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Brief Analysis
What Would Another Tebboune Victory Mean for U.S.-Algeria Relations?
The incumbent president is set to win another term, but shifting opposition politics at home and geostrategic realities abroad could raise bilateral bumps down the road.
Sep 6, 2024
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Sabina Henneberg
Souhire Medini
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Saraya Talia al-Khurasani
A longstanding partner to Iran's Qods Force and Lebanese Hezbollah, this militia is one of Iraq's most notorious in terms of human rights abuses and rampant criminality.
Sep 6, 2024
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Abdullah Hayek
Sary Mumayiz
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Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iraq’s Watergate and the Fallout for U.S. Relations
The politicized corruption of the country’s best intelligence agency has exploded into a major eavesdropping scandal directed from the prime minister’s office, and Washington should adjust bilateral intelligence sharing accordingly.
Sep 5, 2024
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Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
East Med Politics May Further Delay Cyprus Gas
The island has objected to Chevron’s export proposals with Egypt and might look for other partners.
Sep 5, 2024
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Simon Henderson
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Iraqi Parliament and Child Marriage: Iraqi Child Rights from One Tight Spot to Another
The new amendment has been met with concerns as it is believed to promote child marriage, raising the stakes of this proposed amendment and its potential implications.
Sep 4, 2024
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Bashar AlHadla
Articles & Testimony
How the U.S. Used Arms Sales to Shift Saudi Behavior
Weapons bans have proven to be a fickle tool historically, so why did they work in Riyadh’s case?
Sep 4, 2024
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Elizabeth Dent
Grant Rumley
Articles & Testimony
Banks Not Bullets: A New War Front Opens Up in Libya
Previous civil war combatants are now fighting a financial and resource war over the country’s vast wealth, but Washington and UNSMIL can still exert more leverage than other players if they so choose.
Sep 4, 2024
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Ben Fishman
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
Competition over Kirkuk: Between Internal Conflicts and Regional Rivalries
Kirkuk’s future remains uncertain due to the lack of any consensus-based projects between the governorate’s political actors. Even if these longtime rivals find a way to participate in the local government, it is possible that a slight grievance could devolve into political deadlock.
Aug 30, 2024
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Mohanad Faris
Articles & Testimony
Easier Said than Done: Renewing Maximum Pressure on Iran
New strategic realities and the ever-present challenge of enforcement would make it difficult to reinvigorate the heavy international sanctions regimes seen in past years.
August 2024
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Richard Nephew
Brief Analysis
Prioritizing the West Bank Amid Escalation and Deterioration
Israel’s most significant military operation in the territory since the second intifada highlights the growing danger of a new front opening alongside the Gaza war.
Aug 30, 2024
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Neomi Neumann
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The U.S.-Morocco FTA After Twenty Years
The agreement has not led to the expected levels of economic growth, but Washington can still use it to bolster the bilateral relationship, encourage reform, and open up other markets in Africa.
Aug 30, 2024
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Sabina Henneberg
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Kurdistan Region of Iraq's Strategic Role in ISIS Operations—A Crossroads of Conflict
Effective counter-narratives are required to weaken the group's ideological appeal, especially the propaganda targeting Kurdish populations.
Aug 30, 2024
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Frzand Sherko
Articles & Testimony
Israel Turns Up the Heat on Hezbollah
As the war in Gaza seemingly winds down, the old rules no longer apply in the north.
Aug 29, 2024
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David Schenker
Brief Analysis
Five Lessons from the Sounion Salvage Crisis in the Red Sea
The United States and its partners should take several immediate steps to avoid an environmental disaster, counter the Houthi spin about the incident, and prevent the group from creating other hazmat emergencies in the Red Sea.
Aug 29, 2024
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Noam Raydan
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Hamas Diplomacy: From Haniyeh to Sinwar
The group has sought to build legitimacy and prepare for a postwar role in Gaza by engaging with various countries since October, but the death of Ismail Haniyeh will complicate those efforts.
Aug 28, 2024
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Aaron Y. Zelin
Brief Analysis
Another One-Day War? What the Latest Hezbollah-Israel Clash Reveals About Deterrence and Escalation
Israeli and Lebanese experts join two former U.S. officials to discuss what each party was thinking before, during, and after this weekend’s exchange of strikes—and whether war in the north has become inevitable regardless of near-term de-escalation.
Aug 27, 2024
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Ben Fishman
Hanin Ghaddar
Assaf Orion
Dennis Ross
Articles & Testimony
All of Libya Held Hostage by Gunmen Targeting the Central Bank
A political and literal fight over Libya's top financial institution could enable Russia to enjoy the spoils of war without having to fight one.
Aug 22, 2024
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Ben Fishman
Fikra Forum
Fikra Forum
The Yazidis in Sinjar: When Politics Controls the Fate of Minorities
The greatest concern for small communities in Iraq is the failure of the state to regain its strength and ability to manage the country independently.
Aug 22, 2024
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Izat Noah
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Even After Houthi Attacks, Russia-Linked Tankers Return to Red Sea
The operators are either accepting risk on a vital transport route or else no longer concerned about perceptions about their vessels’ past links to Britain.
Aug 22, 2024
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Noam Raydan
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Maritime Spotlight
Brief Analysis
One Year of the U.S.-Bahrain C-SIPA: Signs of Progress, Regional Potential
The progress the two partners have made through C-SIPA offers a fresh model for future U.S. cooperation with other Middle East countries in the security, economic, and technology sectors.
Aug 21, 2024
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Elizabeth Dent
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