Policy Analysis

گفت‌وگوی کارشناسان را درباره اثرات فوری و دراز‌مدت واکنش جمهوری اسلامی ایران به همه‌گیری کرونا می‌توانید از طریق ویدئوی این صفحه تماشا کنید یا خلاصه‌ای از آن را در گزارش زیر بخوانید. سیاست‌‌های ایران چگونه تغییر می‌کند؟ ایرانِ تحت تحریم چه میزان کمک‌ می‌تواند دریافت کند؟ تاثیر افت اقتصاد جهانی بر زندگی روزمره در ایران چه خواهد بود؟

Finding an acceptable process to install a new transitional leader is hard; finding a person with the requisite legitimacy to play that role may be harder still.

When Jordan traced its first case of coronavirus to an individual who had traveled to Italy on March 2, the response was swift. March air raid sirens, which called for a full curfew and social distancing, the likes of which the nation had not witnessed since September 1971. The semi-rentier

تجزیه و تحلیل دقیق دو کتاب درسی تاریخ برای مدارس ایران نشان می‌دهد که حتی رژیم جمهوری اسلامی کودتای ۲۸ مرداد را یک واقعه سرنوشت‌ساز در تیرگی روابط دوجانبه با آمریکا نمی‌داند.

As the global coronavirus pandemic seems to have placed the world in the eye of a collective storm, with over 120,000 confirmed deaths, the global economy has entered a state of acute stagnation and contraction across diverse sectors, suggesting the worst economic crisis since the Great Depression of the 1930s

In her December 2019 piece for Quartz, the geopolitics expert Annalisa Merelli identified 20 countries now governed by populist movements and 14 other countries—Iraq included—where populist parties played a pivotal role in policy making. The quick spread of populist movements over the past few years has been a reactionary response

واشنگتن معمولا با اعطای وام‌هایی که به قدر کافی موشكافانه‌ نیستند، مخالفت می‌کند، گرچه مخالفت‌اش برای اعطایِ وام‌ها معمولا بی نتیجه است ــ ‌ولی ایران هم نیازی به پول وام ندارد

اگرچه به نظر می‌رسد رهبری رژیم در تهران با مسئله ویروس كرونا درگیر است، جامعه بین‌المللی همچنان باید مراقب هرگونه تلاش ایران برای سوءاستفاده از موقعیت و انجام فعالیت‌های هسته‌ای مخفیانه باشد.

The market appears to doubt that the deal will suffice, and royal family dynamics could push the oil crisis into further rounds.

Europe and the United States can no longer dismiss the strategic and tactical relevance of the regime’s CW attacks, which have continued throughout the conflict and demand further military, diplomatic, and judicial action.

Nassim Taleb used the term “black swan” as a metaphor for unexpected variables that challenge assumptions and approaches. In the span of a short few months, Lebanon has experienced two major “black swan” events, introducing more complexity into an already delicate and difficult political and social climate. The militant, pro-Iranian

سفر فرمانده سپاه قدس با این هدف انجام شد که شبه‌نظامیان شیعه را علیه آمریکا و رقیبان سیاسی داخلی متحد کند، اما اطلاعات میدانی گویای آن است که نیروی قدسِ پساسلیمانی کم‌کم نفوذ خود را در عراق از دست می‌دهد.

If Kadhimi’s nomination goes through, it would be good news for Iraq, but Washington’s troubled relationship with Baghdad still needs a radical strategic reset.

After years of failed attempts at talks and ceasefires, COVID-19 may be enough to push the Saudis, Houthis, and Yemeni government to the negotiating table.

Leadership does not require serving in the unsustainable role of international policeman, but it does entail American engagement and a sense of responsibility to other countries.

Reflecting just how emboldened the Houthis have become, their latest ceasefire document advocates maximalist positions on core issues while demanding that other actors foot the bill for reconstruction, reparations, economic recovery, and virus containment.

As U.S. President Donald Trump announced a state of emergency and France’s Macron declared that his country "is at war," Algerians were still waiting for an address from the recently inaugurated President Abdelmadjid Tebboune. The delay was indicative of Algeria’s particular challenges when dealing with the virus—the North African country

For years, international mediators have insisted that there is no military solution to the war, but it is also time to recognize that there is no diplomatic solution with Khalifa Haftar.

به نظر می‌رسد که سپاه پاسداران با فعالیت‌هایش، از تأسیس قرارگاه جدید استانی گرفته تا به کارگیری صدها هزار سرباز و پرسنل شبه‌نظامی برای خدمت اضطراری، از فرصت بحران کرونا برای گسترش قدرت خود تا سطح محلی استفاده می‌کند.

The outbreak of coronavirus is just the most recent misfortune for Iraq, which is suffering a complicated political deadlock created by the October 2019 protests against Iraq’s political elites. Iraq’s political leadership has failed to lead the country for the last seventeen years, focusing satisfying the country’s competing political blocs