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Brief Analysis
Hizballah's West Bank Foothold
Last week, Hizballah drastically escalated its activity along Israel's northern border, ending seven months of relative calm there. Yet, the assault on Israeli positions in the Shebaa Farms area and the cross-border shelling of northern Israeli towns pale in comparison to the potential danger posed by the terrorist cells and
۲۰ اوت ۲۰۰۳
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Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
Iraq's Ruptured Pipeline to Peace
The attacks against the United Nations headquarters yesterday and against Iraq's oil pipeline to Turkey last weekend illustrate how political and economic security are closely entwined. Ba'athist diehards know that the continuing hardships stemming from economic collapse is what will raise the political temperature among ordinary Iraqis. The lack of
۲۰ اوت ۲۰۰۳
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Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
How to Win Friends and Influence Arabs:
Rethinking Public Diplomacy in the Middle East
Like a sports team after a dismal season, the State Department is going through a "rebuilding process" to figure out how to win Arab and Muslim friends. As depressing statistics about anti-Americanism continue to mount, especially in the Middle East, Foggy Bottom recently announced the formation of a new committee
۱۸ اوت ۲۰۰۳
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Robert Satloff
Articles & Testimony
Terrorism Casts Pall on 'Road Map'
On Tuesday, Hamas and Al Aqsa Martyrs Brigade claimed responsibility for two Palestinian bomb attacks that killed an equal number of Israelis. The bloodshed is the first major test for the 1 1/2-month-old Israeli-Palestinian cease-fire and, more broadly, the stalled "road map for peace." Both the Palestinian Authority and the
۱۴ اوت ۲۰۰۳
Brief Analysis
Turkish Water to Israel?
A Turkish delegation is expected to be in Israel within the next few weeks, perhaps as early as August 20, to sign an agreement committing Israel to buy 50 million cubic meters (mcm) of water annually from Turkey for the next twenty years. Once the operational details -- price, timeline
۱۴ اوت ۲۰۰۳
Articles & Testimony
Tunnel Vision
With so much recent focus on the West Bank "separation fence," the issue that prompted Israel to build a barrier in the first place has been obscured. But as this week's suicide bombings show, the threat of continued Palestinian terror lingers. And in some cases, that threat literally lingers just
۱۴ اوت ۲۰۰۳
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Jonathan Schanzer
Articles & Testimony
Combating Terrorist Financing:
Where the War on Terror Intersects the 'Road Map'
Combating terrorist financing is one of the most critical fronts in both the war on terror and the implementation of the roadmap to peace. In both cases, cutting off the flow of funds to terrorists hinges on focusing on logistical and financial support networks. Too often security, intelligence, and law
۱۴ اوت ۲۰۰۳
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Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
U.S.-Turkish Military Cooperation in Iraq:
The Next Step
A surprising summit meeting yesterday in Ankara involving members of the Justice and Development Party (AKP) government, the Turkish General Staff, the Turkish Foreign Ministry, and the Turkish National Intelligence Organization produced an agreement "in principle" to send Turkish "peacekeeping soldiers" to Iraq. From one perspective, if Turkish troops were
۱۳ اوت ۲۰۰۳
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Right of Return Revisited
Rarely do pollsters make waves like the Ramallah-based political scientist, Khalil Shikaki, who announced last month that the greatest obstacle to Israeli-Palestinian peace -- the so-called Palestinian "right of return" to Israel -- has been lifted. Shikaki claimed that based on his polling data, "It is now clear that an
۱۳ اوت ۲۰۰۳
Brief Analysis
European Union Reforms Diminish the Role of the Turkish Military:
Ankara Knocking on Brussels' Door
On August 8, 2003, the seventh European Union (EU) reform package went into effect in Turkey, significantly curbing the role of the military in politics. This legislation, passed by the Justice and Development Party (AKP) government on August 4, follows six previous packages adopted since February 2002. Collectively, these reform
۱۲ اوت ۲۰۰۳
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Budgetary Predictions Cast Doubt on Rapid Iraqi Reconstruction
If Iraq is to rebuild its infrastructure and restore its economy at the pace forecast by the Coalition Provisional Authority (CPA), it will need to bridge a major near-term financing gap by increasing capital inflows from outside the country and simultaneously improving its ability to absorb aid and investment. Oil
۱۲ اوت ۲۰۰۳
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Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Assessing the Iraqi Sunni Resistance
Since President George W. Bush declared an end to "major combat operations" in Iraq on May 1, coalition forces have repositioned themselves to deal with the emerging resistance in Iraq. Although many attacks on the coalition have taken place in Baghdad, 90 percent are occurring in the so-called "Sunni triangle,"
۱۱ اوت ۲۰۰۳
Brief Analysis
The Invisible Man?
Abu Mazen in the Palestinian Media
Abu Mazen has been essentially boycotted by Palestine Television and Voice of Palestine, stations run by allies and aides of Palestinian Authority (PA) chairman Yasir Arafat. His nonappearance in the Palestinian electronic media cannot be chalked up to Abu Mazen’s diffidence or lack of public support. Indeed, for much of
۸ اوت ۲۰۰۳
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Is Hizballah Resuming the Offensive?
After months of restraint following the double shock of U.S. military victories in Afghanistan and Iraq, Hizballah resumed action against Israel today, firing mortal shells and missiles at the Israel Defense Forces (IDF) along the Israel-Lebanon border. Changes in the regional geopolitical environment and recent statements by the organization's leadership
۸ اوت ۲۰۰۳
Brief Analysis
U.S.-Turkish Military Cooperation in Iraq?
The Next Step
A surprising summit meeting yesterday in Ankara involving members of the Justice and Development Party (AKP) government, the Turkish General Staff, the Turkish Foreign Ministry, and the Turkish National Intelligence Organization produced an agreement "in principle" to send Turkish "peacekeeping soldiers" to Iraq. From one perspective, if Turkish troops were
۷ اوت ۲۰۰۳
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Arafat's Very Own Terror Brigades
Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon visited Washington last week to garner support for a Middle East cease-fire that includes dismantling Palestinian terrorist groups in the West Bank and Gaza. With the focus on Hamas and Palestinian Islamic Jihad (PIJ), however, one terror organization has been largely ignored: the Al-Aqsa Martyrs
۵ اوت ۲۰۰۳
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Jonathan Schanzer
Barak Barfi
Articles & Testimony
When Is a Fence Not a Fence?
While the ceasefire is generally holding between Palestinians and Israelis, the first phase of the roadmap is barely unfolding. Palestinians are making an effort to stem incitement and at least stop terror attacks in Gaza and parts of the West Bank. The Israelis have lifted a few checkpoints, withdrawn from
۴ اوت ۲۰۰۳
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Dennis Ross
In-Depth Reports
Dancing with Saddam:
The Strategic Tango of Jordanian-Iraqi Relations
Jordan has long served as a pivot between moderate pro-Western and radical anti-American states in the Middle East. In the wake of "regime change" in Iraq, the economic, social, and political effects on Jordan will be pervasive. David Schenker, an expert in Middle Eastern politics, explores the complex nature of
۱ اوت ۲۰۰۳
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
The September 11 Congressional Report:
A Sea Change in U.S.-Saudi Relations?
Yesterday's meeting in the White House between U.S. president George W. Bush and Saudi foreign minister Prince Saud al-Faisal reflects both Saudi official anger at the reports of the kingdom's apparent complicity in the terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001, and its continuing ability to gain short-notice access to the
۳۰ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۳
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
The U.S.-Turkish Relationship:
Prospects and Perils
On July 25, 2003, Turkish deputy prime minister and foreign minister Abdullah Gul addressed The Washington Institute's Special Policy Forum. Dr. Gul served as Turkey's prime minister between November 2002 and March 2003, and as minister of state and government spokesman in the Welfare Party government of 1997. The following
۳۰ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۰۳
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