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All Policy Analysis by Bilal Wahab
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Brief Analysis
The Iraq-Turkey Reset
From water rights to PKK violence, a recent summit seemed to remove several long-festering thorns from the bilateral relationship, creating potential challenges and benefits alike for U.S. interests in Iraq and beyond.
May 29, 2024
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Soner Cagaptay
Selin Uysal
Bilal Wahab
Brief Analysis
What Biden and Sudani Need to Start the Next Chapter of U.S.-Iraq Relations
To move beyond the years-long focus on Iran and the Islamic State, both leaders must commit to actions that set the table for a mutually beneficial relationship and convince skeptical domestic constituencies.
Apr 11, 2024
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Dana Stroul
Bilal Wahab
Brief Analysis
Two Tough Scenarios for U.S.-Iraq Relations
Washington’s ever-narrowing Iraq policy has left it with unpalatable choices, but muddling through is a better short-term option than allowing the relationship to rupture.
Feb 1, 2024
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Bilal Wahab
Maps & Graphics
In-Depth Reports
Family Rule in Iraq and the Challenge to State and Democracy
A handful of personalities have consumed all the country’s political oxygen, dashing hopes for a truly pluralistic ecosystem and requiring creative engagement from U.S. officials.
Dec 19, 2023
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Sardar Aziz
Bilal Wahab
Brief Analysis
Will an Iraqi Front Open in the Hamas-Israel War?
The risky tit-for-tat strikes between U.S. and militia forces are one symptom of a wider competition between rival actors in Iraq—one that American and European officials should work together on containing.
Nov 21, 2023
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Bilal Wahab
Selin Uysal
Articles & Testimony
Iraq’s Delicate Balancing Act With Iran and the U.S.
Despite reassuring U.S. officials during recent meetings, it is unclear whether Prime Minister Sudani can indefinitely placate an angry public or prevent Tehran’s militia proxies from further escalating the situation.
Nov 19, 2023
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Bilal Wahab
Brief Analysis
How to Stop Iraqi Kurdistan’s “Bleeding”
Federal pressure and disastrous internal missteps have brought the KRG to the brink, raising the need for more active U.S. mediation.
Sep 28, 2023
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Bilal Wahab
Brief Analysis
Iraq’s Power Problem (Part 2): Implications of the New Oil-for-Gas Deal with Iran
Baghdad hopes to avoid power cuts, political turmoil, and U.S. sanctions by striking a barter agreement with Tehran, but the deal raises many questions.
Jul 19, 2023
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Bilal Wahab
Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
Twenty Years After the War, Iraq Needs U.S. Support
Much like the Iraqi people are doing, the United States should turn the page on history, engaging on ideas that foster prosperity and enable the relationship’s long-term success.
Apr 19, 2023
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Bilal Wahab
Brief Analysis
Israel May Lose Oil Access in Baghdad-Kurdish Deal
Years of quiet and fairly lucrative oil trading between the Kurds and Israel are now being threatened by messy legal disputes involving Baghdad and Turkey.
Apr 13, 2023
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Simon Henderson
Bilal Wahab
Henry Rome
Video
Brief Analysis
Twenty Years After Saddam: The Future of the U.S.-Iraq Relationship
A Conversation with David Petraeus
A former coalition commander joins Washington Institute experts to discuss the war’s legacy, the country’s current challenges, and how U.S. policy should evolve in response.
Apr 10, 2023
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David Petraeus
Bilal Wahab
Michael Knights
Anna Borshchevskaya
Articles & Testimony
The Rise and Fall of Kurdish Power in Iraq
Despite thirty years of landmark achievements, the KRG’s endless quest for economic independence has only entrenched its internal divisions and kleptocracy while shifting its dependency—from Iraq to Turkey, and from foreign aid to oil revenues.
Spring 2023
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Bilal Wahab
Articles & Testimony
Tipping Point of the Iraq-KRG Energy Dispute
Baghdad’s legal wins won’t mean much if it mishandles the political end, angers Turkey, and further damages the country’s reputation as a reliable oil partner.
Feb 13, 2023
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Bilal Wahab
Brief Analysis
A Baghdad Summit in Amman: Implications for Regional Stability
The French-sponsored event could be a welcome starting point for wider cooperation between Iraq’s new government and its Arab neighbors—particularly Jordan—but only time will tell whether agreements made there come to fruition.
Dec 19, 2022
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Louis Dugit-Gros
Ghaith al-Omari
Bilal Wahab
Articles & Testimony
The Paradox of Centralization and State Fracture in Iraq
Decentralizing power would have been the best way of avoiding a return to Saddam-era authoritarianism and corruption, but Baghdad has favored centralization instead—while simultaneously fissuring the state through sectarian patronage and competition.
Dec 9, 2022
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Bilal Wahab
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
KRG and PA: Reprioritizing Governance over Symbolism
Although Palestinian and Kurdish politics have similarly deteriorated into ineffective blame games, fresh U.S. policies focused on institution-building could restore the promise of progress in both cases.
Dec 2, 2022
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Ghaith al-Omari
Bilal Wahab
Articles & Testimony
Saving Iraqi Sovereignty: Iran, Turkey and a Fractured Homeland
There are ways for the new prime minister to reinforce Iraq’s independence after a series of foreign attacks, but they will be complex and painful.
Nov 27, 2022
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Bilal Wahab
Brief Analysis
Buying Time in Baghdad? What to Expect from Sudani’s Government
The hostile and corrupt forces arrayed behind him might ease their anti-American activities just to reassert their power at home, so Washington should make the new government’s honeymoon a short one—and work around it if necessary to help the Iraqi people.
Nov 3, 2022
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Bilal Wahab
Brief Analysis
Iraq’s Constitutional Moment?
Although the country currently lacks the unity and rule of law needed to safely pursue a process as fraught as amending the constitution, there are several alternatives that could get it on the path to systemic reform.
Sep 27, 2022
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Safwan Al-Amin
Bilal Wahab
Brief Analysis
The U.S. Role in Iraq’s Political Crisis: Guidelines for More Effective Engagement
Disengaging after last year’s election was a costly miscalculation, but Washington can still meet its goals in Iraq by diving into the fray and prioritizing the system over individual political preferences.
Aug 1, 2022
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Bilal Wahab
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