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مقالهها و دیدگاهها
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Articles & Testimony
We Need a Corrective to Old Catechisms on Peace. Trump’s Plan Isn’t It
The best ideas in the plan will be delegitimized by its overall failure, because on each count the administration has stretched a laudable principle beyond recognition.
۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
Robert Satloff
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Evolution of Iraq’s Protests: Excessive Force Pushes Protesters to Adapt
Iraq’s trifecta of unemployment, lack of public services, and corruption has been a prime motivating force fueling Iraq’s months of protests. And since the protests began, the young Iraqi protesters who took to the streets have discovered a fourth point of contention: the elite’s lack of accountability and willingness to
۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
Maryam Alhassani
تحلیل کوتاه
سیاست آمریکا در عراق: محوریت دادن به حقوق بشر و انتخابات منصفانه
مطمئنترین مسیر برای مقابله با نفوذ شریرانه ایران، تمرکز فعالانه بر موضوعات حقوق بشری است که نخستوزیر جدید میتواند در آن تأثیرگذار باشد؛ مانند برگزاری انتخابات آزاد و جلوگیری از خشونت بیشتر علیه معترضان.
۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
مایکل نایتز
Brief Analysis
Continuity vs. Overreach in the Trump Peace Plan (Part 1): Borders and Jerusalem
If the latest U.S. effort winds up backing the Palestinians into a territorial corner from the outset, then Washington may not be able to move the process any closer to direct negotiations.
۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Continuity vs. Overreach in the Trump Peace Plan (Part 2): Security, Refugees, and Narratives
By granting Israel much more say over the sovereignty of a future Palestinian state and its ability to absorb refugees, the document may undermine the administration’s ability to build an international coalition behind its policies.
۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
Ghaith al-Omari
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Pivoting to the KRG: Restructuring the U.S. Military Presence in Iraq
Since the start of the Iraq War in 2003, a defining element of American policy has been the importance of the political and territorial integrity of the Iraqi state. In light of the U.S. killing of Qassem Soleimani, subsequent retaliation from Iran, and continued violence in Iraq—most recently manifesting in
۳ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
Eric Bordenkircher
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Dangerous Consequences of U.S. Withdrawal from Iraq
The rapid escalation following the assassination of Iranian general Qasem Soleimani has threatened the already precarious state of U.S.-Iraq relations. Now, Iraq must decide how to respond, while considering the unintended consequences that any action will bring. At present, it seems the Iraqi government’s recent 170-0 vote—in the absence of
۳ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
Khairuldeen Makhzoomi
Minatullah Alobaidi
Articles & Testimony
A Steep Uphill Climb: Why Trump’s New Mideast Peace Plan Will Likely Harden the Israeli-Palestinian Divide
As currently constituted, the plan cannot be accepted by any Palestinian who cares about self-determination, but implementing some of its economic provisions might create room for negotiations down the road.
۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
Syria’s Economic Crisis Sparks Rare Protests in Regime Territory
Besides highlighting Assad’s financial mismanagement, the recent unrest gives the international community a genuine opportunity to push for transition while bolstering the more prosperous local administration in the northeast.
۳۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
Oula A. Alrifai
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Arab Reactions to Trump’s Peace Plan: An Analysis and Recommendation
On Tuesday, the Trump administration released the political portion of the long-awaited Middle East Peace Plan, six months after its attempts to publicly involve Arab states through the peace plan workshop in Manama, Bahrain, which introduced a $50 billion Palestinian investment and infrastructure proposal. The eighty-page document named Jerusalem as
۳۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
Mohamed Abdelaziz
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Egypt’s Public Backs Israeli-Palestinian Compromise, Wants Good Ties with United States
As Cairo prepares to host an urgent Arab League meeting this weekend, called to address the new U.S. Israeli-Palestinian peace plan, results from a rare new Egyptian public opinion poll show two-thirds support “incentives for both sides [Israelis and Palestinians] to take more moderate positions.” And a narrower majority, among
۳۱ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
David Pollock
Video
Brief Analysis
Shia Militias in Iraq, Syria, and Lebanon Post-Soleimani
Will the various regional militias once controlled by Qasem Soleimani continue to take sometimes-unwanted direction from Tehran after his death? Read or watch a spirited conversation with three experts.
۳۰ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
Michael Knights
Phillip Smyth
Hanin Ghaddar
Articles & Testimony
Trump Peace Plan Attracts Some Gulf States, But Not Consensus Backing
Bahrain, Oman, and the UAE have evidently decided that good relations with the White House are more important than echoing Palestinian anger or appeasing Iran.
۲۹ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
Simon Henderson
مقالهها و دیدگاهها
طرح صلح ترامپ شانسی ندارد مگر اسرائیل در الحاق اراضی فلسطینی خویشتنداری کند
الحاق یکپارچه شهرکهای یهودینشین به اسرائیل، توانایی اسرائیل را برای جداسازی خود از فلسطینیها، ناگزیر، تضعیف خواهد کرد و تشکیل یک دولت واحد را در نتیجه محتملتر میکند.
۲۹ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
دنیس راس
دیوید ماکوفسکی
Video
Brief Analysis
The New Status Quo in Northeast Syria: Humanitarian and Security Implications
Three leading experts assess the current balance of power and its potential effects on counterterrorism, refugee resettlement, governance, economics, and other crucial issues.
۲۹ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
Wladimir van Wilgenburg
Gonul Tol
Dana Stroul
Articles & Testimony
Revealed at Last: Trump’s Israeli-Palestinian Peace Deal to End All Peace
Despite the applause in some quarters, the plan may wind up fostering tense conditions that are ripe for Palestinian violence.
۲۸ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
Neri Zilber
Articles & Testimony
Soleimani Is Dead: The Road Ahead for Iranian-Backed Militias in Iraq
Iraqis have expressed broad political, religious, and public support for checking the militias more quickly, so the U.S. government should take several steps toward that end.
۲۷ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Tunisia Turns a Corner Against the Jihadist Movement
Fewer attacks and more prosecutions suggest the country’s integrated approach could eventually become a model for the region.
۲۷ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
Aaron Y. Zelin
تحلیل کوتاه
واکنشهای فلسطینیان به طرح ترامپ
تشکیلات خودگردان فلسطینی به احتمال زیاد برای منزوی ساختن واشنگتن و پیشگیری از حمایت اعراب از طرح آمریکا واکنش خود را به فشارهای دیپلماتیک محدود میکند، اما هرگونه اقدام اسرائیل برای الحاق زمین به خاک خود میتواند موجب برانگیخته شدن اقدام شدیدتری شود.
۲۷ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
غیث العمری
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Moqtada al-Sadr and the International Coalition: Common Ground and Fault Lines
On January 24, 2020, Moqtada al-Sadr seized the reins of Iraqi politics. By taking charge of the Friday marches, he overshadowed the Iran-backed militias and showed up their comparative lack of numbers. Al-Sadr directed the protests away from the U.S. embassy, subsequently stating that embassies should be protected and all
۲۷ ژانویهٔ ۲۰۲۰
◆
Michael Knights
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