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Fikra Forum
Maps & Graphics
Fikra Forum
Rebuilding Syria May Require Federalism
If Sharaa wants to avoid repeating Assad’s mistakes, he may have to genuinely decentralize political power and establish a federal system, though this would raise difficult questions about resource allocation.
Feb 28, 2025
◆
Fabrice Balanche
Brief Analysis
Post-Paris Steps in Syria Could Be Decisive
With the clock ticking on the post-Assad honeymoon period, Washington still has time to acknowledge the realities on the ground by providing crucial U.S. know-how and strategic support to the international aid, recovery, and counterterrorism missions.
Feb 28, 2025
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Devorah Margolin
Aaron Y. Zelin
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Hassan Nasrallah's Funeral: Iraqi Militia Response and Attendance
Most of the top militia leaders appeared too cowed to show up, but a wide assortment of senior Iraqi "resistance" and political figures did attend, including potential future candidates for prime minister.
Feb 27, 2025
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Ameer al-Kaabi
Hamdi Malik
Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight
In-Depth Reports
Statecraft 2.0
What American Needs to Lead in a Multiplolar World
In a world that is multipolar and America has less relative power, the United States no longer has the luxury to practice statecraft badly.
March 5, 2025
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Dennis Ross
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Somalia: The New Frontline in the Islamic State’s Global Expansion
In its latest propaganda campaign, the Islamic State is underscoring the strategic significance of Somalia in its expansionist agenda.
Feb 27, 2025
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Mustafa Hasan
Video
Brief Analysis
Statecraft 2.0: A Conversation on American Leadership in a Multipolar World
Join us for an expert webcast marking the publication of Institute scholar Dennis Ross's updated book on American grand strategy in today's multipolar world. Watch live starting at 12:00 noon EDT (1700 GMT) on Thursday, Mark 6, 2025.
March 6, 2025, starting at 12:00 noon EDT (1700 GMT)
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Dennis Ross
Thomas Donilon
Susan Glasser
Brief Analysis
Update on Houthi Involvement in Iraq
The cessation of Houthi-Iraqi joint strikes on Israel does not mean that Houthi money-movers and trainers have gone home; more likely, they are now a permanent feature of Iraq and merit close scrutiny from counterterrorism analysts.
Feb 26, 2025
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Sary Mumayiz
Michael Knights
Hamdi Malik
◆
Militia Spotlight
Video
Brief Analysis
Inside the New Syria: The First Three Months
Join us for a webcast featuring diverse local voices from across Syria as they share insights into the post-Assad transition and Western policy options. Watch live starting at 10:00 a.m. EST (1500 GMT) on Wednesday, March 5, 2025.
March 5, 2025, starting at 10:00 a.m. EST (1500 GMT)
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Obayda Ghadban
Gregory Waters
Ferhad Ahma
Sawsan Abou Zainedin
Brief Analysis
Does Syria’s Electricity Crisis Have an Israeli Solution?
Whether authorities call it “Egyptian gas” or “Jordanian gas,” the simple fact is that Israeli offshore supplies could help with Syria’s major power shortage if the necessary arrangements are ironed out.
Feb 24, 2025
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Simon Henderson
Brief Analysis
Inside the Latest PKK Talks (Part 1): Kurdish Actors and Interests
Although past peace efforts have fallen apart due to diplomatic stumbles and Kurdish opposition, the situation on the ground in Iraq, Syria, and Turkey has changed dramatically enough to warrant optimism about Ankara’s current talks.
Feb 21, 2025
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
Inside the Latest PKK Talks (Part 2): Implications for Turkish and U.S. Policy
If Ankara seals the deal and preempts potential spoilers, the results could prove historic for Turkish politics, Erdogan’s legacy, joint counterterrorism efforts, and wider U.S. regional interests.
Feb 21, 2025
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Soner Cagaptay
Brief Analysis
A New Age for Turkish Relations with Syria
Ankara and Washington should offer incentives to the new leadership in Damascus to encourage an inclusive governance process and make Syria work.
Feb 20, 2025
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Soner Cagaptay
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Direct-Operated IRGC-QF Attack Cells in Iraq: Data Related to the Troell Case
The FBI deposition on Steven Troell’s killers and other evidence provides a closer look inside cross-militia Iraq terrorist cells operated by Iran's Qods Force and potentially linked to the facade brand Ashab al-Kahf.
Feb 19, 2025
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Michael Knights
Crispin Smith
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Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Why Secretary Rubio Should Provide Grant Waivers for Urgent Human Rights Work on Iran
Even a short aid freeze can do great damage to programs that are vital to pressuring the Islamic Republic, keeping Washington abreast of developments inside Iran, and ensuring the safety of those fighting for freedom on the ground.
Feb 19, 2025
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Holly Dagres
Video
Brief Analysis
Year Four in Ukraine: NATO Views and Middle East Impact
A senior NATO official joins U.S. and regional experts to discuss how the Trump administration’s initial peacemaking forays might affect the war’s broader geopolitical stakes, from great power competition in the Middle East to rare-earth minerals and Western counter-messaging.
Feb 19, 2025
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Dana Stroul
Anna Borshchevskaya
Javier Colomina
Riad Kahwaji
Brief Analysis
Two Arab Summits Hold the Key to a Viable Gaza Plan
Under heavy pressure from the Trump administration, the Arab states with the most to gain—and lose—in Gaza should be spending the next two weeks doing everything they can to reach consensus on bold, concrete counter-proposals.
Feb 19, 2025
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David Schenker
Ghaith al-Omari
Brief Analysis
When the Riviera Meets the Sumud: Why Palestinian Realities Don’t Mesh with Trump’s Gaza Plan
Trump’s vision to transform Gaza is based on economic and utilitarian considerations, but it fails to take into account the Palestinian connection to the land, which remains a central component of Palestinian national identity.
Feb 18, 2025
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Neomi Neumann
Articles & Testimony
Models for Transitional Justice in Syria
Post-regime experiences in Iraq, Tunisia, and Libya can help officials avoid the same mistakes in Syria, from over-empowering unaccountable armed groups to delaying judicial reform and economic improvements.
Feb 18, 2025
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Mieczyslaw Boduszynski
Sabina Henneberg
Brief Analysis
A Russian Win in Ukraine Would Be a U.S. Loss in the Middle East
With preparatory peace talks in full swing and the war set to enter its fourth year, Washington must take a pragmatic approach to enlisting Arab help and ensuring that the outcome does not empower Moscow and Iran.
Feb 18, 2025
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Anna Borshchevskaya
Video
Brief Analysis
Next Steps in Lebanon: From Ceasefire Extensions to Government Formation
Former military officials and experts from Lebanon and Israel discuss how Beirut’s unsettled political dynamics might affect ongoing implementation of the ceasefire and future peacebuilding efforts.
Feb 14, 2025
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Fadi Daoud
Makram Rabah
Efraim Defrin
Assaf Orion
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