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Articles & Testimony
Russia’s Disinformation Machine Has a Middle East Advantage
The region has been most receptive to Moscow’s war narrative, which Russian state-run media outlets have been permitted to spread far and wide with no Ukrainian or Western counter-narrative.
۲۳ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
تحلیل کوتاه
توافق ایران-سعودی در پکن چه معنایی دارد ــیا ندارد
چین میانجی توافق شد، ولی این به معنای نظمی جدید به رهبری چین در خاورمیانه نیست ــدر واقع، چه بسا تنشهای منطقهای را تشدید کند.
۲۳ مارس ۲۰۲۳
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هنری رُم
گرانت راملی
Brief Analysis
The “Quintet” Cannot Succeed Without Addressing Israeli-Palestinian Suspicions
Their latest gathering at Sharm al-Sheikh was a welcome opportunity to discuss de-escalation and establish closer ties between key civilian officials, but their efforts may not mean much in the end without visible movement on the security, economic, and political fronts.
۲۲ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
David Makovsky
Nickolay Mladenov
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah Infiltrates Israel (Part 2): Potential Responses
Israel should act quickly on multiple fronts to show Hezbollah that it will not shy away from escalation, especially if the organization continues to test it.
۲۲ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
Nadav Pollak
Maps & Graphics
Articles & Testimony
Introducing the Islamic State Select Worldwide Activity Map
This multimedia tool—easily the most comprehensive of its kind—provides a novel, accessible way to understand the Islamic State’s global reach and activities. Beyond a traditional focus on attacks, find content from Islamic State media, designations, and legal cases.
۲۱ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Hezbollah Infiltrates Israel (Part 1): Another Step Toward Changing the Rules of the Game
Despite representing a significant escalation, the incident also continues a longstanding pattern of behavior aimed at rewriting the informal understandings established since the 2006 war.
۲۱ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
Matthew Levitt
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Can Federalism Work in Lebanon?
For those promoting federalism in Lebanon, a historical analysis of the country's geographic and ethnosectarian divisions demonstrates the necessity of inclusive discussion and collective engagement.
۲۰ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
Robert Rabil
تحلیل کوتاه
توافق صلح یمن به احتمال زیاد امکانپذیر خواهد بود
رسیدن به توافق در یمن کنترل را به شورشیان حوثی تحت حمایت ایران میسپارد اما سعودیها را نیز از یک جنگ پرهزینه و دشوار رها خواهد کرد و به طور بالقوه فرصتهای دیپلماتیک بیشتری ایجاد میکند.
۲۰ مارس ۲۰۲۳
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سایمون هندرسون
تحلیل کوتاه
سقوط ریال ایران لزوما به استیصال دیپلماتیک منجر نمیشود
ریال مدام در حال سقوط است، ولی سیاستگذاران نباید فرض کنند که این امر تهران را وادار به کاهش مطالبات هستهای خود در مذاکرات خواهد کرد.
۲۰ مارس ۲۰۲۳
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هنری رُم
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Turkish Backlash:
How Street Interviews Spread Anti–Syrian Refugee Sentiment
A narrowing space for reliable media has encouraged alternative platforms that promote hateful language, bigotry, and racism directed toward Syrians.
۲۰ مارس ۲۰۲۳
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Sude Akgundogdu
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How Iraqis View Life after the Fall of Saddam—Twenty Years Ago and Today
Two decades after the fall of Saddam Hussein, widespread frustration with the current state of Iraq is leading increasing numbers to express a negative view of life in the post-Saddam era.
۱۹ مارس ۲۰۲۳
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Munqith Dagher
Articles & Testimony
Neglect for Human Rights Helped Produce the Crisis in Tunisia
Rampant corruption and economic instability facilitated Saied’s takeover, but Western governments need to recognize that these ills stem from deeper human rights problems such as unchecked police brutality, erosion of freedoms, and lack of respect for due process.
۱۷ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
Sabina Henneberg
Articles & Testimony
The Saudi-Iran Deal Reflects a New Global Reality
Leaders in the Middle East feel more threatened by the competition between China and the United States than by the individual powers themselves, so Washington needs to adapt accordingly.
۱۶ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
Michael Singh
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Nineveh Plains Christians Defend Against the Babiliyoun Militia
An Iran-backed militia run by a notorious human rights abuser was kicked out of a Christian town after it tried to replace local police leaders.
۱۶ مارس ۲۰۲۳
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Yaqoub Beth-Addai
◆
Militia Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Kataib Babiliyoun (50th PMF Brigade)
Kataib Babiliyoun pretends to be a local Christian unit, but its members have been recruited from Shia Muslim communities in southern Iraq with the goal of dominating the strategic Nineveh Plains region.
۱۶ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
Michael Knights
Yaqoub Beth-Addai
◆
Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Turkey’s Opposition, Straining at the Seams
Opposition factions face numerous difficulties in the lead-up to the next elections, as internal disputes may undermine their success.
۱۶ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
M. Bahadırhan Dinçaslan
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Electoral Law: Signaling a Short-Lived Run for Iraq’s Independent MPs?
A change to the Sainte-Laguë representation system will significantly hinder the ability of smaller parties and independent candidates to win seats in Iraq's next elections.
۱۶ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
Ashleigh Whelan
Mohanad Adnan
Brief Analysis
China’s Track Record on Middle East Diplomacy
Beijing has responded to regional conflicts with a bevy of multilateral forums, peace plans, and envoys, but without the deeper commitments and follow-through required to resolve them.
۱۵ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
Carol Silber
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Mainstreaming Hashd Commanders (Part 1): Advanced Education for Senior Militiamen
U.S.-designated terrorists and human rights abusers are beginning to receive senior ranks, staff college certification, and national security degrees at Iraqi and Arab military schools.
۱۵ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
Michael Knights
Amir al-Kaabi
◆
Militia Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Mainstreaming Hashd Commanders (Part 2): Fifty-Fold Increase in Officer Training
This year has seen a massive increase in the training of Iraqi militia officers at Defense Ministry academies, and a dedicated PMF training college might be developed under expanded legislation.
۱۵ مارس ۲۰۲۳
◆
Amir al-Kaabi
Michael Knights
◆
Militia Spotlight
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