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Brief Analysis
Hamas Is Weakened, But a Prolonged Guerrilla Conflict Looms
The group maintains significant control over Gaza’s population despite its considerable losses, and removing it from power will necessitate a long campaign that no actor seems willing to undertake.
۱۲ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
Ido Levy
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
As UNITAD’s Mandate Ends, ISIL Survivors Still Lack Justice
As UNITAD's mandate ends, all involved parties should examine the limitations of what the organization was able to accomplish for the victims of ISIL's crimes after seven years.
۱۱ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
Alannah Travers
Video
Brief Analysis
U.S.-Bahrain Ties One Year After the Strategic Partnership Agreement
Two veteran ambassadors discuss bilateral efforts in the security, economic, and technology sectors, noting the agreement’s potential as a template for other countries in the region.
۱۱ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
Steven C. Bondy
Sheikh Abdulla bin Rashid Al Khalifa
Brief Analysis
U.S.-Saudi Defense Cooperation: Next Steps
Even if an Israeli-Saudi normalization deal proves unattainable for now, Washington and Riyadh should still seek ways to enhance military and defense cooperation in order to advance common interests and prepare for future security challenges.
۱۰ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
Andrew G. Clemmensen
Abdullah Hayek
Brief Analysis
What Would Another Tebboune Victory Mean for U.S.-Algeria Relations?
The incumbent president is set to win another term, but shifting opposition politics at home and geostrategic realities abroad could raise bilateral bumps down the road.
۶ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
Sabina Henneberg
Souhire Medini
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Saraya Talia al-Khurasani
A longstanding partner to Iran's Qods Force and Lebanese Hezbollah, this militia is one of Iraq's most notorious in terms of human rights abuses and rampant criminality.
۶ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
Abdullah Hayek
Sary Mumayiz
◆
Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Brief Analysis
Jordan’s Election Is a Positive Sign Amid Gaza War Tensions
Despite wartime security and economic challenges, the kingdom is holding its first election since a modernization plan was formulated in 2021.
۶ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
Ghaith al-Omari
Brief Analysis
East Med Politics May Further Delay Cyprus Gas
The island has objected to Chevron’s export proposals with Egypt and might look for other partners.
۵ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
Simon Henderson
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iraq’s Watergate and the Fallout for U.S. Relations
The politicized corruption of the country’s best intelligence agency has exploded into a major eavesdropping scandal directed from the prime minister’s office, and Washington should adjust bilateral intelligence sharing accordingly.
۵ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
Michael Knights
◆
Militia Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
Banks Not Bullets: A New War Front Opens Up in Libya
Previous civil war combatants are now fighting a financial and resource war over the country’s vast wealth, but Washington and UNSMIL can still exert more leverage than other players if they so choose.
۴ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
Ben Fishman
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraqi Parliament and Child Marriage: Iraqi Child Rights from One Tight Spot to Another
The new amendment has been met with concerns as it is believed to promote child marriage, raising the stakes of this proposed amendment and its potential implications.
۴ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
Bashar AlHadla
Articles & Testimony
How the U.S. Used Arms Sales to Shift Saudi Behavior
Weapons bans have proven to be a fickle tool historically, so why did they work in Riyadh’s case?
۴ سپتامبر ۲۰۲۴
◆
Elizabeth Dent
Grant Rumley
Brief Analysis
Prioritizing the West Bank Amid Escalation and Deterioration
Israel’s most significant military operation in the territory since the second intifada highlights the growing danger of a new front opening alongside the Gaza war.
۳۰ اوت ۲۰۲۴
◆
Neomi Neumann
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The U.S.-Morocco FTA After Twenty Years
The agreement has not led to the expected levels of economic growth, but Washington can still use it to bolster the bilateral relationship, encourage reform, and open up other markets in Africa.
۳۰ اوت ۲۰۲۴
◆
Sabina Henneberg
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Kurdistan Region of Iraq's Strategic Role in ISIS Operations—A Crossroads of Conflict
Effective counter-narratives are required to weaken the group's ideological appeal, especially the propaganda targeting Kurdish populations.
۳۰ اوت ۲۰۲۴
◆
Frzand Sherko
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Competition over Kirkuk: Between Internal Conflicts and Regional Rivalries
Kirkuk’s future remains uncertain due to the lack of any consensus-based projects between the governorate’s political actors. Even if these longtime rivals find a way to participate in the local government, it is possible that a slight grievance could devolve into political deadlock.
۳۰ اوت ۲۰۲۴
◆
Mohanad Faris
Articles & Testimony
Easier Said than Done: Renewing Maximum Pressure on Iran
New strategic realities and the ever-present challenge of enforcement would make it difficult to reinvigorate the heavy international sanctions regimes seen in past years.
August 2024
◆
Richard Nephew
Brief Analysis
Five Lessons from the Sounion Salvage Crisis in the Red Sea
The United States and its partners should take several immediate steps to avoid an environmental disaster, counter the Houthi spin about the incident, and prevent the group from creating other hazmat emergencies in the Red Sea.
۲۹ اوت ۲۰۲۴
◆
Noam Raydan
Articles & Testimony
Israel Turns Up the Heat on Hezbollah
As the war in Gaza seemingly winds down, the old rules no longer apply in the north.
۲۹ اوت ۲۰۲۴
◆
David Schenker
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Hamas Diplomacy: From Haniyeh to Sinwar
The group has sought to build legitimacy and prepare for a postwar role in Gaza by engaging with various countries since October, but the death of Ismail Haniyeh will complicate those efforts.
۲۸ اوت ۲۰۲۴
◆
Aaron Y. Zelin
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