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Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iran: Navigating Regional Influence and a Potential U.S. Policy Reset
For Biden to reach a deal with Iran, the administration will need to address a host of difficult issues. While any changes in the U.S. policy towards Iran may have a significant impact, a nuclear deal might be a pipe dream.
Dec 17, 2020
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Firas Elias
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
‘Strategic Patience’ and Iran’s “Resistance Axis”: An Enduring Challenge for Biden's Administration
Iran and the “Resistance Axis” are poised for another round of “strategic patience,” which, if ignored, will serve to the detriment of the United States, its allies and partners.
Dec 11, 2020
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Hassan Mneimneh
Fikra Forum
Maps & Graphics
Fikra Forum
UAE Public Shifts Toward Peace with Israel—and with Qatar
November 2020 polling reviews an Emirati public split on major foreign policy questions, from peace with Israel to the U.S. election and the rift with Qatar.
Dec 10, 2020
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David Pollock
Catherine Cleveland
Fikra Forum
Maps & Graphics
Fikra Forum
Correction: New Saudi Poll Shows Sharp Rise in Support for Israel Ties, Despite Caveats
New polling data provides a window into popular Saudi views of the Abraham Accords and other foreign policy concerns facing the kingdom.
Dec 8, 2020
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David Pollock
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Russia’s Syrian Refugee Conference Highlights Just How Far Away a Solution Is
After years of military cooperation in a conflict that has displaced millions of Syrians, the Assad regime and Russia arranged for a two-day conference that began on November 11 in Damascus, which they presented as a means to move forward on the issue of Syrian refugees and displaced persons. In
Dec 7, 2020
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Omar Abu Layla
Fikra Forum
Maps & Graphics
Fikra Forum
Lebanon Poll Shows Drop in Hezbollah Support, Even Among Shia; Plurality Back Israel Boundary Talks
Lebanese support for Hezbollah continues to decline and protests remain popular, according to November 2020 polling in Lebanon.
Dec 1, 2020
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David Pollock
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Rise of Kata’ib Hezbollah’s Hegemonic ‘Resistance’
The Iraq-based Kata’ib Hezbollah (KH) is diligently and meticulously working to achieve hegemony among Iran-backed 'resistance' militias in Iraq. The group is positioning itself as the 'true resistance' faction and obliging other Iran-backed groups to follow its lead. In order to achieve this goal, KH is operating on military and
Dec 1, 2020
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Hamdi Malik
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
With the Assad Regime Undaunted by Sanctions, Biden Should Consider Broader Regional Pressure
On July 29, Wassim al-Qattan—a Syrian businessman who owns several Damascus-based companies and who received construction contracts to develop Syrian regime-owned malls and hotels around the city celebrated on Facebook what he called his latest “National Medal.” “How profound we feel today as we receive the third package of medals
Nov 30, 2020
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Kenneth R. Rosen
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Israel at a Crossroad: What Is the Desired Policy Towards Renewed Negotiations with Iran?
A new Biden administration in the United States could mean a return to negotiations between Iran and the international community over its continued nuclear development. In the case of such negotiations, Israel will have to choose whether it wants to handle these negotiations like it handled negotiations for the JCPOA
Nov 24, 2020
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Danny Citrinowicz
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How a Haditha-Haifa Pipeline Would Benefit Iraq
In the midst of ongoing conflict in the Middle East, which partially stems from competition for energy sources, the role of energy transportation lines like pipelines in regional geopolitics can be a double-edged sword. While often a source of conflict and disagreement, the role of pipelines in the region appears
Nov 24, 2020
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Mahdi Al-Bannai
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Israel Faces a Biden Administration: Expected Disputes, Needed Adjustments
The election of Joe Biden as president of the United States requires Israel to reexamine its policies and modes of engagement with his new administration. No one denies that, throughout his years as a politician and vice president, the president-elect has displayed empathy and commitment towards Israel, its security needs
Nov 16, 2020
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Eldad Shavit
Yoel Guzansky
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Syrians Are Increasingly Recognizing Turkey’s Disrupting Role in Syria
Two weeks ago, Turkish authorities released the Syrian brigadier general Ahmed Rahal—who had originally defected from the Syrian regime—after months of detention that observers claim is due to his strong and public critique of the Syrian National Army and the policies of Turkish-backed forces in the liberated areas. Rahal’s detention
Nov 13, 2020
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Ishtar Al Shami
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Biden’s Middle East Policy in his Own Words: Understanding the New Administration’s Priorities
The best means of understanding Biden’s likely Middle East policy is by analyzing his own writing on the question, which suggests that expectations for a major shift in regional policies may remain unmet.
Nov 13, 2020
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Munqith Dagher
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Egypt’s October War Should no Longer Be the State’s Legacy
In a speech last week, Egyptian President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi argued for Muslims worldwide to celebrate the birthday of Prophet Muhammad by being polite like the Prophet and taking the example of his good ethics toward “all the others.” This appeared to be an implicit message on Muslim-Jewish relations during
Nov 10, 2020
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Haisam Hassanein
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Price of Corruption in Iraq: Kadhimi Faces the Challenge of Systemic Reform
On August 27, the government of Prime Minister Mustafa al-Kadhimi formed a committee to investigate major cases of corruption in Iraq, acknowledging the ongoing frustration among Iraqis with the rampant corruption that has plagued the country.
Nov 10, 2020
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Azhar Al-Rubaie
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Coercing Compliance: The Houthis and the Tribes of Northern Yemen
Understanding the relationship between the Houthis and Yemen’s northern tribes helps clarify the limited nature of the relationship, while demonstrating the lasting harm Houthis have made to traditional tribal structures.
Nov 6, 2020
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Adel Dashela
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Low Oil Prices Mean Greater U.S. Involvement Is Needed in the Gulf
During the first half of 2020, global markets saw a significant decline in crude oil prices as a result of the coronavirus pandemic. Though the price of crude oil has since stabilized at a little less than $40 a barrel, crude oil remains at just 40 percent of what it
Nov 5, 2020
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Ahmed Mansouri
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Sudanese-Israeli Normalization with a Popular Flavor
Sudan’s inclusion on the terrorism list has ended after President Trump signed an order to remove Sudan from the State Department’s list of state sponsors of terrorism on October 23, 2020. That decision followed Sudan’s formal agreement to take steps towards normalization with Israel in the wake of four-way talks
Nov 4, 2020
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Areej Elhag
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
How Mangled Dam Diplomacy Is Shaping Iraq’s Water Crisis
Failed international cooperation and an increase in dam construction is threatening Iraq's security.
Nov 4, 2020
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Austin Corona
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iran’s Domestic Woes in Light of U.S. Pressure
Though the recent normalization deal between Israel and several Arab states certainly poses a new challenge to Iran, it is the unique combination of the past year’s events that is pushing the Islamic Republic towards an existential crisis.
Oct 30, 2020
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Firas Elias
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