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مقالهها و دیدگاهها
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Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
A Year Since Baghuz, the Islamic State Is Neither Defeated nor Resurging (Yet)
Although attack statistics have declined, the continued lack of stable governance in Diyala and Deir al-Zour shows that Washington and its partners have not absorbed the lessons provided by previous insurgencies.
۲۵ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Post-uprising Iraq: New Players and New Realities
The past several days have witnessed a great deal of political movement in Iraq as a result of the country’s remarkable current situation. As usual, the actions of Iraq’s traditional political players have remained unclear—and, like the end of a thriller, many possibilities for Iraq’s political future remain open, though
۲۴ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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Munqith Dagher
Brief Analysis
Israel’s Political Battle Goes to Court
The dispute over voting for a new speaker of parliament is the latest front in determining who will form the next government, with the Supreme Court entering the fray as Netanyahu maneuvers to stay in power.
۲۴ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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David Makovsky
تحلیل کوتاه
سخنرانی نوروزی خامنهای در دوران ویروس کرونا
سخنان خامنهای بر الهام بخشیدن به ملت برای استقامت در برابر بحران متمرکز بود و اعتماد به کمکهای ایالات متحده را هم رد میکرد، هرچند به ذکر مباحث همیشگی خود در حوزه سیاست خارجی وارد نشد.
۲۳ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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عمر کرمی
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Despite Political Turmoil and Coronavirus, Iraq’s Protest Movement Continues
With neighboring Iran one of the most severely affected areas of coronavirus, Iraqi authorities are also confirming rising infections and deaths despite closing the border between the two states.
۲۳ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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Azhar Al-Rubaie
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Honored, Not Contained:
The Future of Iraq's Popular Mobilization Forces
In this detailed Policy Focus, meant as a primer for Iraqi and international agencies, leading scholars examine the current status of Iraq's Popular Mobilization Forces.
۲۳ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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Michael Knights
Hamdi Malik
Aymenn Jawad Al-Tamimi
Brief Analysis
Don’t Count Out U.S. Oil Production as a Market-Shaper
Total U.S. production from all sources will remain the world’s largest no matter how low prices go, leaving Washington (and Texas) with considerable room to help domestic companies and press Riyadh and Moscow on stabilizing prices.
۲۰ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Coronavirus in the Holy Land: Israel Has Been Ready for a Crisis Such as This
Fortress Israel raised its drawbridges early, though its resultant economic and political outlook is just as uncertain as the rest of the world’s.
۲۰ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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Neri Zilber
Articles & Testimony
In the Saudi-Russian Oil Price War, the U.S. Blinks First
This is President Trump’s dilemma: how to safeguard America’s shale-based energy independence without making apparent concessions to Moscow.
۲۰ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
The U.S. Should Have Led the Coronavirus Response. Instead, China Stepped Up.
Starting with the virtual G-20 leaders summit, the Trump administration can retake the lead by proposing working groups on a number of measures needed to stop the pandemic.
۲۰ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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Dennis Ross
Video
Brief Analysis
The U.S. Role in Idlib and Beyond: Perspectives from Syria
How can the United States mitigate the worsening humanitarian crisis in Idlib, and what do Syrian activists on the ground want from Washington?
۲۰ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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Raed al-Saleh
Omar Alshogre
Rajaa Altalli
Naomi Kikoler
Articles & Testimony
How Ansar al-Sharia in Tunisia’s Message Framing Primed Its Members to Become Recruits for the Islamic State
By the time IS came to the fore in Iraq and Syria, many of its themes and activities were already second nature to Tunisian jihadis who had heard similar messaging at home.
۱۹ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iran and the U.S. Elections: A Chance to Meddle?
With U.S. national elections in November, would Iran try to intervene in an attempt to bring about “regime change” in Washington? No doubt, Iran would like to see President Trump defeated; he not only re-instituted U.S. economic sanctions against Iran but forced many foreign companies to do the same, crippling
۱۸ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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Thomas Parker
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Migrants Likely to Remain Pawns in Turkey-EU Relations for Years to Come
With the spread of coronavirus restricting travel, European leaders are meeting virtually with Ankara this week in an attempt to resuscitate and potentially fine-tune a flawed migration deal from 2016, which has now effectively collapsed. This will come as the second attempt in less than a month to reach an
۱۷ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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Anthony Skinner
تحلیل کوتاه
فراهم کردن فرصت موفقیت برای نخستوزیر بعدی عراق
همچنانکه نامزد واجدالشرایط منتخب عراق برای دور بعدی نخستوزیری در حال گذراندن فرآیند شکننده جلب اعتماد است، واشنگتن میتواند با نادیده گرفتن موقت تحریکات شبهنظامی و همچنین با حمایت ضروری، بیسروصدا و نمادین، از اخلال در تلاشهای وی پرهیز کند.
۱۷ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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مایکل نایتز
Brief Analysis
Implications of the Saudi Corruption Arrests
The latest crackdown appears to have targeted senior defense and interior officials, spurring speculation that they are linked to previously detained princes rumored to be plotting a coup.
۱۶ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
How the U.S. Can Help Ease Idlib’s Catastrophe
Washington needs to cooperate with Europe on forcing Damascus into serious political negotiations, help Turkey create a no-fly zone, and stop Russia and China from using their veto power at the UN.
۱۴ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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Oula A. Alrifai
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Trump's 'Deal of the Century' and Why it Still Matters
This month marks the anniversary of the pivotal Israel-Egypt Peace Treaty, the first agreement of its kind. The two nations have enjoyed diplomatic relations since the signing of the treaty over 40 years ago. Through trials and challenges, the agreement has held and offers hope in a time where peace
۱۳ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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Dalia Ziada
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Ahwazi Children in Iran: Starving, Abused, and Forced To Work
Iran has been hit hard by the COVID-19 outbreak, with more than 11,364 confirmed cases. While Iran struggles to contain the virus, its healthcare system has become severely stressed and public health officials have done little to ease public anxiety. And as the coronavirus epidemic continues to worsen, vulnerable populations
۱۳ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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Rahim Hamid
Yasser Assadi
Brief Analysis
Iraq’s Health, Financial, and Security Crises Sharpen the Urgency of Forming a Government
Allawi’s cabinet failure may indicate growing Iraqi agency at Iran’s expense, but the path toward political stability remains tortuous and foggy.
۱۳ مارس ۲۰۲۰
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Bilal Wahab
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