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Articles & Testimony
Who Did It?
Confusion dominates what has been described as Spain's "place in the history of infamy" because of multiple clues about who could have blown up the Madrid trains that killed about 200 people. Spanish authorities were already on high alert for a possible attack by the Basque terrorist group ETA (Basque
۱۴ مارس ۲۰۰۴
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Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Libya's WMD Renunciation:
How to Consolidate and Replicate
Testimony before the House Committee on International Relations, Hearing on Weapons of Mass Destruction, Terrorism, Human Rights, and the Future of U.S.-Libyan Relations I will confine myself to two issues: first, how to consolidate Libya's apparent decision to give up weapons of mass destruction (WMD) and second, how to replicate
۱۰ مارس ۲۰۰۴
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
The Iraqi Bill of Rights in Regional Perspective
The Iraqi Transitional Administrative Law (TAL) -- to be officially published tomorrow, when the mourning period for the victims of the March 3 Ashura bombings ends -- includes an extensive bill of rights. Yet, several of the Arab countries whose constitutions offer similar rights have a decidedly unsatisfactory record on
۴ مارس ۲۰۰۴
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Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Al Qaeda's Deadly Gamble
Tuesday's attacks against Shia targets in Baghdad and Karbala during Ashura, the holiest day in the Shia calendar, have all the markings of the simultaneous and co-ordinated attacks now associated with al-Qaeda. At first glance, it would appear that al-Qaeda is succeeding in its quest to destabilize Iraq. The attacks
۴ مارس ۲۰۰۴
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Jonathan Schanzer
Articles & Testimony
Arabs Should Seize upon G8 Reform
In recent days, US Undersecretary of State Marc Grossman has discussed a new G8 initiative for regional reform with officials in Morocco, Egypt, Jordan, Bahrain and Turkey. The initiative, known as the Greater Middle East (GME) Partnership, whose guidelines were set out in a "US Working Paper for G8 Sherpas"
۴ مارس ۲۰۰۴
Brief Analysis
Terror at the Hajj
Among the two million Muslims participating in this year's Hajj in Mecca were a relatively small number of Palestinians and Israeli Arabs. While the vast majority of these pilgrims devoted all of their time in Mecca to religious purposes, others participated in meetings with terrorist operatives as well. Indeed, Hamas
۳ مارس ۲۰۰۴
Articles & Testimony
Blasts at Shrines Raise Spectre of Civil War
As shocking as today's attacks on worshipping Iraqi Shia Muslims are, they were entirely predictable. For weeks the American and British occupation forces had been fearing violence during the festival of Ashura. I know. I was told so several times when I was in Baghdad a month ago. For the
۲ مارس ۲۰۰۴
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Kurds Aim to Secure Continued Regional Control
The 1 February suicide bombings of Kurdish political offices in Arbil highlight a growing instability in northern Iraq. Having operated autonomously during the last 13 years of Saddam Hussein's rule in Iraq, leaders of the Kurdistan Regional Government are keen to continue this arrangement in the new constitution, but are
۱ مارس ۲۰۰۴
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Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Saddam's Ambassador to al Qaeda
A recently intercepted message from Iraq-based terrorist Abu Musab al Zarqawi asking the al Qaeda leadership for reinforcements reignited the debate over al Qaeda ties with Saddam Hussein's fallen Baath regime. William Safire of the New York Times called the message a "smoking gun," while the University of Michigan's Juan
۱ مارس ۲۰۰۴
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Jonathan Schanzer
Articles & Testimony
Hizbullah's African Activities Remain Undisrupted
Union Transport Africaines (UTA) Flight 141 bound for Beirut crashed on take-off from Cotonou in Benin, West Africa on 25 December 2003. According to accounts in the Arab press, a "foreign relations official of the African branch of the Lebanese Hizbullah party and two of his aides" were among those
۱ مارس ۲۰۰۴
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Matthew Levitt
Terrorism in West Africa, Post 9/11
The following is aÿrapporteur's summary of Matthew Levitt's remarks to the CNA Corporation's Center for Strategic Studies workshop on "Oil, Terrorism, and More: The Growing Strategic Significance of West Africa." As we succeed in denying terrorists safe havens in Afghanistan in elsewhere, international Jihadist networks seek new locations in which
۱ مارس ۲۰۰۴
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Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Is There Time?
What you see in Iraq is not necessarily reality. A useful early warning was the two soldiers standing on the Iraqi side of the Habur Gate border with Turkey. Their black berets were emblazoned with the metal insignia showing the Iraqi eagle and flag and they certainly looked like Saddam
۱ مارس ۲۰۰۴
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Special Report:
Super Tuesday and the Middle East
On the eve of the "super Tuesday" Democratic primaries, voters are scrutinizing the positions of the two leading candidates, Senators John Edwards and John Kerry. The following quotes outline their views on Middle East policy: Iraq Edwards: "This policy in Iraq is a failure. What [the Bush administration is] failing
۱ مارس ۲۰۰۴
Articles & Testimony
The Problem within Islam
American efforts towards a democratic Iraq seem to have created some strange bedfellows in the Middle East. The Sunnis of the region -- from Baathist loyalists in Iraq and hardcore Wahhabi zealots in Saudi Arabia to secular-minded elites in Amman, Cairo, and elsewhere -- are now united around a common
۱ مارس ۲۰۰۴
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Delay, Deter and Contain, Roll-Back:
Toward a Strategy for Dealing with Iran's Nuclear Ambitions
Recent revelations regarding Iran's nuclear program have reinforced suspicions that Iran is pursuing a nuclear weapons option, and may be a few short years away from acquiring "the bomb." While senior Iranian officials have repeatedly stated that Iran is not seeking nuclear weapons and that the possession and use of
۱ مارس ۲۰۰۴
Articles & Testimony
The Paradox of Anti-Americanism in Iran
While anti-Americanism has deep resonance in the Arab world, the situation is quite different in Iran, where the United States has in recent years become profoundly popular....
۱ مارس ۲۰۰۴
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Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Will Israel Withdraw from Gaza?
A Labor Perspective
The Israeli government must base its policies on a simple but important vision: that of Israel as a democratic, Jewish state. Although Israel will continue to have a large Muslim minority, it must be a Jewish state, one that can live peacefully alongside a Palestinian state. Three simultaneous steps are
۲۷ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۴
Brief Analysis
Is All Quiet on Israel's Northern Front?
For much of the upcoming presidential election season, the United States will no doubt be preoccupied with domestic affairs on the one hand, and the postwar transition in Iraq on the other. Although Washington undoubtedly hopes for a quiet year in the Middle East, reality might bring less desirable results
۲۷ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۴
Brief Analysis
The 25th Anniversary of Iran's Islamic Revolution:
Looking Back and Ahead
SHAUL BAKHASH The autocratic features of the Islamic Republic of Iran have demonstrated remarkable durability over the past twenty-five years. The defining characteristic of the Iranian political system is the concentration of authority in the person of the Supreme Religious Leader, who has vast powers under the constitution. In some
۲۷ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۴
Brief Analysis
Prospects of Israeli Disengagement:
A View from the Opposition
On February 23, 2004, Shimon Peres addressed The Washington Institute's Special Policy Forum. Current chairman of Israel's Labor Party, Mr. Peres previously served as that country's prime minister, foreign minister, and defense minister, as well as in numerous other positions during a career that has spanned six decades. For his
۲۷ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۴
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Shimon Peres
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