Syria is in Desperate Need of Aid
Day after day, the Iranian and Russian occupation forces supporting the Syrian sectarian regime apply a brutal scorched earth policy, destroying areas of Syria not under regime control and displacing the civilians who have withstood the earlier attacks of the regime over the years. This most recent assault, which began
۲۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Mousa Jinati
Brief Analysis
Managing Escalation in Gaza (Part 1): Lessons from Operation Protective Edge
The 2014 conflict showed how escalatory dynamics can quickly lead two adversaries into full-blown fighting even when neither side actually wants a war.
۲۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Nadav Ben Hour
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Ramifications of Russia's Short-Term Syria Strategy
Israel’s downing of a Syrian plane this week has demonstrated that the Syria conflict, while stabilizing in some ways, is far from reaching a clear conclusion. Even as regime forces retake the Southern regions of Quneitra and Daraa, the issue of how to manage the Syrian-Israeli borders has prompted a
۲۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Mona Alami
In-Depth Reports
Neither Remaining Nor Expanding: The Decline of the Islamic State
The eighth volume in the Institute's Counterterrorism Lecture Series features expert briefings by officials, business leaders, and CT practitioners from 2016 and 2017.
۲۵ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Matthew Levitt
◆
Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Egypt and Assad: Calculations, Pragmatism, and Morality
For the past seven years, Egypt, guided by domestic considerations and deterred by the presence of U.S., Iranian, Turkish, Russian, and other European forces, has largely kept clear of the conflict in Syria. Nonetheless, there are signs that Cairo, motivated by animosity towards Islamist groups and by fear that the
۲۵ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Mohamed Maher
Articles & Testimony
Military Is Fourth Party Shaping Pakistan’s Elections, and Future
Foreign policy, defense policy, and the lion’s share of the national budget remain in the army’s hands, giving it major sway over politics.
۲۵ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
◆
Simon Henderson
تحلیل کوتاه
ایران بار دیگر بر سر چهارراهی استراتژیک قرار گرفته است
از آنجا که راهبردِ رژیم در رویارویی با دستگاهِ دولت ترامپ همچنان نااستوار است، آیا سیاستِ سنتی دومرحلهای آن، یعنی آشوبانگیزی و خویشتنداری، اوضاع را بدتر نخواهد کرد؟
۲۵ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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عمر کرمی
Brief Analysis
The Twitter Purge and Digital Diplomacy in the Middle East
The company’s crackdown on fake accounts caused a stir in some regional countries, but the expanding use of encrypted messaging platforms may say more about the people’s sentiment toward their leaders.
۲۵ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Samuel Northrup
مقالهها و دیدگاهها
آیا ممکن است قیمت هر بشکه نفت به دویست دلار و بیشتر برسد؟
تابستان است و هوا گرم. همه میخواهیم به تعطیلات برویم. اما به آن عده از ما که بازار نفت را دنبال میکنیم، حسی حاکی از نارضایتی میگوید که نخواهیم توانست رمان مبتذلمان را کنار ساحل بخوانیم، چون قیمت نفت در مرز انفجار است.
۲۴ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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سایمون هندرسون
Video
Brief Analysis
Bernard Lewis: Appreciating a Scholar of Consequence
Three distinguished experts and former students of the late scholar share their memories of his life and research.
۲۴ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Martin Kramer
Katherine Hughes
Michael Doran
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Jordan Navigates Border Trade, Pressures from Syria
Of all the bilateral ties between Arab states, the Jordanian-Syrian relationship has been among the most intense. Various gradations of reciprocal unfriendliness and even open animosity have characterized the two countries’ ties since the 1970s, reflecting the rise of the Ba’ath party and Hafez al-Assad. However, recent economic instabilities pushed
۲۴ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Shehab Al-Makahleh
Brief Analysis
Reimplementing Iran Sanctions: Where, How, and How Much?
Read or watch a conversation with former Treasury and State Department officials on how the Trump administration should go about renewing financial pressure on Iran's oil industry and other sectors.
۲۰ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Daniel L. Glaser
Suzanne Maloney
Katherine Bauer
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Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Articles & Testimony
Hezbollah's Corruption Crisis Runs Deep
The group's involvement in human trafficking and other criminal activities is far more extensive than Nasrallah cares to admit, going beyond anything his anti-corruption committee is likely to address.
۲۰ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
◆
Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
Putin’s Golan Comments: Implications for Israeli Security
Moscow has seemingly reaffirmed Israel’s right to keep Iranian forces away from the Golan frontier, but it is unclear whether Assad’s southern offensive will actually help or hinder that goal in the long term.
۱۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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David Makovsky
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iran's Posturing on the Strait of Hormuz
The United States steadily continues to tighten the screws on Iran, prompting an upswing in Iranian rhetoric implying that closing the Strait of Hormuz is on the table as a military option in response to U.S. actions. While Iran’s naval capabilities are ill-equipped for a total closure, these threats from
۱۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Firas Elias
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Opinion Survey Insights into the 2018 Iraqi Election
The results of the May 2018 Iraqi elections caught many by surprise, especially in the polling field. A series of public opinion surveys conducted between March and May predicted that the Nasr Coalition, led by Prime Minister Haider al-Abadi, would win the highest number of seats in the Iraqi Parliament
۱۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
◆
Munqith Dagher
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
A Fifth Presidential Term for Bouteflika?
With Algeria’s presidential elections scheduled in April 2019, calls are now being heard from within the Algerian regime for President Abdelaziz Bouteflika to run for a fifth term. This messaging has caused controversy and confusion among Algerians, who are wondering about the unexpressed reasons for regime figures to insist on
۱۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
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Ahmed Marwane
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraq Faces its Next Crisis: Water
While the very earliest civilizations in Iraq grew up around the gifts of the Tigris and Euphrates, millions of Iraqis from the North to the newly revived southern Marshes are at risk from the actions of Iraq’s northern and astern neighbors. Turkey and Iran’s increased limiting of water of the
۱۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
◆
Yerevan Saeed
Brief Analysis
Putting Iraq-KRG Oil Relations on Solid Legal Ground
Notwithstanding their decades of contention, the two governments must resolve their differences legally to make way for economic development and stave off public unrest.
۱۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
◆
James Jeffrey
Bilal Wahab
Articles & Testimony
What the Stolen Iranian Nuclear Secrets Do, and Don’t, Reveal
The Israeli revelations make the argument for sticking with the nuclear accord much more difficult to sustain.
۱۷ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۸
◆
Simon Henderson
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