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Brief Analysis
New Palestinian Cabinet Faces Governance and Fiscal Challenges
Lost revenue transfers from Israel frame the latest crisis, and Washington can help ease it even without restoring direct aid to the PA.
۱۵ آوریل ۲۰۱۹
◆
Katherine Bauer
Ghaith al-Omari
In-Depth Reports
Sudan: The End Comes for Bashir
Sudden Succession Essay Series
The Washington Institute has recently been sponsoring a series of discussions about sudden succession in the Middle East. Each session focuses on scenarios that might unfold if a specific ruler or leader departed the scene tomorrow. Questions include these: Would the sudden change lead to different policies? Would it affect
۱۵ آوریل ۲۰۱۹
◆
Alberto Fernandez
◆
Sudden Succession Essay Series
Brief Analysis
Netanyahu’s Win Gives Him Leeway on Annexation and Gaza
Despite his controversial campaign statements, the prime minister will likely remain cautious about actually seizing West Bank territory or ordering ground incursions into Gaza.
۱۵ آوریل ۲۰۱۹
◆
David Makovsky
تحلیل کوتاه
رابطه حزبالله و ایران: گروه نیابتی نه شریک سیاسی
با افزایش فشار آمریکا بر ایران، بسیاری در بیروت، واشنگتن و اروپا مطرح خواهند کرد که گروه حزبالله هنوز یک بازیگر مستقل است، اما شواهد گذشته و اخیر غیر از این را نشان میدهد.
۱۲ آوریل ۲۰۱۹
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حنین غدار
Articles & Testimony
Benjamin Netanyahu ‘the Magician’ Is Re-Elected Israel’s Prime Minister—but at What Price?
Facing multiple indictments, Netanyahu may try to keep himself out of jail by annexing the West Bank, but what happens to the 2.5 million Palestinians living there, and to Israel’s identity?
۱۲ آوریل ۲۰۱۹
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Neri Zilber
Brief Analysis
After Bashir’s Fall, What’s Next for Sudan?
To forge a better future, the country must break the vicious cycle of military rule followed by incompetent, corrupt rule under the same tired political class.
۱۱ آوریل ۲۰۱۹
◆
Alberto Fernandez
In-Depth Reports
The King Is Dead! Does It Matter?
Sudden Succession Essay Series
Is a major national leader's departure necessarily history changing? This study suggests that paradoxically, the more successful a leader has been in realizing his goals, the less consequential his exit.
۱۱ آوریل ۲۰۱۹
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Martin Kramer
◆
Sudden Succession Essay Series
Articles & Testimony
The Future of Bibi Netanyahu
The one-man show is set for another term with a similar approach to foreign policy, and indictments are unlikely to cut it short.
۱۱ آوریل ۲۰۱۹
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Ehud Yaari
Articles & Testimony
Trump Must Not Let Jared Kushner’s Peace Plan See the Light of Day
Releasing a U.S. proposal that is bound to fail would legitimize Israeli calls for annexation, give Saudi Arabia leverage over Washington, and strengthen Iran.
۱۰ آوریل ۲۰۱۹
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Iran’s Holiday Prologue to Exploiting Nuclear Loopholes
Although Tehran refrained from using its annual ‘Nuclear Day’ to threaten a wholesale breakout, it seems determined to push the West’s boundaries on centrifuge technology and other issues.
۱۰ آوریل ۲۰۱۹
◆
Omer Carmi
Brief Analysis
The IRGC Designation Couldn’t Come at a Worse Time for Iran
The regime has repeatedly avoided precipitous responses to U.S. sanctions, and it will be even more risk-averse today due to its domestic flood crisis and fears of broader escalation.
۹ آوریل ۲۰۱۹
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Omer Carmi
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Arab Minority in Israel and the Knesset Elections
Israel is holding its elections for the Knesset on April 9, the 21st parliamentary poll in the country’s history. Of an estimated 5.8 million citizens with voting rights, 16 percent are from Israel’s Arab minority, which makes up around a fifth of Israel’s total population. During the previous Knesset elections
۹ آوریل ۲۰۱۹
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Khader Sawaed
Brief Analysis
Algeria’s Long Buildup to Mass Protests
The main drivers of the current crisis have been in play for many years, so Washington should focus on economic and security initiatives that can help Algeria regardless of which new leaders emerge.
۹ آوریل ۲۰۱۹
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Sabina Henneberg
Articles & Testimony
What Will IRGC Designation Actually Do?
The administration's message is not a new one, the FTO listing does not add much additional pressure, and the resultant risks to U.S. interests are significant.
۸ آوریل ۲۰۱۹
◆
Matthew Levitt
Articles & Testimony
How Might Tehran Respond to IRGC Designation?
The regime or individual hardline elements could opt for a number of provocations, from detaining foreigners to launching disruptive naval and cyber operations.
۸ آوریل ۲۰۱۹
◆
Michael Eisenstadt
Articles & Testimony
IRGC Designation: From Visas to Symbolic Effects
The practical effects may be limited to minor issues such as visa regulations, while the symbolic implications are not in Tehran's favor.
۸ آوریل ۲۰۱۹
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Patrick Clawson
Articles & Testimony
Saudi Aramco Reveals Its Financials—and More Secrets
The oil giant’s latest moves will help fund ambitious infrastructure projects, but the implications for foreign investment and economic diversification remain to be seen.
۷ آوریل ۲۰۱۹
◆
Simon Henderson
Video
Brief Analysis
Bibi vs. Benny: A Conversation on the Eve of Israel's Elections
Three veteran political observers discuss the status of each campaign and what a victory by either side might mean for Israeli policy.
۵ آوریل ۲۰۱۹
◆
Ehud Yaari
Tal Shalev
David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
After the Islamic State, Renewed Urgency for Religious Reform
The IS “caliphate” may have perished, but its ideology and capacity for future outbreaks will persist unless more vigorous reforms are instituted.
۵ آوریل ۲۰۱۹
◆
Dina Al Raffie
Articles & Testimony
Erdogan Should Seize the Chance for Change in Turkey
The president seems pragmatic enough to recognize when he is beat and refocus his efforts on normalizing the severely polarized political system.
۵ آوریل ۲۰۱۹
◆
Soner Cagaptay
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