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مقالهها و دیدگاهها
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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
After Al-Burhan’s Seizure of Power, Where Is Sudan’s Democratic Transition Heading?
With Al-Burhan’s coup sparking an international and popular backlash, the military may again look to Hamdok to renegotiate a power-sharing agreement.
۳ نوامبر ۲۰۲۱
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Areej Elhag
تحلیل کوتاه
در میانه درگیریهای بیروت باید از قضات لبنانی محافظت شود
پیشاپیش انتخابات پارلمانی سال آینده لبنان، جامعه بینالملل میتواند با حفاظت از قاضی بیطار به تقویت فضای کوچک ولی مهمی کمک کند که او، در میان نهادهای دستوپاگیر و تحت تسلط حزبالله، معرف آن است.
۳ نوامبر ۲۰۲۱
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حنین غدار
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Militia Rocket Attacks on the Iraqi National Intelligence Service
Such attacks are a specialized subset of violent militia actions, with the most recent incident likely undertaken by Asaib Ahl al-Haq.
۲ نوامبر ۲۰۲۱
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Michael Knights
◆
Militia Spotlight
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Young MPs of the Tishreen Movement Face Off Against Establishment Parties
With a sizable number of independents in Iraq’s next parliament, young Iraqi MPs are hoping to push the Iraqi government to finally deliver on their protest demands from 2019.
۲۹ اکتبر ۲۰۲۱
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Azhar Al-Rubaie
Articles & Testimony
Don’t Let China Distract Us from Russia
Putin has a long list of achievements in the Middle East and is not leaving the stage anytime soon, so Washington must respond to the hardnosed realism that drives him to undermine U.S. influence.
۲۹ اکتبر ۲۰۲۱
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Rise of the Taliban and Iran’s Critical Problem in Afghanistan
Facing a Taliban-controlled Afghanistan, Iran is likely to pursue pragmatism based on mutual interests and forgo escalation, even in the face of growing terrorist threats.
۲۸ اکتبر ۲۰۲۱
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Firas Elias
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Interpreting the Reemergence of the Allies of Syria Operations Room
The recent attack on al-Tanf base and the identity of the Iraqi factions that reportedly helped carry it out indicate Iran's plans to establish a new "deterrence equation" in Syria.
۲۸ اکتبر ۲۰۲۱
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Hamdi Malik
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Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Turkey’s F-16 Request May Not Stave Off the Inevitable
Washington and Ankara have significant diplomatic and security incentives for considering the deal, while rejecting it outright would likely hasten Erdogan’s drift into Putin’s orbit.
۲۸ اکتبر ۲۰۲۱
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Grant Rumley
Soner Cagaptay
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Reflections on Iraq’s October Elections: The Good, the Bad, and the Still Unknown
While Iraq’s new electoral law did have some successes, the reforms it attempted to achieve will only be able to come to fruition if the Iraqi electorate is convinced that elections can make a tangible difference in their lives.
۲۷ اکتبر ۲۰۲۱
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Sardar Aziz
Brief Analysis
The Muslim Brotherhood Sees Cairo’s Flirtation with Biden as an Opportunity
Many Brotherhood members seem eager to exploit recent U.S.-Egyptian gestures on human rights, but there is little likelihood that the Sisi government will reconcile with the fractured, unpopular Islamist group.
۲۷ اکتبر ۲۰۲۱
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Haisam Hassanein
Brief Analysis
In Sudan, the Masks Come Off After a Military Coup
After months of nebulous plotting, the domestic and foreign actors who drove opposition to Hamdok’s reformist government will become more discernible as the generals look for ways to solidify their hold on power.
۲۶ اکتبر ۲۰۲۱
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Alberto Fernandez
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Navigating Influence in Afghanistan: the Cases of Qatar and Pakistan
After capturing Kabul, the Taliban announced that they were seeking good relations with their neighbors—China, India, Iran, Russia, Pakistan, and the Gulf Arab states. Yet given Pakistan and Qatar’s extant relations with the Taliban, the two countries appear to be the main winners in this shifted balance, and whichever one is chosen as the primary mediator will have a significant role in shaping regional policies towards Afghanistan going forward.
۲۶ اکتبر ۲۰۲۱
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Mohammad Salami
In-Depth Reports
Back to Basics
U.S.-Iraq Security Cooperation in the Post-Combat Era
Questions about the viability of the Iraqi security forces—brought into sharp focus by the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan—require a data-led analysis of where the forces are today and what mix of U.S., NATO, and European efforts can help them thrive in the future.
۲۶ اکتبر ۲۰۲۱
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Michael Knights
Alex Almeida
گزارشهای تفصیلی
آغازی جدید برای ایالات متحده در موضوع دموکراسی و حقوق بشر در خاورمیانه
در منطقهای که عامه مردم برای دستیابی به بهداشت و درمان، مسکن، شغل و آزادی بیان فریاد اعتراض سر میدهند، لزومی ندارد پیشرفت در دموکراسی انتخاباتی همیشه اولویت نخست باشد.
۲۵ اکتبر ۲۰۲۱
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دیوید پولاک
رابرت ستلوف
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Reform, Protest, Change
Articles & Testimony
A Plan B for Iran
Tehran has seemingly concluded that sanctions relief is no longer worth compromising for, so Washington needs to change that calculus by credibly sharpening the consequences.
۲۵ اکتبر ۲۰۲۱
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Michael Singh
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
After Establishing a New Government, Tunisia’s Leadership Must Prioritize Fighting Corruption
The formation of a new Tunisian government under recently-appointed Prime Minister Najla Bourden cements the political dynamics that emerged on July 25.
۲۵ اکتبر ۲۰۲۱
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Oussama Boudhrioua
Articles & Testimony
Saudi Prince’s “Net Zero by 2060” Goal Comes with Intriguing Contradictions
His presence at a major climate event will be awash in speculation regarding Canadian hit squads, British charities, and uncertain relations with the Biden administration.
۲۵ اکتبر ۲۰۲۱
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Simon Henderson
Maps & Graphics
تحلیل کوتاه
نامزدهای جنبش «حقوق»: نمایندگان پرشور کتائب حزب الله
جنبش «حقوق» در حال رقابت نزدیک با گروههای دیگر «مقاومت» در مناطق اصلی حوزه های انتخاباتی شیعیان است؛ بهویژه در رقابت با گروه عصائب اهل الحق.
۲۴ اکتبر ۲۰۲۱
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مایکل نایتز
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Militia Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Militia Propaganda Around the Attack on al-Tanf
Iraqi militia actors appear to have had forewarning of the attack, reflecting an increasing focus on anti-coalition operations in Syria.
۲۲ اکتبر ۲۰۲۱
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Crispin Smith
◆
Militia Spotlight
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
A Constitutional Challenge to Iraq’s Treatment of Iraqi Jews
As a lawyer who has specialized in defending minorities right, religious freedom, and civil rights in Iraq, I have come to the conviction that giving justice to Iraq’s Jews is impossible under Iraq’s current legal system, as it must include restoring their stolen rights under a new, democratic Iraq.
۲۱ اکتبر ۲۰۲۱
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Al-Hamadani
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