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Brief Analysis
A Reform Initiative in Jordan:
Trying to Keep Pace with Iraqi and Palestinian Elections
Jordan’s King Abdullah recently announced a major initiative for decentralizing political and fiscal authority in the kingdom by establishing a number of regional assemblies and empowering them with many of the responsibilities currently enjoyed by the parliament and central government. This effort should be viewed as one of the means
۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۵
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Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
Northern Iraq Faces Increased Instability in 2005
The Sunni insurgency and the forthcoming constitutional debate in Iraq will start to overlap during 2005, providing an impetus and raison d'etre for continued resistance by militant Sunni groups. Though capable of destabilising and intimidating large tracts of central Iraq, the multi-faceted Sunni resistance does not currently boast the strong
۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۵
Articles & Testimony
Hamas and Islamic Jihad Clash over 'Media Jihad'
Matthew Levitt assesses the public perception of and popular support for militant Palestinian organisations. Traditionally, the relationship between Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad (PIJ) has vacillated between tense rivalry and close cooperation. Over the past four years, however, the two groups cooperated closely with each other -- and with other
۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۰۵
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
The Elections and the Insurgency
Iraq's elections will mean many things to many people over time. Nevertheless important results of the historic elections are already clear, or mostly so. The fact that Iraqis in general went to the polls in large numbers is encouraging. But paradoxically the elections may also boost the insurgency's claim to
۳۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۵
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Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Saudi Arabia and Oil:
Coping with the Challenge of Osama bin Laden
On January 26, 2005, Riyadh announced that Prince Nawaf, head of the Saudi General Intelligence Department, had been relieved of his post. The move was not entirely unexpected-the prince has reportedly never fully recovered from a brain hemorrhage he suffered at the 2002 Arab Summit in Beirut. Yet, Riyadh failed
۲۸ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۵
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Lessons from Mosul
The northern Iraqi city of Mosul and its province Nineveh have become the predominant hub of Sunni Arab insurgent activity, making them one of the areas least likely to be able to host effective polling for the January 30 elections. In the lead-up to the elections, the Multinational Forces (MNF)
۲۷ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۵
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Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Hizballah and the Anitglobalization Movement:
A New Coalition?
The World Social Forum (WSF) is currently (January 26–31) convening a Global Anti-War Assembly in Porto Alegre, Brazil, building on its previous conferences attended by thousands of antiglobalization activists from around the globe. Among the issues to be addressed are coordinating actions across borders, determining which tactics to use, finding
۲۷ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۵
Brief Analysis
Resistance Strategy in the Trans-Election Period (Part II):
Opportunities, Effects, and Implications
The Sunni insurgents in Iraq aim to establish the resistance as the primary political and military expression of the Sunni Arab community. The upcoming elections give them an opportunity to inflict a substantial defeat on the Iraqi government and the United States. Unlike November’s Falluja battle, the insurgents are fighting
۲۶ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۵
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Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
No Grace Period for Newly Elected Abbas
The newly announced ceasefire provides an opportunity for progress in Israeli-Palestinian relations, especially with the newly elected Palestinian leadership and the new Israeli coalition government. The time has come for both Israeli prime minister Ariel Sharon and Palestinian Authority chairman Mahmoud Abbas (a.k.a. Abu Mazen) to roll up their sleeves
۲۶ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۵
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Michael Herzog
Brief Analysis
Hizballah in Turkey Revives:
Al-Qaeda’s Bridge between Europe and Iraq?
On January 12, Turkish police arrested Mehmet Semih Arikan, a member of Hizballah in Turkey, a group not necessarily part and parcel with Lebanese Hizballah, while he was carrying out a reconnaissance mission near the governor's office of Konya province, ten minutes ahead of a scheduled visit by Gen. Fevzi
۲۵ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۵
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Soner Cagaptay
Emrullah Uslu
Brief Analysis
Bush's Inaugural Address:
Reactions from the Arab and Iranian Press
In his inaugural address on January 20, President George W. Bush declared that "it is the policy of the United States to seek and support the growth of democratic movements and institutions in every nation and culture, with the ultimate goal of ending tyranny in our world." What follows is
۲۵ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۵
Brief Analysis
Resistance Strategy in the Trans-Election Period (Part I):
Concepts, Operations, and Capabilities
The approach of the January 30 elections in Iraq has focused attention on Sunni resistance activity aimed at disrupting the electoral process. Yet, the increasingly well-organized and more capable Sunni insurgent elements are implementing a broad strategy aimed at establishing themselves as the dominant military and political force in the
۲۴ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۵
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Jeffrey White
Brief Analysis
Iraqi Elections:
What, How, and Who
Iraq’s elections are ready to go forward, but conditions are “far from ideal” in Kofi Annan’s words, due to the growing insurgency, disagreements within the Shiite community, and the logistical difficulties of Iraq’s first ever-free elections. The soon-to-be-elected Transitional National Assembly will play a vital role in Iraq’s transitional process
۲۴ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۵
Articles & Testimony
Arabs and the Holocaust
Of the more than 100 countries that have formally endorsed today's convening of the special U.N. General Assembly on the 60th anniversary of the liberation of Auschwitz, not one is Arab. In the West, this is viewed as another manifestation of Holocaust denial, an increasingly commonplace feature of Arab politics
۲۴ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۵
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Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
A Strategy for Mahmoud Abbas
For Palestinians, the January 9 elections represented a mechanism both for filling the void left by the death of Yassir Arafat and for adopting a path to a different future. Mahmoud Abbas, better known as Abu Mazen, won a decisive victory, nearly two-thirds of the vote, despite calls by Hamas
۱۹ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۵
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Reliant Mermaid Naval Exercise:
Increasing the Peacetime Role of Navies
Last week, between January 9 and 13, surface units from the American, Turkish, and Israeli navies conducted Reliant Mermaid, a biannual humanitarian assistance exercise in the eastern Mediterranean. At the same time, a massive and real humanitarian assistance operation is being conducted mainly by the U.S. Navy to rush aid
۱۸ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۵
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Orhan Babaoglu
Articles & Testimony
Blood, Smoke and Tears in Beirut
BEIRUT -- When we first felt the blast, my girlfriend and I were walking down Hamra Street in West Beirut toward the American University. Tara had flown in from New York City just a few hours earlier on Monday, and I was showing her around the city for the first
۱۶ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۵
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Andrew Exum
In-Depth Reports
The Missing Peace
The Inside Story of the Fight for Middle East Peace
The most candid inside account of the peace process ever written, as told by Washington's point man on the negotiations during the Bush and Clinton administrations.
۱۵ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۵
◆
Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
Iraq:
Outlook for National Elections and Governance
Iraq’s political transition accelerated in 2004 and will experience even more significant advances during 2005. The Iraqi elections represent the next major milestone in the transition, and the winners will fundamentally define Iraq’s future political system. Yet Iraq’s lack of experience with representative government makes forecasts of electoral outcomes difficult
۱۴ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۵
Brief Analysis
Improving Turkish-Russian Relations:
Turkey’s New Foreign Policy and Its Implications for the United States
Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan finished his three-day visit to Moscow today. This trip follows Russian president Vladimir Putin's December 2004 Turkey trip, the first by a Russian head of state since Russia and the Ottoman Empire established relations in the fifteenth century -- excluding a 1972 sojourn by
۱۲ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۰۵
◆
Soner Cagaptay
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