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Brief Analysis
Egyptians Surprisingly Open to Key Trump Policies, New Poll Shows
From countering Iran and its proxies to working directly with Israel, Egyptian survey respondents seem remarkably willing to follow Washington's lead on multiple regional issues.
۱۲ اکتبر ۲۰۱۷
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David Pollock
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
UAE Public Overwhelmingly Backs Tough Line On Iran – But Not On Qatar or Muslim Brotherhood
October 12, 2017 As President Trump unveils his revised U.S. strategy to contain Iran, surveys reveal that key Arab publics in the region share his antipathy toward Tehran. Previously reported polls from Jordan, Saudi Arabia, and even Qatar, sometimes depicted as pro-Iranian, demonstrated solid majorities in each country with unfavorable
۱۲ اکتبر ۲۰۱۷
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David Pollock
Brief Analysis
Iran's Military Sites Continue to Haunt the Nuclear Accord
Given the IAEA's legal uncertainty about Parchin and the Security Council's discord about further inspections, the Trump administration needs to decide how hard to press for more answers on weaponization issues.
۱۲ اکتبر ۲۰۱۷
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Jay Solomon
Articles & Testimony
Confronting the Full Range of Iranian Threats
In practical terms, scrapping and replacing the JCPOA is a nonstarter, so the administration should instead focus on countering Iran as its top regional priority -- and decide how it will respond when Tehran pushes back.
۱۱ اکتبر ۲۰۱۷
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James Jeffrey
Articles & Testimony
Stephen Walt Is Walking Back His Israel Lobby Theory Beyond Recognition
Had Walt and Mearsheimer not been so committed to indicting pro-Israel groups with responsibility for the failures of U.S. policy in the Middle East, they could have raised legitimate issues worth debating.
۱۰ اکتبر ۲۰۱۷
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Mitchel Hochberg
Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
How Obama Nudged Arab Leaders Toward Israel
Regional leaders believe the administration mishandled Iran and the Arab Spring, and this belief had the unintended effect of aligning their interests with Netanyahu's.
۱۰ اکتبر ۲۰۱۷
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Haisam Hassanein
Wesam Hassanein
Turkey and U.S. Enter Most Important Crisis in Recent Memory
Even if Erdogan strikes a deal to keep the crisis from boiling over, Washington has shown him that there are limits to U.S. tolerance of his authoritarian balancing act.
۱۰ اکتبر ۲۰۱۷
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
Will Russian-Saudi Relations Continue to Improve?
Putin's recent summit with the Saudi leader is another diplomatic coup for the Kremlin, but it does not mark a fundamental shift in Russia's calculus on Iran or other regional issues.
۱۰ اکتبر ۲۰۱۷
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Brief Analysis
Iran Flexes Its Muscles After the Kurdish Referendum
Given its recent military movements and high-level contacts with Turkey and Baghdad, Iran may be looking to exact an intolerable cost on the KRG.
۱۰ اکتبر ۲۰۱۷
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Farzin Nadimi
Articles & Testimony
The Future of Chechens in ISIS
Factors such as corruption, socioeconomic inequity, and ignorance among Russian officials regarding Islam could end up fueling radicalism rather than deterring it.
۹ اکتبر ۲۰۱۷
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
Operation Torch and the Birth of American Middle East Policy, 75 Years On
In a radical rethinking of the origins of U.S. Middle East policy, Robert Satloff suggests that two key ideas guiding Washington's actions in the region for the past three-quarters of a century were born in the bargain U.S. leaders made with Vichy French officers after Allied troops landed in North Africa during World War II.
۹ اکتبر ۲۰۱۷
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Robert Satloff
تحلیل کوتاه
برجام زیر شمشیر داموکلس (بخش دوم) : یک راه میانه؟ پالیسی واچ ۲۸۶۸
تهدید به عدم تصدیق توافق اتمی از سوی رئیس جمهور آمریکا به دولت این کشور فرصتی برای تعامل با کسانی را مهیا میسازد که مایلند این توافق حفظ شود. از اینرو، رئیس جمهور باید به جای رویکرد «یا همه چیز یا هیچ»، از این اهرم به شکلی معقول استفاده کند.
۶ اکتبر ۲۰۱۷
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کاترین باوئر
پاتریک کلاوسون
Articles & Testimony
Decertifying the Iran Deal Wouldn't Have to Kill It
European leaders surely do not want the U.S. to walk away from the JCPOA. But their room to maneuver is politically limited, given Mr. Trump's unpopularity in their countries. Responding to the White House on Iran will prove difficult for them unless Mr. Trump changes his tone and emphasizes that
۶ اکتبر ۲۰۱۷
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Dennis Ross
Brief Analysis
An Opening for Jihadists in Southeast Asia
Myanmar's growing humanitarian crisis is fueling calls for jihad by global extremist groups and threatening to draw Middle East and Asian fighters into a new front.
۶ اکتبر ۲۰۱۷
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Jay Solomon
تحلیل کوتاه
برجام زیر شمشیر داموکلس (بخش اول): پنج تصمیم ترامپ
هر گونه مقابله ایالات متحده با توافق هستهای با ایران پیامدها و سودمندیهای بالقوه جانبی خواهد داشت، اما بعضی اقدامات میتواند بیشتر از برخی دیگر شبیه گل زدن به خود باشد. بخش دوم این پالیسی واچ را، درباره نکات مختلفی که بحث تصویب توافق هستهای میتواند به عنوان اهرم در اختیار واشنگتن قرار دهد، اینجا بخوانید.
۶ اکتبر ۲۰۱۷
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جیمز اف. جفری
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Radical Change of the Tunisian Peaceful Revolution
October 05, 2017 As the birthplace of the Arab Spring, Tunisia has proven to be an oddity. While other Arab Spring countries have experienced varying levels of war, mayhem, and authoritarian crack-downs, Tunisia has remained on a path of peaceful change. The absence of violence, however, should not be mistaken
۵ اکتبر ۲۰۱۷
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Ahmed Gaaloul
Brief Analysis
Are Shia Dynamics in Iraq and Lebanon Turning Against Iran?
If Iraqi Shia reject Tehran's call for a unified bloc in next year's elections, it could have welcome implications for the future of Iranian influence in Baghdad -- and Beirut.
۵ اکتبر ۲۰۱۷
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Hanin Ghaddar
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Tattoo Sectarianism
October 05, 2017 There is not a war in the world that does not bring misfortune. Even if Hezbollah wins the Syrian war, sharp divisions among the Lebanese Shia will remain. The war has exacerbated the phenomenon of sectarianism in a variety of ways. Day after day, the region’s poor
۵ اکتبر ۲۰۱۷
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Hala Nasrallah
Why Israel Is Cheering On Iraqi Kurds' Push for Independence
A discussion on how the relationship has evolved to the point where Israel was the only regional government encouraging rather than decrying the KRG referendum.
۴ اکتبر ۲۰۱۷
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Bilal Wahab
Articles & Testimony
Iran's Shadow over Lebanon
Beirut's tilt toward Tehran has dangerous implications when it comes to countering Sunni radicalization.
۴ اکتبر ۲۰۱۷
◆
David Schenker
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