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Brief Analysis
Post-Arafat Transition:
Upcoming Palestinian Elections
As the Palestinians seek to sort out the post-Arafat succession, ostensibly the first order of business is presidential elections. The Palestinian Authority (PA) has said it would hold presidential elections on January 9, 2005. However, making the election successful may require prior commitment to a cease fire, which in turn
۱۹ نوامبر ۲۰۰۴
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Inside Hizballah's al-Manar Television
On October 25, 2004, Avi Jorisch and Salameh Nematt addressed The Washington Institute’s Special Policy Forum. Mr. Jorisch, an adjunct scholar of The Washington Institute, is the author of Beacon of Hatred: Inside Hizballah’s al-Manar Television (The Washington Institute, 2004). Mr. Nematt is the Washington bureau chief and a weekly
۱۸ نوامبر ۲۰۰۴
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Avi Jorisch
Brief Analysis
The Iraq Conference in Egypt:
Aims, Risks, and Approaches
On November 22-23, officials from several countries will hold a conference in Sharm al-Sheikh, Egypt, regarding Iraq's future. The meeting will represent the first major international event focused on Iraq since the reelection of President George W. Bush and the resignation of U.S. secretary of state Colin Powell. Though organized
۱۸ نوامبر ۲۰۰۴
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Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
In the Wake of Arafat:
Palestinian Politics, Disengagement, and U.S. Policy
A transfer of power within the Palestinian Authority, coupled with the Israeli disengagement from Gaza, presents both challenges and opportunities for reviving Israeli-Palestinian peace negotiations. The preconditions of past peace treaties between Israel and its Arab neighbors have demonstrated the necessity for calm on the ground and strong leaders who
۱۷ نوامبر ۲۰۰۴
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David Makovsky
Michael Herzog
Brief Analysis
The UAE After Sheikh Zayed: Tensions Between Tribe and State
The formal succession has been smooth so far, but many questions remain about how the ruling family will handle major regional decisionmaking in practice.
۱۶ نوامبر ۲۰۰۴
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Establishing a National Intelligence Director:
Directing U.S. Intelligence Efforts in the Post-September 11 Era
After an extended absence from public view, Osama bin Laden reappeared in video excerpts aired on al-Jazeera several days before the November 2 election, issuing warnings to the U.S. public about al-Qaeda's intention to continue striking the United States. The incident raises new questions about the extent to which bin
۱۶ نوامبر ۲۰۰۴
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Michael Jacobson
U.S. Army soldiers double-check a map
U.S. Army soldiers double-check a map for their sector and routes in Ad Dwr, Iraq, Nov. 16, 2004. The soldiers are assigned to the 1st Infantry Division's Troop C, 1st Battalion, 4th Cavalry Regiment. They are taking part in a combined information operation conducted with the Iraqi National Guard to
۱۶ نوامبر ۲۰۰۴
Articles & Testimony
Arafat's Troubled Legacy:
Failed Leadership
Yasser Arafat was the revolutionary who could not live without a revolution. Nobody can take from this iconic leader the fact that he spearheaded and embodied Palestinian nationalism, bringing the cause to the world's attention. He was also the symbol of defiance, once called "the stone we throw at the
۱۵ نوامبر ۲۰۰۴
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
A Democratic Palestine
With Fidel Castro now sporting double-breasted suits, the uniform-clad Yasser Arafat could rightly claim to be "the world's last revolutionary." In this regard, as in so many others, Arafat has no heir. None of the contenders to "succeed" him -- if the verb is appropriate to the situation -- wears
۱۵ نوامبر ۲۰۰۴
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
After Arafat:
Challenges Ahead
The convergence of Yasser Arafat's departure from the scene after four decades of domination and the imminent Israeli disengagement from Gaza (which will include the removal of settlements for the first time since 1967) represents a unique opportunity for Israeli-Palestinian relations. Arafat leaves behind a huge leadership void. With such
۱۲ نوامبر ۲۰۰۴
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Michael Herzog
Articles & Testimony
Arafat's Death Can Breathe Life into Peace Process
Yasser Arafat has dominated the Palestinian national movement for the past 40 years. He has been a fixture on the landscape of the Middle East. He came to embody the Palestinian cause and was determined that no other Palestinian figure could emerge as a possible alternative to him. Not surprisingly
۱۲ نوامبر ۲۰۰۴
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Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
Death of a Symbol:
Yasser Arafat Leaves Behind a Complicated Legacy of Nationalism and Terrorism
Few people can remain indifferent to Yasser Arafat. For many Palestinians, he has been their symbol of defiance, who raised the Palestinian cause to the international stage, and brought his people to the gates of Jerusalem. For President Bush and for the Israelis, Arafat's persona as a terrorist has been
۱۱ نوامبر ۲۰۰۴
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Blair's Visit to Washington:
British Politics and the Peace Process
British prime minister Tony Blair arrives in Washington on November 11 -- the first foreign leader to visit following President George W. Bush's reelection. The visit confirms Britain's status as America's most supportive ally and Blair's status as the president's closest foreign confidant. But the British leader is likely to
۱۰ نوامبر ۲۰۰۴
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Judgment Day:
The Second Battle of Falluja
Coalition and Iraqi government forces are moving to retake Falluja from insurgents who have held the city since April 2004. On the evening of November 8, U.S. troops with large-scale air support began to penetrate at several points, encountering some resistance. The coalition and the Iraqi government are gambling that
۹ نوامبر ۲۰۰۴
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Jeffrey White
Articles & Testimony
A Window of Opportunity
Palestinian leader Yasser Arafat has bestrode the Middle Eastern terrain for so many decades that it is hard to imagine the landscape beyond his death. Beloved by some for bringing the Palestinian issue to world attention and hated by others for his embrace of terrorism, Arafat has defined the Palestinian
۹ نوامبر ۲۰۰۴
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
The Man Who Married a Cause
As the Middle East negotiator for the United States during the Clinton administration, I met with Yasser Arafat more than any other non-Palestinian -- probably more than 500 meetings in a series of windowless negotiating rooms, in his office overlooking the Mediterranean in Gaza, in the Oval Office with the
۷ نوامبر ۲۰۰۴
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Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
Why Europe Needs Turkey
On October 6, the European Union issued its much anticipated report evaluating Turkey's accession prospects. The report said that Ankara satisfies the union's membership rules sufficiently to begin accession talks. However, the report also suggested a special track for talks with Turkey, one with no promise of membership. This sets
۴ نوامبر ۲۰۰۴
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Domestic Political Challenges in the Israel-Palestinian Arena:
Options for Sharon
Two major developments have occurred within the past week in the Israeli-Palestinian arena. First, Israeli prime minister Ariel Sharon achieved an initial victory on October 26, when the Knesset voted in favor of disengagement from Gaza—a significant step that has already created both opportunities and challenges. The vote was the
۲ نوامبر ۲۰۰۴
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
The Patriot Act and Middle Eastern Terrorists
FBI officials recently announced that they are trying to retrace the steps of Dhiren Barot, a suspected al-Qaeda operative who spent time in New Jersey in 2000 and 2001. The FBI is particularly focused on determining whether any of Barot's associates remain in the area. Recently, however, the bureau's ability
۱ نوامبر ۲۰۰۴
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Michael Jacobson
Brief Analysis
A Decade of Israeli-Jordanian Peace:
An Untold Economic Success Story
Ten years on, the peace treaty between Israel and Jordan has weathered a number of storms, including the passing away of King Hussein, four years of Israeli-Palestinian armed struggle, and war in Iraq. Despite considerable domestic anti-peace pressure on the Jordanian regime (nurtured by Islamist elements) and strained Israeli-Jordanian political
۲۹ اکتبر ۲۰۰۴
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Michael Herzog
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