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Brief Analysis
Organizational Split and Radicalization Within Egypt’s Muslim Brotherhood
Internal structural changes and ideological rifts have given rise to new strategies for legitimizing violence.
۴ مارس ۲۰۱۹
◆
Annette Ranko
Mohammad Yaghi
Brief Analysis
Cyprus Gas Discovery Could Be an East Mediterranean Game-Changer
The latest success will encourage more exploration in the area, but probably more regional rivalry as well.
۱ مارس ۲۰۱۹
◆
Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
Not Gonna Be Able To Do It: al-Qaeda in Tunisia’s Inability to Take Advantage of the Islamic State’s Setbacks
While the consensus might be that al-Qaeda is primed to benefit from Islamic State setbacks, unless conditions change locally, the so-called caliphate will likely remain a more attractive avenue for jihadi mobilization in Tunisia.
۱ مارس ۲۰۱۹
◆
Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
A Turkish ‘Safe Zone’ in Syria: Prospects and Policy Implications
Establishing such a zone in the northeast would give Ankara and the United States a unique opportunity to work together, provided Washington can convince its European allies to participate as well.
۱ مارس ۲۰۱۹
◆
Michael Eisenstadt
Soner Cagaptay
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
New Economic Ties Deepen the Saudi-Pakistani Strategic Partnership
Pakistan and Saudi Arabia share a long history of close bilateral ties, with bonds of religion and mutual interest dating back to the Saudi support for the independence struggle by the Muslims of the subcontinent during the 1940s. Over the years, this bilateral relationship has matured into a strategic partnership
۲۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
Umer Karim
Brief Analysis
Assad Needs the United States and Its Allies for Reconstruction
Damascus and its partners can’t rebuild the country by themselves amid their growing budget crunch, so Washington has leverage on key transition issues even if Assad keeps stalling.
۲۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
Jomana Qaddour
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How Protests are Shaping Algeria’s Presidential Elections
On February 10th, the Algerian president Abdelaziz Bouteflika formally announced that he would be seeking reelection as head of the state in the upcoming presidential elections set to take place on April 18th. President Bouteflika has been ruling the country since 1999, despite increasing concerns over his health after suffering
۲۷ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
Zine Labidine Ghebouli
Articles & Testimony
Bravado Could Escalate India-Pakistan Attacks to Nuclear Level
National pride and honor can be tricky variables, especially when not accompanied by common sense.
۲۷ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Repatriating Western Jihadists: The Impact of U.S. Syria Policy
Unless Washington changes its mixed message on foreign fighters and helps its European allies find practical solutions, it may soon face another mass outbreak of seasoned operatives from Syria.
۲۷ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
Matthew Levitt
Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
Russia’s Growing Influence in North Africa
Moscow casts itself as a reliable mediator and security partner, but in actuality it benefits from playing all sides of regional disputes and fostering perpetual low-level conflict.
۲۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
Anna Borshchevskaya
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Jordan’s Public Internally Focused, but Shares U.S. View on Iran and Regional Peace
Jordan was the first stop on U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo’s Mideast diplomatic tour last month, and it joined the American-led Warsaw conference on Mideast security last week. On both occasions, Jordanian and American officials publicly hailed their common stand against terrorism and against Iran’s interventions in the region
۲۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
David Pollock
Brief Analysis
The Hodeida Redeployment Plan: A Slow Start in Yemen
Even as it nudges the parties to make good on their initial withdrawal agreements, Washington should counsel patience on what will likely be a long, bumpy road toward full peace talks.
۲۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
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Elana DeLozier
In-Depth Reports
The Supreme Leader and the Guard:
Civil-Military Relations and Regime Survival in Iran
As the Islamic Republic of Iran turns forty, the dream of a unified theocratic state remains elusive. The national leadership faces three converging threats: Ayatollah Ali Khamenei's uncertain health and the prospect of a destabilizing succession process; domestic dissatisfaction, manifested in daily protests across the country; and economic struggles brought
۲۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
Saeid Golkar
Brief Analysis
Saudi Ambassador Switch Overshadows Important Defense Appointment
Sending a princess to head the embassy in Washington has grabbed the headlines, but her predecessor’s elevation to deputy defense minister may have greater policy and political implications.
۲۵ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Dueling Narratives in Israel’s Election Campaign
A new political merger has distilled the campaign into a two-faction race, and each side is already crafting its message accordingly.
۲۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
David Makovsky
Brief Analysis
Options for a Lighter U.S. Footprint in Syria
There are alternatives to the overt presence of U.S. controllers on the ground, and allies can help maintain the tempo of strikes in various ways.
۲۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
August Pfluger
Michael Knights
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
What Washington—and Iran—Should Take Away from the Warsaw Conference
“Takeaways” is the classic Washington term used to encapsulate the outcomes of high-profile diplomatic gatherings. Last week, I was invited to moderate a panel at the “Ministerial to Promote a Future of Peace and Security in the Middle East,” cohosted in Warsaw by Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and Polish
۲۲ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
Dennis Ross
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
International Engagement in Iraq Is Tied to Military Presence
The U.S.-led coalition to defeat the Islamic State is the strongest alliance Iraq has ever enjoyed, but much of the resultant international attention and support could dissipate if forces are removed.
۲۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
Saudi Arabia’s Powerful Prince Tours Asia—With Purpose
The trip has coincided with a new flare-up in India-Pakistan tensions, making Riyadh’s balancing act between regional rivals trickier than ever.
۱۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Russia’s Search for Strategic Partnerships in North Africa: Balancing Algeria and Morocco
There has recently been a great deal of controversy surrounding the question of what role Russia will play in North Africa, especially after the apparent success of the Russian strategy in managing the Syrian conflict. This relative military and diplomatic success has opened the way for Russia to rethink its
۱۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۱۹
◆
Mohammed Issam Laaroussi
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