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مقالهها و دیدگاهها
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Brief Analysis
Denial or Punishment? The U.S.-Israel Debate About How Best to Deter Iran
Experience shows that a balanced strategy blending deterrence by denial and deterrence by punishment can more effectively contain Iran.
۲۶ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
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Michael Eisenstadt
◆
Risks and Opportunities in the Post-April 13 Middle East
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Addressing Human Resource and Development Concerns in Iraq’s Oil and Gas Sector
Many of the necessary reforms start with placing the institution in a competitive position internationally and allowing for decisions that maximize financial returns for the good of the Iraqi people, not individuals hoping to promote their own interests.
۲۶ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
◆
Muhammed Abed Mazeel al-Aboudi
Brief Analysis
The Malaysia-Iran-Israel Triangle Amid the Gaza War
Kuala Lumpur is once again displaying its willingness to facilitate Iran’s illicit activity, support Hamas, and amplify anti-Israel rhetoric well beyond what its neighbors have countenanced.
۲۵ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
◆
Rebecca Redlich
Articles & Testimony
Will Israel Temper Its War on Iran’s Regional Proxies?
Israeli strikes on Hezbollah and other militias in Lebanon, Syria, and Iraq have yielded visible benefits at times, but future operations may elicit a direct Iranian response.
۲۴ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
◆
David Schenker
Video
تحلیل کوتاه
لحظه پرمخاطره خاورمیانه: پیامدهای سیاستگذاری و خطرهای تنشافزایی
دو مقام پیشین آمریکایی و اسراییلی و یک کارشناس امنیتی برای بررسی حمله بیسابقه ایران، پاسخ بالقوه اسراییل، و گزینههای ایالات متحده برای جلوگیری از شروع یک جنگ تمام عیار منطقهای گرد هم آمدند.
۲۴ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
◆
دانا استرول
زوهر پالتی
فرزین ندیمی
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iraqi Militias Hit Two U.S. Sites in Iraq and Syria
Iran-backed groups have adopted tight message discipline so far, not claiming either of the attacks in order to avoid U.S. retaliation while simultaneously warning Prime Minister Sudani to keep pushing for U.S. withdrawal.
۲۲ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
◆
Michael Knights
Hamdi Malik
Crispin Smith
Alex Almeida
◆
Militia Spotlight
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Rise and Fall of the AKP’s Islamist Appeal in Türkiye
Türkiye’s latest elections have allowed the YRP to demonstrate success in certain areas of President Erdogan’s traditional, pious base in Türkiye, emphasizing the waning power of Erdogan’s political message after his shift away from ideologically guided politics.
۲۲ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
◆
Mustafa Gül
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Amid Red Sea Crisis, Saudi Company Launches North Shipping Service
Riyadh’s aim to become a global logistics hub connecting three continents will face challenges if risks to southern Red Sea shipping persist at their current levels.
۲۰ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
◆
Noam Raydan
Farzin Nadimi
◆
Maritime Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
China’s Military Objectives and Operational Experience in the Middle East
A security expert provides an in-depth assessment of Beijing’s military activities, funding, and strategic intentions in the region, including recommendations to prevent these efforts from harming U.S. alliances and interests.
۱۹ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
◆
Grant Rumley
Brief Analysis
Coordinated Iran Sanctions Require Coordinated Enforcement
Following the attack on Israel, world leaders seek to build a coalition of the willing to hold Tehran accountable for its malign activities—though sanctions won’t have their intended effect unless partners cooperate on robust enforcement as well.
۱۹ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
◆
Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
China’s Response to Iran’s Attack Is an Opportunity for Washington
U.S. officials should remind their partners abroad that Beijing’s support for Tehran is jeopardizing regional stability.
۱۶ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
◆
Grant Rumley
Rebecca Redlich
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Kataib Hezbollah Is Part of Iraq’s PMF
The U.S.-designated terrorist group is the most significant player in the Popular Mobilization Forces, which is supposed to be under the command of Prime Minister Sudani—a fact that U.S. officials sometimes forget.
۱۵ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
◆
Michael Knights
◆
Militia Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Arab Tribal and Clan Forces
A newer unit of Arab militiamen in Syria, raised by pro-Assad figure Ibrahim al-Hifl to form an unbroken corridor of Iran-backed tribal fighters between Deir al-Zour and Aleppo.
۱۵ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
◆
Abdullah Hayek
Kyle Robertson
◆
Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Maps & Graphics
Articles & Testimony
Profile: Lions of the Ougaidat Brigade
A Syrian Arab tribal militia directly operated by Iran's IRGC and tasked with fighting the Kurdish-led SDF east of the Euphrates.
۱۵ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
◆
Abdullah Hayek
Kyle Robertson
◆
Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Islamic Resistance in Iraq and Sabereen Highlight Anti-Israel Cruise Missile Strikes
IRI is making up for its inability to strike U.S. sites by making louder claims of more sophisticated attacks on Israel, and Sabereen News seems freer to amplify these claims.
۱۱ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
◆
Ameer al-Kaabi
Hamdi Malik
Michael Knights
◆
Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
What Biden and Sudani Need to Start the Next Chapter of U.S.-Iraq Relations
To move beyond the years-long focus on Iran and the Islamic State, both leaders must commit to actions that set the table for a mutually beneficial relationship and convince skeptical domestic constituencies.
۱۱ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
◆
Dana Stroul
Bilal Wahab
مقالهها و دیدگاهها
داعش به روسیه میآید
تصمیم مسکو به مداخله نظامی در سوریه به افراطگرایی بیشتر در روسیه و استخدام تروریست از میان مسلمانان این کشور منجر شده و روش دولت روسیه در داخل و خارج در مقابل افراطیان کمکی به بهبود این وضعیت نکرده است.
۹ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
◆
آنا بورشچفسکایا
Articles & Testimony
Two Israeli Air Strikes, and Two Syrian Mothers and Sons
The remarkable precision of Israeli attacks on Iranian and Hezbollah operatives in Syria has raised anxiety in Damascus and abroad.
۸ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
◆
Andrew J. Tabler
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iraqi PMF Chief of Staff Commits to Fulfill Iranian Supreme Leader's Plans
Abu Fadak laid bare the limited extent to which his organization is under Prime Minister Sudani's sovereign control, instead identifying Iran's Ayatollah Khamenei as his commander-in-chief.
۸ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
◆
Amir al-Kaabi
Hamdi Malik
Michael Knights
◆
Militia Spotlight
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Turkey’s Anti-PKK Operation and “Development Road” in Iraq Are Two Sides of the Same Coin
Turkey's intertwining of its mega project and its anti-PKK operation improves the chances of success for both elements. But this interconnection can be a double-edged sword—if one element fails, it may potentially hinder the success of the other.
۸ آوریل ۲۰۲۴
◆
İdris Okuducu
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