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Brief Analysis
House of the Leader:
The Real Power in Iran
On June 4, Iran will mark the twentieth anniversary of Ali Khamenei's appointment as the leader of Iran. While international attention is focused on the June 12 presidential elections, the winner of that contest will remain subordinate to Khamenei in power and importance, despite the latter's low profile. Lacking the
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Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Obama in the Muslim World
On May 31, 2009, the Washington Post asked activists, journalists, and policy experts what the president should say in his address in Cairo. The Washington Institute's David Makovsky, the Ziegler distinguished fellow and coauthor of Myths, Illusions and Peace: Finding a New Direction for America in the Middle East, David
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David Makovsky
David Pollock
Articles & Testimony
Punitive Power:
Combating Proliferation with Sanctions
Sanctions are a frequent yet controversial tool used by the international community in dealing with proliferant states and nuclear non-compliance. Matthew Levitt and Michael Jacobson examine the impact of sanctions against Iran and North Korea. © IHS (Global) Limited, Jane's Intelligence Review. Reproduced with permission.
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Articles & Testimony
Hamas:
Hits and Misses
The following is a review of the book, Kill Khalid: The Failed Mossad Assassination of Khalid Mishal and the Rise of Hamas (Allen and Unwin, 2009), by Paul McGeough. In the annals of daring intelligence operations both failed and successful, the Israeli Mossad stands alone. Most recently, the Israeli spy
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Brief Analysis
Obama in Cairo:
Another Step toward Rapprochement?
PolicyWatch #1523 is the second in a two-part series on President Obama's trip to Egypt on June 4 and examines the likely impact of the visit on U.S.-Egyptian relations. Part one focused on the president's much-anticipated speech to the "Muslim world." On June 4, President Barack Obama will deliver his
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
The Egypt Speech:
Obama's Watershed Moment
PolicyWatch #1522 is the first in a two-part series on President Obama's trip to Egypt on June 4 and focuses on the president's much-anticipated speech to the "Muslim world." Part two will examine the likely impact of the visit on U.S.-Egyptian relations. On June 4, President Barack Obama will give
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J. Scott Carpenter
Articles & Testimony
Moderates at Risk in Election
Vice President Joseph R. Biden Jr.'s visit to Beirut last week underscored the enormous stake America has in parliamentary elections that Lebanon will hold June 7. The country's governing majority -- moderate, pro-Western, supported by Washington -- is running neck and neck with a coalition dominated by Hezbollah, the militant
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Brief Analysis
Stabilizing Iraq:
Intelligence Lessons for Afghanistan
After the U.S. initiation of hostilities in Iraq in 2003, Washington's focus shifted away from the conflict in Afghanistan. Until recently, U.S. policy focused on winning the war in Iraq while securing an apparent coalition victory in Afghanistan. Although this policy yielded positive results in Iraq, it led to drift
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Barry Harris
Articles & Testimony
The Leveretts Get Iran All Wrong
Just as he is being criticized by those to his right for his emphasis on engagement with Iran, President Obama came under attack from the left, in the op-ed pages of the May 23 New York Times, for just the opposite. Unlike critics from the right who largely concur with
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Brief Analysis
Fayad's New Government:
Implications and Challenges
Just prior to his May 28 visit to Washington, Palestinian Authority (PA) president Mahmoud Abbas reappointed Dr. Salam Fayad as PA prime minister. Although Fayad headed an interim government since his resignation on March 7, his formal reappointment carries with it important changes to the composition of the government. Signaling
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Mohammad Yaghi
Brief Analysis
The Obama-Netanyahu Meeting:
Analysis and Assessment
This week's White House meeting between President Barack Obama and Israeli prime minister Binyamin Netanyahu was both uneventful and momentous -- and because of this, its ramifications are likely to ripple throughout U.S. and Middle East politics far into the future. Unmet Expectations of Conflict The party most upset by
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Intelligence Transformation: Meeting New Challenges in the Middle East and Beyond
An inside look at how the U.S. intelligence community has adapted to meet new threats in the Bush and Obama administrations.
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James R. Clapper, Jr.
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Counterterrorism Lecture Series
Articles & Testimony
In Love with Arab Islamists
For so long, I have argued that the AKP's foreign policy is Islamist. Well, I stand corrected: the AKP's foreign policy does not have a generic Islamist tinge; rather the party is infatuated with Arab Islamist causes. In the past, Turkey's foreign policy makers were educated in Western or secular
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In-Depth Reports
Engaging Iran:
Lessons from the Past
In the thirty years since Iran's Islamic Revolution, which resulted in the overthrow of the Iranian monarchy and the creation of the Islamic Republic of Iran, Western governments have repeatedly tried to engage Tehran. This collection of essays, the product of a special colloquium hosted by The Washington Institute in
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Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Stopping an Iranian Bomb
Hanging over yesterday's meeting between President Obama and Israeli Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu was one overriding question: Can the president's strategy of diplomatic engagement persuade Iran to cease its efforts to develop nuclear weapons? Unfortunately, history offers little cause for hope -- especially if the United States remains focused on
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Articles & Testimony
Behind Turkey's Witch Hunt
In which country does a liberal woman who educates poor girls worry about her safety when she goes home at night? Pakistan, Afghanistan -- right -- but also add Turkey now. In an early-morning raid on April 13, Turkish police arrested more than a dozen middle-aged liberal women working for
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Brief Analysis
Are Obama and Netanyahu Destined to Clash?
On Monday, May 18, U.S. president Barack Obama will host Israeli prime minister and Likud leader Binyamin (Bibi) Netanyahu at the White House for their first meeting since the new Israeli government was formed six weeks ago. Some observers predict that, sooner or later, the two are bound to collide
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David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Will Russia Help the United States with Iran?
Russia's recent decision not to sell the S-300 antiaircraft missile system to Iran (at least for now) raised hopes that Moscow would cooperate more fully in the effort to prevent Tehran from developing nuclear weapons. Recent statements from Russian leaders indicating that they were on board with the U.S. strategy
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Articles & Testimony
The Battle for Turkey's Soul: Elites vs. the West
Turkey is an elite project; historically, large elite groups, i.e., mega elites constituting sizeable portions of the society, have led Turkey toward their own societal values and foreign policy choices. This was the case during the Ottoman Empire, the Republican era, and, today, with the ruling Justice and Development Party
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Brief Analysis
Populism, Authoritarianism, and National Security in al-Maliki's Iraq
An April 26 U.S. raid targeting a Jaish al-Mahdi (JAM) financier in the Iraqi city of Kut, which inadvertently killed a civilian and a policeman, may mark the first of a series of tests for the Security Agreement between the United States and the Iraqi government. Iraqi prime minister Nouri
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Michael Eisenstadt
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