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Brief Analysis
UN Plan Fails in Cyprus:
Implications for Turkey, the European Union, and the United States
On April 24, Greek and Turkish citizens of Cyprus voted on UN Secretary General Kofi Annan's plan to resolve the long-standing dispute on the island. The elusive Cyprus issue once again evaded solution: although 65 percent of the Turkish Cypriots voted to accept the Annan plan, 76 percent of Greek
۲۹ آوریل ۲۰۰۴
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
The Transfer of Sovereignty in Iraq:
Prospects for a Security Agreement
In congressional hearings on Iraq last week, legislators repeatedly asked testifying administration officials whether the United States would negotiate a formal security agreement with the post-June 30 Iraqi interim government. The officials explained that following the planned transfer of sovereignty to Iraq, U.S. and coalition forces would operate in accordance
۲۷ آوریل ۲۰۰۴
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Michael Eisenstadt
Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Who Among the Palestinians Can Deliver?
The consistent detachment of "old guard" Palestinian leaders during the past three years of violence has dramatically influenced the nature of the current Palestinian political map. Parallel to the weakening of the old guard, new generations of leaders are emerging that have already become integral to the processes shaping Palestinian
۲۶ آوریل ۲۰۰۴
Brief Analysis
Insurgent Operations against the Highways in Iraq
The intensification of Sunni-based resistance operations and the onset of Muqtada al-Sadr's Shi'i rebellion in early April confronted the coalition with a number of serious military and political challenges, few of which have been resolved. Coalition forces are facing new and increased operational demands, and among these demands is a
۲۶ آوریل ۲۰۰۴
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Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Crisis in Iraq:
Assessments and Implications (Part II)
On April 16, 2004, Michael Eisenstadt, a senior fellow at The Washington Institute, addressed the Institute's Special Policy Forum, along with Jeffrey White and Michael Knights. The following is a summary of Mr. Eisenstadt's remarks. Read a summary of Jeffrey White and Michael Knights's remarks. Recent U.S. confrontations with insurgents
۲۲ آوریل ۲۰۰۴
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Michael Eisenstadt
Brief Analysis
Crisis in Iraq:
Assessments and Implications (Part I)
On April 16, 2004, Jeffrey White and Michael Knights addressed The Washington Institute's Special Policy Forum, along with Michael Eisenstadt. Mr. White, an associate of the Institute, previously headed the Defense Intelligence Agency's Regional Military Assessments Group and Office for Middle East-Africa Regional Military Assessments. Dr. Knights, the Institute's Mendelow
۲۱ آوریل ۲۰۰۴
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Jeffrey White
Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Iraqi Violence:
Shi'i-Sunni Collision or Collusion?
On April 5, Iraqi gunmen attacking U.S. forces in Baghdad's predominantly Sunni al-Azamiya neighborhood were joined by members of radical Shi'i cleric Muqtada al-Sadr's militia, Jaysh al-Mahdi (Mahdi Army). Soon thereafter, posters of al-Sadr, along with graffiti praising the cleric's "valiant uprising" appeared in the Sunni-dominated city of Ramadi. On
۲۰ آوریل ۲۰۰۴
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Jonathan Schanzer
Brief Analysis
The Multinational Divisions in Iraq:
Lessons Learned
Madrid's determination to withdraw Spanish troops from Iraq, combined with the collapse of some multinational forces during recent fighting, poses serious questions about the contribution that such forces can make to security during the period leading up to the June 30 transfer of power. Background The performance of the two
۱۹ آوریل ۲۰۰۴
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Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
The Revolt of Muqtada al-Sadr:
Characteristics and Implications
The challenge posed by Muqtada al-Sadr in the past several weeks remains unresolved, and its consequences are likely to be felt for some time to come. Al-Sadr's actions since March 28 present a complex challenge, one with both military and political implications. Eliminating al-Sadr and his organization as a political
۱۶ آوریل ۲۰۰۴
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Jeffrey White
Articles & Testimony
It Is Not Too Late to Engage the Palestinians
Once again, the Bush administration must prepare for the "day after". This time the preparations apply not only to Iraq, but to the Israelis and Palestinians, as Israel has declared its determination to withdraw from Gaza and part of the West Bank and George W. Bush has endorsed the disengagement
۱۶ آوریل ۲۰۰۴
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Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
Sharon-Bush Plan Isn't the Last Word
In diplomacy, there are times when process and substance take on equal importance. Ideas that might be acceptable, or at least tolerable, if presented one way become wholly unacceptable when presented another way. That may help explain some of the backlash against President Bush's announcement Wednesday that the U.S. would
۱۶ آوریل ۲۰۰۴
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Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
An Education 'Carrot' for Syria
In the days ahead, the Bush administration is expected to impose sanctions on Syria for supporting Palestinian terrorist groups, occupying Lebanon, and developing weapons of mass destruction. While sanctions will apply pressure to the Syrian regime, they could also have the unintended effect of domestically bolstering it. To prevent this
۱۶ آوریل ۲۰۰۴
Articles & Testimony
U.S. Should Choose Time, Place to Confront Radical Cleric
Since the beginning of Muqtada al-Sadr's uprising this month, the U.S. military has been uncompromising in its determination to bring the Iraqi Shiite cleric to justice. Brig. Gen. Mark Kimmitt, deputy head of U.S. military operations in Iraq, is on record as threatening, "We will hunt him down and destroy
۱۶ آوریل ۲۰۰۴
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Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
The Bush-Sharon Correspondence (Part II):
Did the Bush Administration Prejudge Final Status?
Media reportage on yesterday's meeting between President George W. Bush and Israeli prime minister Ariel Sharon has focused on Bush's letter to Sharon as a political windfall for the latter. Some analysts suggest that in his letter Bush prejudged the outcome of an eventual final-status deal between Israel and the
۱۵ آوریل ۲۰۰۴
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
The Bush-Sharon Correspondence (Part I):
Analyzing the Text
The exchange of letters that occurred yesterday between President George W. Bush and Israeli prime minister Ariel Sharon marked an important watershed in the diplomatic history of the Middle East peace process. The short-term impact of the correspondence will be felt in domestic Israeli politics, as Sharon tries to parlay
۱۵ آوریل ۲۰۰۴
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Bush and Blair:
Friends Indeed
Tomorrow's meeting in Washington, D.C., between President George W. Bush and visiting British prime minister Tony Blair was scheduled before the recent outbreaks of violence in Iraq and before Wednesday's announcement of U.S. support for Israel's plan to unilaterally withdraw from Gaza. But both subjects will top the agenda of
۱۵ آوریل ۲۰۰۴
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Liquidating Yassin:
Implications for Israel, the Palestinians, and U.S. Middle East Policy
Israelis and Palestinians are locked in a stalemate that is worsening over time. The withdrawal initiative by Israeli prime minister Ariel Sharon creates an opportunity to transform the situation, but the direction of that transformation remains an unanswered question. Many Palestinians view an Israeli withdrawal from Gaza and an evacuation
۱۳ آوریل ۲۰۰۴
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Dennis Ross
Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
The Battle for Falluja and Sunni Resistance
The battle for Falluja, in which U.S. forces have been fighting to break Sunni resistance elements in that city, has been one of the most sustained fights of the Iraq war and subsequent occupation. Significantly, Sunni insurgents are not only fighting in Falluja, but also across the Sunni heartland. Militarily
۱۳ آوریل ۲۰۰۴
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Jeffrey White
Articles & Testimony
Sharon Has Big Stake in Gaza Plan
This week, President George W. Bush is scheduled to hold summit meetings with Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak and Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon. The heart of both meetings will likely contain discussions surrounding Sharon's plan for Israeli withdrawal from Gaza and from a symbolic four settlements in the West Bank
۱۲ آوریل ۲۰۰۴
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Lessons of the Iraq War and Its Aftermath
The 101st Airborne's Experience in Iraq The 101st Airborne Division returned to the United States in February after spending most of the previous year stationed throughout Iraq's four northernmost provinces. Although the division was engaged in daily combat with insurgent forces in its mission to provide security, it was also
۹ آوریل ۲۰۰۴
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David Petraeus
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