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Articles & Testimony
Iraqis Fear That Trump’s America Will Depart Once and For All
Baghdad has good reason to be concerned about the relationship’s trajectory, but that doesn’t mean Washington should proceed with troop withdrawals just yet.
۴ مارس ۲۰۲۵
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David Schenker
Articles & Testimony
Here’s Why the U.S. Is No Longer the World’s Only Superpower
Mismatching objectives and means has repeatedly produced failure and undermined consensus, but Washington no longer has the luxury of bad statecraft on pressing issues like Iran’s nuclear program.
۴ مارس ۲۰۲۵
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Dennis Ross
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Babylon Brigade Plans to Rig 2025 Voting in Christian Areas
An Iran-backed brigade led by a U.S.-designated human rights abuser is preparing to repeat its unfair practices and dominate local Christian voting in this year's general election.
۳ مارس ۲۰۲۵
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Yaqoub Beth-Addai
◆
Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Trump Should Aim for a “Riviera” in Lebanon
Beirut stands at the goal line of a major win for the Middle East, but only if America quarterbacks the last push.
۳ مارس ۲۰۲۵
◆
Hanin Ghaddar
Zohar Palti
Fikra Forum
Maps & Graphics
Fikra Forum
Rebuilding Syria May Require Federalism
If Sharaa wants to avoid repeating Assad’s mistakes, he may have to genuinely decentralize political power and establish a federal system, though this would raise difficult questions about resource allocation.
۲۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
Post-Paris Steps in Syria Could Be Decisive
With the clock ticking on the post-Assad honeymoon period, Washington still has time to acknowledge the realities on the ground by providing crucial U.S. know-how and strategic support to the international aid, recovery, and counterterrorism missions.
۲۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
Devorah Margolin
Aaron Y. Zelin
Articles & Testimony
Gaza: From Red to Blue
A “four-zone” reconstruction plan could win Arab, Israeli, and U.S. support while avoiding mass relocations out of Gaza.
۲۸ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۵
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Dennis Ross
Assaf Orion
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Hassan Nasrallah's Funeral: Iraqi Militia Response and Attendance
Most of the top militia leaders appeared too cowed to show up, but a wide assortment of senior Iraqi "resistance" and political figures did attend, including potential future candidates for prime minister.
۲۷ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
Ameer al-Kaabi
Hamdi Malik
Michael Knights
◆
Militia Spotlight
In-Depth Reports
Statecraft 2.0
What America Needs to Lead in a Multipolar World
In a world that is multipolar and America has less relative power, the United States no longer has the luxury to practice statecraft badly.
March 5, 2025
◆
Dennis Ross
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Somalia: The New Frontline in the Islamic State’s Global Expansion
In its latest propaganda campaign, the Islamic State is underscoring the strategic significance of Somalia in its expansionist agenda.
۲۷ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۵
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Mustafa Hasan
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Update on Houthi Involvement in Iraq
The cessation of Houthi-Iraqi joint strikes on Israel does not mean that Houthi money-movers and trainers have gone home; more likely, they are now a permanent feature of Iraq and merit close scrutiny from counterterrorism analysts.
۲۶ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۵
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Sary Mumayiz
Michael Knights
Hamdi Malik
◆
Militia Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
Why Israel Should Keep Open the Possibility of Palestinian Statehood
The supposed “status quo” that some commentators are pushing Israel to embrace is so disfigured and hollowed out that it no longer meets the definition of the phrase.
۲۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۵
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Robert Satloff
Brief Analysis
Does Syria’s Electricity Crisis Have an Israeli Solution?
Whether authorities call it “Egyptian gas” or “Jordanian gas,” the simple fact is that Israeli offshore supplies could help with Syria’s major power shortage if the necessary arrangements are ironed out.
۲۴ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۵
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Inside the Latest PKK Talks (Part 1): Kurdish Actors and Interests
Although past peace efforts have fallen apart due to diplomatic stumbles and Kurdish opposition, the situation on the ground in Iraq, Syria, and Turkey has changed dramatically enough to warrant optimism about Ankara’s current talks.
۲۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۵
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Inside the Latest PKK Talks (Part 2): Implications for Turkish and U.S. Policy
If Ankara seals the deal and preempts potential spoilers, the results could prove historic for Turkish politics, Erdogan’s legacy, joint counterterrorism efforts, and wider U.S. regional interests.
۲۱ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
A New Age for Turkish Relations with Syria
Ankara and Washington should offer incentives to the new leadership in Damascus to encourage an inclusive governance process and make Syria work.
۲۰ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
Aaron Y. Zelin
Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Two Arab Summits Hold the Key to a Viable Gaza Plan
Under heavy pressure from the Trump administration, the Arab states with the most to gain—and lose—in Gaza should be spending the next two weeks doing everything they can to reach consensus on bold, concrete counter-proposals.
۱۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
David Schenker
Ghaith al-Omari
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Direct-Operated IRGC-QF Attack Cells in Iraq: Data Related to the Troell Case
The FBI deposition on Steven Troell’s killers and other evidence provides a closer look inside cross-militia Iraq terrorist cells operated by Iran's Qods Force and potentially linked to the facade brand Ashab al-Kahf.
۱۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۵
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Michael Knights
Crispin Smith
◆
Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Why Secretary Rubio Should Provide Grant Waivers for Urgent Human Rights Work on Iran
Even a short aid freeze can do great damage to programs that are vital to pressuring the Islamic Republic, keeping Washington abreast of developments inside Iran, and ensuring the safety of those fighting for freedom on the ground.
۱۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
Holly Dagres
Video
Brief Analysis
Year Four in Ukraine: NATO Views and Middle East Impact
A senior NATO official joins U.S. and regional experts to discuss how the Trump administration’s initial peacemaking forays might affect the war’s broader geopolitical stakes, from great power competition in the Middle East to rare-earth minerals and Western counter-messaging.
۱۹ فوریهٔ ۲۰۲۵
◆
Dana Stroul
Anna Borshchevskaya
Javier Colomina
Riad Kahwaji
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