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Articles & Testimony
The Status and Future of the Awakening Movements
Although Iraq is a far more stable and secure place than it was in 2007 or 2008, violence has slowly increased in 2009. According to the security company Olive Group, there were 1,242 reported security incidents in Iraq in April 2009, compared with 1,168 in March and 1,103 in February
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Articles & Testimony
Mideast Peace Can Start with a Land Swap
The White House publicly welcomed Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's speech yesterday giving qualified support to a two-state solution with the Palestinians. Nonetheless, there remains a gap between Mr. Netanyahu and the Obama administration over the expansion of settlements. Fortunately, there is a way to bridge that gap. The issue
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David Makovsky
Articles & Testimony
Khamenei's Coup
Large-scale manipulation of Friday's presidential election in Iran was to be expected, but few could have predicted that Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, had a military coup in mind. By declaring incumbent Mahmoud Ahmadinejad the winner, Khamenei conveyed a clear message to the West: Iran is digging in on
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Articles & Testimony
Will Iran's Election Produce Change We Can Believe in?
To most Westerners, Iranian politics is essentially a black box, making it difficult to know what to hope for out of Friday's presidential elections. Knowledgeable commentators offer vastly differing opinions regarding the extent to which the results will reflect the will of the Iranian people versus that of Iran's ultimate
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Brief Analysis
The Iranian Elections:
Politics of the Supreme Leader vs. Power of the President
On June 10, 2009, Ali Alfoneh, Meir Javedanfar, Mehdi Khalaji, and Patrick Clawson addressed a special Policy Forum at The Washington Institute to discuss what to expect from Iran's June 12 presidential election. Ali Alfoneh is a visiting research fellow at the American Enterprise Institute,Meir Javedanfar is a Middle East
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Ali Alfoneh
Mehdi Khalaji
Patrick Clawson
Brief Analysis
Strategic Challenges in a Changing Middle East
Moshe Yaalon, a senior minister in the government of Prime Minister Netanyahu and former chief of the IDF general staff, delivered the 2009 Zeev Schiff Memorial Lecture on Middle East Security
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Moshe Yaalon
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Zeev Schiff Memorial Lectures
Brief Analysis
Rule of Law Is Key to Future Israel-Syria Peacemaking
Beginning on June 12, U.S. Middle East envoy George Mitchell will make his long anticipated first trip to Damascus. During the two-day visit, Mitchell will focus on reinvigorating Israeli-Syrian peace negotiations and cajoling Damascus to engineer a Fatah-Hamas reconciliation. According to media reports, he will also roll out a roadmap
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Andrew J. Tabler
Brief Analysis
Moroccan Elections Unlikely to Upset Status Quo
Although the world has been focused on the sensational politics in Lebanon and Iran, Morocco this week will hold its first municipal election since 2003. Higher voter turnout than in the 2007 legislative election is expected, and if it materializes, it will be attributable more to patronage than to democratic
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Dana Moss
Brief Analysis
Renewal of Allegiance:
Presidential Elections in Iran
Large voter turnout for Iran's June 12 presidential election would be a double-edged sword for the country's hardline leader, Ali Khamenei. Although Khamenei would like to maximize participation in Iran's elections, which he sees as an affirmation of the regime's legitimacy, higher turnout would likely lead to a smaller share
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Ali Alfoneh
Brief Analysis
The Voting Manipulation Industry in Iran
With Iran's presidential campaign culminating on June 12, all three challengers to incumbent Mahmoud Ahmadinezhad are expressing increased concern about the possibility of election fraud and manipulation of the election. Not only are there complaints about regime influence on the campaign, such as biased coverage by state-run television, the voting
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Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Combating the Financing of Transnational Threats
This publication is based on a lecture presented on October 27, 2008, by Washington Institute senior fellows Michael Jacobson and Matthew Levitt at the Emirates Center for Strategic Studies and Research (ECSSR). It is reproduced by special permission from ECSSR.
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Brief Analysis
Political Power and Social Conservatism in Turkey
On June 4, 2009, Dr. Binnaz Toprak, chair of the Political Science Department at both Bahcesehir and Bogazici universities in Istanbul, addressed a special Policy Forum luncheon at The Washington Institute, introducing her latest study on social conservatism in Turkey. Dr. Toprak's research, cosponsored by Bogazici University and the Open
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In-Depth Reports
Arab Reactions to a Nuclear-Armed Iran
Israel's fears about a nuclear Iran are well known. But Arabs have their own fears, too. After centuries of religious and political rivalry, Arab relations with Iran are marked by deep mutual mistrust. Since the end of the Cold War, Iran's sense of security has itself been in constant flux
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Tariq Khaitous
Brief Analysis
Hizballah Campaigns at Home, Exposed Abroad
As the Hizballah-led March 8 coalition campaigns ahead of Lebanon's June 7 elections, the group has been forced to contend with the unexpected exposure of its covert terrorist activities both at home and abroad. At home, Hizballah now stands accused of playing a role in the assassination of former Lebanese
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Matthew Levitt
Brief Analysis
President Obama Speaks to the World's Muslims:
An Early Assessment
Combining the roles of bridge builder and strategist, President Barack Obama delivered a wide-ranging 55-minute speech to the world's Muslims today, designed to put flesh on the bones of his signature concept of "mutual interests and mutual respect" and to launch a "new beginning" in U.S.-Muslim relations. Aspiring to speak
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Lebanon Goes to the Polls:
Last Minute Surprises and Long-term Implications
On June 7, Lebanon goes to the polls to elect a new government. All told, 587 candidates are competing for the 128 parliament seats, and with just days to go, the contest is too close to call. Both the pro-West March 14 coalition incumbents and the Syrian-Iranian-backed Hizballah-led March 8
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
What Muslim World?
A version of this article was published concurrently by Hurriyet Daily News. Even before U.S. President Barack Obama utters a word of his long-anticipated June 4 address to "the Muslim world," there is already a problem with the rhetoric. As well meaning as it sounds, the term "Muslim world" is
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Articles & Testimony
Radicalization:
Made in the USA?
When officials announced the successful prevention of a plot in New York to bomb synagogues and down airplanes with rocket-propelled grenades, many reacted with shock at the prospect of locally radicalized violent extremists plotting attacks here at home. Indeed, policymakers, long focused on the radicalization problem facing our European allies
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Articles & Testimony
Keep the Faith
When President Obama speaks to the world's Muslims from Cairo this week, he'll touch, again, on the themes of respect and engagement. But he's delivered that message at least three times already, and this time his audience will expect more. They'll want to know whether Obama has a "big idea"
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Brief Analysis
Obama's Visit to Riyadh:
Competing Agendas?
On June 2, President Barack Obama departs for the Middle East, where he is scheduled to deliver a major speech in Cairo on June 4. But his first stop is Riyadh, where he will meet Saudi king Abdullah. Officially the two men will, in the words of a White House
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Simon Henderson
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