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Articles & Testimony
Turkey at a Crossroads
The following is an excerpt from the IEMed Mediterranean Yearbook 2016. Download the PDF to read Dr. Cagaptay's full contribution. Whether or not Turkey will be able to overcome the multipronged terror threat, social polarization, and political instability will all depend on President Erdogan and his agenda. Erdogan needs to
۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
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Soner Cagaptay
Cem Yolbulan
Articles & Testimony
Words Matter in the Fight Against Islamism
The U.S. government needs to be clearer about the distinctions between Islam, political Islamism, and violent Islamism, in part by putting political correctness aside and involving Muslim Americans in the conversation.
۱ ژوئیهٔ ۲۰۱۶
◆
Robert Satloff
Video
Brief Analysis
Rethinking the U.S. Military Role in the Middle East
Three experts assess the past and future of American military involvement in the region and discuss whether it is possible to defend U.S. interests without creating open-ended quagmires.
۳۰ ژوئن ۲۰۱۶
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James Jeffrey
Michael Eisenstadt
Gideon Rose
Tuesday Changed Everything
A discussion of how the Istanbul airport attack will affect Turkey's tourism sector, its war footing against ISIS, its domestic political climate, and other key factors.
۳۰ ژوئن ۲۰۱۶
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Soner Cagaptay
Articles & Testimony
As the ISIS Tide Recedes
The beginning of the end of ISIS's dominance over the Sunni Arab region of Iraq is at hand, following the Iraqi security forces' clearance of ISIS from most of Fallujah, the first Iraqi city to fall to the terrorist group. Only one major Iraqi city remains in ISIS' hands: Mosul
۲۹ ژوئن ۲۰۱۶
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James Jeffrey
Articles & Testimony
Turkey's Istanbul Attack Vengeance Will Be Like 'Rain From Hell'
ISIS may be trying to sow domestic suspicion by not claiming responsibility for the airport attack, but the incident could still spur Turkey into full-scale war against the group.
۲۹ ژوئن ۲۰۱۶
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
High Noon in Bahrain: Will Tehran Blink First?
Bahrain's action against a high-profile Shiite figure has brought long-simmering tensions with Iran to a boil, and extremists could feel empowered to further escalate the crisis even if officials turn down the dial.
۲۷ ژوئن ۲۰۱۶
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Simon Henderson
Articles & Testimony
ISIL Introduces a New Jihadist Experience: Punishment in the West
After several months of directing or inspiring spectacular attacks on soft targets in Europe and the United States, the group may now be signaling its intent to start a new wave of violence that will 'punish' Westerners for their supposed 'legal deviance from Islam.'
۲۷ ژوئن ۲۰۱۶
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Jacob Olidort
Brief Analysis
Turkey's Regional Charm Offensive: Motives and Prospects
After years of foreign policy setbacks, Ankara is trying to mend fences with Israel, Egypt, Iran, and Russia, and the potential implications for the United States are mostly beneficial -- assuming the Turks can actually pull it off.
۲۷ ژوئن ۲۰۱۶
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Soner Cagaptay
James Jeffrey
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The War on ISIS: Why Put Mosul before Hawija?
Last March, Special Presidential Envoy for the Global Coalition to Counter ISIL Brett McGurk announced the launch of a complex operation to liberate Mosul. This announcement, and the United States' subsequent efforts, have suggested that the United States is undoubtedly one of the countries most dedicated to building a successful
۲۴ ژوئن ۲۰۱۶
◆
Marwan al-Ani
Brief Analysis
Takfiris in Tehran: The Sectarian Face of Iranian Counterterrorism
While the severity of the Sunni extremist threat inside Iran is debatable, the regime's recent operations against suspected terrorists highlight its pattern of exploiting sectarian sentiment to bolster its regional adventurism.
۲۴ ژوئن ۲۰۱۶
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Mehdi Khalaji
Articles & Testimony
Brexit Vote Implications: What the Outcome Means for the UK, Europe, and the U.S.
Brexit will likely heighten the sense that the international order is unraveling and complicate U.S. relations with the EU, so Washington should take steps to reassure its fellow NATO governments.
۲۴ ژوئن ۲۰۱۶
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Michael Singh
Articles & Testimony
How Russia Reacted to Orlando
The Kremlin's expressions of sympathy mask its blatantly homophobic policies at home, which are unlikely to change anytime soon given the government's need for conservative straw men.
۲۴ ژوئن ۲۰۱۶
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Dabiq: The Problem and Solution to the Syrian Crisis
The Islamic State (ISIS)’s siege of Mare’ in the countryside north of Aleppo near Dabiq has once again brought this Syrian town into the public eye. It is one of ISIS’s latest conquests in a string of newly captured strategic villages such as Kafr Kalbin and Jibrin during the end
۲۴ ژوئن ۲۰۱۶
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Rezan Haddou
Articles & Testimony
Terrorist Spillover in Jordan
While the general uptick in terrorist attacks on Jordan is troubling, perhaps the most disturbing aspect is the manner in which violent extremism is crossing socioeconomic lines.
۲۳ ژوئن ۲۰۱۶
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Israel's Leviathan Gas Field: Politics and Reality
Recent headlines about political breakthroughs with Turkey and potential future gas discoveries in the Eastern Mediterranean are encouraging, but they must be placed in the context of the steep financial and technological hurdles associated with such projects.
۲۳ ژوئن ۲۰۱۶
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Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Lebanon is Closer to War than Ever
On the surface, it seems that Lebanon is currently far from descending into civil war. After a string of bombings in southern Lebanon, an unprecedented level of quiet has prevailed in the often-volatile Sunni north and Shiite south. Yet now may be the moment that the United States and the
۲۳ ژوئن ۲۰۱۶
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Dani Tahrawi
Brief Analysis
Little Change Expected in Upcoming FATF Statement on Iran
The organization's forthcoming statement will likely underline the fact that Iran's recent efforts are only the first steps toward complying with international standards.
۲۳ ژوئن ۲۰۱۶
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Katherine Bauer
Articles & Testimony
Implications for the U.S. of the Brexit Vote
If Britain were to leave the EU, little would change in its core security and intelligence relationship with Washington, but it could take a serious hit on various economic and diplomatic issues.
۲۳ ژوئن ۲۰۱۶
◆
James Jeffrey
Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Activism in the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict: Clouds and Wind, but No Rain?
The recent flurry of international and regional activism may ultimately result in parameters and UN resolutions that dictate the agenda for the next U.S. administration, so Washington and other actors should weigh each initiative carefully.
۲۱ ژوئن ۲۰۱۶
◆
Michael Herzog
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