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Articles & Testimony
Fixing Turkish-Israeli Relations
Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan's May 20 demarche calling Israeli acts in Rafah "state terrorism" signals that the iceberg awaiting the crash of Turkish-Israeli relations has now surfaced. Jerusalem needs to act immediately to avoid a fallout with Ankara. Turkish-Israeli relations face a potential crisis. On the Turkish side
۲۲ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۴
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Lessons from the Sunni Triangle
The Mission of the 82nd Airborne Division in Iraq Like all U.S. forces in Iraq, the 82nd Airborne Division was worked hard in 2003-2004. Beginning in February 2003, the division's headquarters were split between Afghanistan and Iraq. From February 2003 to April 2004, at least two maneuver brigades from the
۲۰ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۴
Brief Analysis
The Broader Threat from Sunni Islamists in the Gulf
On July 14, 2004, Bahraini security forces arrested seven suspected terrorists accused of planning "to carry out bombings on some government, economic, and tourist facilities to spread chaos and fear and harm the national economy and foreign investments." The arrests targeted a group of Sunni radicals of the extremist Salafi
۱۹ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۴
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Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Kurds on the Way to Turkey:
How Israel Can Prevent a Crisis in Its Relations with Ankara
(translated from Hebrew) Turkish prime minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan's May 20 demarche calling Israeli acts in Rafah "state terrorism" signals that Jerusalem needs to act immediately to avoid fallout with Ankara. Today, the Turkish-Israeli relationship faces a potential crisis. On the Turkish side, the readiness of the public to accept
۱۳ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۴
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Fence Gives Israel Chance for Peace
Israel has rejected last week's ruling of the International Court of Justice. The court issued a nonbinding advisory opinion Friday that Israel's barrier is an impediment to peace. However, given the violence of the last four years between Israelis and Palestinians and the distrust that violence has engendered, the barrier
۱۳ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۴
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Prospects of Israeli Disengagement:
A Status Report
There is no doubt that Prime Minister Ariel Sharon is absolutely determined to carry out disengagement despite the political problems within his own party. The demographic issue of ensuring a long-term Jewish democratic majority in Israel and the associated political pressure has fueled his determination to proceed with disengagement. Sharon
۸ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۴
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Dennis Ross
Wendy Sherman
Brief Analysis
Unilaterally Constructed Barriers in Contested Areas
The International Court of Justice (ICJ) in The Hague is expected to issue an advisory opinion this Friday, July 9, on the international legality of Israel's security fence. Although advisory opinions are often sought from the ICJ before an international body has made up its mind on an issue, the
۸ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۴
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Israel's Security Fence:
Effective in Reducing Suicide Attacks from the Northern West Bank
The International Court of Justice is expected to rule this Friday, July 9, on the legality of Israel's security fence. The Palestinians strongly oppose the security fence, claiming that the fence negatively affects them. Israel is now seeking to address their concerns through a variety of means relating to the
۷ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۴
Brief Analysis
Implications of U.S. Dependence on Middle East Oil
Reasons for Concern The subject of energy and oil dependence should be at the top of the U.S. national security agenda. There are several reasons for concern. First, the world demand for oil is growing rapidly. Chinese and Indian development alone will push oil consumption up in the near future
۷ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۴
Brief Analysis
Reflections on Tin-Cupping for the Iraq War
A Different Iraq Although the United States had been engaged in a similar reconstruction effort in Iraq not more than twelve years before the recent war in that country, the Iraq of 2003 was fundamentally different from the Iraq of 1991, which meant that the reconstruction effort this time around
۶ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۴
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Dov Zakheim
Articles & Testimony
Egypt's New Role
While the world remains riveted on Iraq, Egypt has signaled a new -- even unprecedented -- readiness to play an intensive leading role in ending the Israeli-Palestinian war. In Egyptian eyes, Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon's intention to withdraw from the Gaza Strip has created an opening, and Egypt is
۲ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۴
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Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
Saudi Arabia Faces Long-Term Insecurity
A string of terrorist attacks in Saudi Arabia sent oil prices to a 21-year high in early June and prompted speculation about the future stability of the Al-Saud regime. Yet, the near-term terrorist threat presents a relatively minor risk compared to the longer-term possibility of state failure....
۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۴
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Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
In Search of 'Righteous Arabs'
The North African chapter of the Holocaust is largely unknown; many would prefer to leave it that way.... The full text of this article is available to registered users of the Commentary Digital Archive.
۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۴
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Middle East Weapons Proliferation:
Lessons from Iraq and Beyond
New Lessons Regarding Proliferation The culmination of Operation Iraqi Freedom has given rise to much debate concerning the exact nature of Iraq's weapons of mass destruction (WMD) programs. Similarly, ongoing negotiations with Iran regarding its nuclear activities have also been dogged by imprecise intelligence and unclear strategies. Both of these
۳۰ ژوئن ۲۰۰۴
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Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
Allied Forces
With the U.S. having transferred sovereignty to Iraqis earlier this week, the Kurds find themselves in a more precarious position than at any time in the last year. On June 8, the U.N. Security Council accepted a new resolution dictating the guidelines for post-U.S. Iraq. The resolution did not mention
۳۰ ژوئن ۲۰۰۴
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Incident in the Shatt al-Arab Waterway:
Iran's Border Sensitivities
After several days of diplomatic tension between London and Tehran, eight British military personnel who had been captured by Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) were released and flown out of Iran on June 24. The men, who served with the coalition forces in Iraq, had been in three boats
۲۸ ژوئن ۲۰۰۴
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Mounting Humanitarian Catastrophe in Sudan:
Implications for U.S. Policy
Secretary of State Colin Powell will visit Sudan on Tuesday, June 29, stopping first in Khartoum before visiting the war-torn western province of Darfur. Powell will be the first U.S. secretary of state to visit Sudan since Cyrus Vance in 1978. In addition to meetings with Sudanese officials, Powell will
۲۸ ژوئن ۲۰۰۴
Brief Analysis
The PKK's New Offensive:
Implications for Turkey, Iraqi Kurds, and the United States
On June 1, 2004, the Kurdistan Workers Party (PKK) -- an organization that appears on the State Department's list of Foreign Terrorist Organizations and whose attacks caused more than 30,000 deaths in Turkey during the 1980s and 1990s -- declared that it had rescinded its unilateral "ceasefire" of February 2000
۲۵ ژوئن ۲۰۰۴
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Implications of a Nuclear Iran
Testimony before the House Committee on International Relations, Subcommittee on the Middle East and Central Asia The emergence of a nuclear Iran could alter the balance of power in the Middle East, leading to a heightened risk of conflict, and possibly nuclear war. This raises several questions: How close is
۲۴ ژوئن ۲۰۰۴
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Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
Yemen's War on Terror
Yemen has emerged of late as one of the more fertile locations for Al Qaeda activity. Al Qaeda's Yemeni affiliate, the Islamic Army of Aden-Abyan (IAA), has executed a number of spectacular attacks against Western interests in recent years. It was responsible for the 1998 kidnapping of sixteen Western tourists
۲۴ ژوئن ۲۰۰۴
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Jonathan Schanzer
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