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All Policy Analysis by Alex Almeida
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Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Militia Schisms: The Dissolution of the PMF Northern Axis
The fall (for now) of a senior Turkmen protege of Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis is a reminder that fortunes, favor, and factions are always shifting within the Iran-backed "resistance" scene.
Aug 5, 2024
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Michael Knights
Alex Almeida
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Militia Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iraqi Militias Hit Two U.S. Sites in Iraq and Syria
Iran-backed groups have adopted tight message discipline so far, not claiming either of the attacks in order to avoid U.S. retaliation while simultaneously warning Prime Minister Sudani to keep pushing for U.S. withdrawal.
Apr 22, 2024
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Michael Knights
Hamdi Malik
Crispin Smith
Alex Almeida
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Militia Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Iranian-Made Quds-2 Cruise Missile Photographed in Iraq
Recently used in Houthi attacks from Yemen, this missile family could give Iraqi militias the capacity to target sites in Israel if they choose to escalate their campaign of solidarity with Hamas.
Jan 5, 2024
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Alex Almeida
Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight
Articles & Testimony
What Iran’s Drones in Ukraine Mean for the Future of War
Russia’s effective use of inexpensive Iranian aircraft points to challenges that other states may soon face elsewhere.
Nov 10, 2022
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Michael Knights
Alex Almeida
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Profile: Ahrar Sinjar
This facade group is used to brand "resistance" attacks on Turkish targets and purportedly link the strikes to Yezidi grievances toward Turkey.
Jun 8, 2022
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Hamdi Malik
Michael Knights
Alex Almeida
Anwar al-Zamani
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Militia Spotlight: Profiles
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Ahrar Sinjar: Militia Employment of the Yazidi Community
Ahrar Sinjar is a worrisome example of Iran-backed militias using minorities to undertake cross-border rocket attacks and build terrorist cells in the Kurdistan Region of Iraq.
May 26, 2022
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Michael Knights
Hamdi Malik
Alex Almeida
Anwar al-Zamani
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Militia Spotlight
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
The Muqawama's Duel with Turkey
Turkish counterstrikes may have instilled caution in militia rocketeers, suggesting more attacks may come against U.S. and Kurdish targets instead.
May 17, 2022
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Alex Almeida
Michael Knights
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Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Breaking Point: Consolidating Houthi Military Setbacks in Yemen
Washington can help preserve the recent coalition gains by categorizing the campaign as defensive, deterring further Houthi attacks abroad, and leveraging the next military deadlock to reinvigorate peace talks.
Jan 19, 2022
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Alex Almeida
Michael Knights
In-Depth Reports
Back to Basics
U.S.-Iraq Security Cooperation in the Post-Combat Era
Questions about the viability of the Iraqi security forces—brought into sharp focus by the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan—require a data-led analysis of where the forces are today and what mix of U.S., NATO, and European efforts can help them thrive in the future.
Oct 26, 2021
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Michael Knights
Alex Almeida
Maps & Graphics
Brief Analysis
Muqawama Fake News Surrounding Qasim Muslih’s Arrest (Part 1): International Zone Claims
The first wave of post-arrest deception operations tried to give the false impression that militias controlled the Baghdad zone containing the prime minister's residence, the U.S. embassy, and other sensitive sites.
May 28, 2021
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Michael Knights
Crispin Smith
Alex Almeida
Hamdi Malik
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Militia Spotlight
Brief Analysis
Saving the Yemen Peace Process by Blunting the Houthi Push for Marib
Losing Marib would discredit and debilitate the multilateral peace effort, so the United States should facilitate more energetic Saudi and Emirati support to the city’s defense.
Mar 17, 2021
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Michael Knights
Alex Almeida
Brief Analysis
Kadhimi’s Rolling Reshuffle (Part 1): Military Command Changes
To strengthen Iraq’s capacity for resisting militia and foreign influence, Washington should keep supporting the campaign to remake the military one commander at a time.
Sep 14, 2020
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Michael Knights
Alex Almeida
Brief Analysis
Strengthening the Kadhimi Government (Part 1): Protection and Security Issues
Washington expects Iraqi leaders to put their lives on the line to defend the country’s sovereignty and secure the government center, but they can’t do so without at least a little U.S. help.
Jul 13, 2020
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Michael Knights
Alex Almeida
Brief Analysis
Escalating Houthi Offensives in Yemen: U.S. Options
To keep recent rebel victories from cascading into a wider military collapse, Washington must urge the Gulf coalition to firm up the government’s forces and move more quickly on peace talks.
Mar 6, 2020
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Alex Almeida
Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Yemen’s Fragile Military Balance
The latest string of roller-coaster military developments underlines the need for continued U.S. efforts to guide Saudi, Emirati, and Yemeni officials away from dangerous choices.
Sep 3, 2019
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Alex Almeida
Michael Knights
Brief Analysis
Militias Are Threatening Public Safety in Iraq
Exploding ammo dumps are only one of many problems posed by out-of-control militias, making it more urgent than ever to warehouse heavy weapons, halt mass detentions, and protect Iraqis and Iraq’s investors alike.
Aug 14, 2019
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Michael Knights
Alex Almeida
Brief Analysis
Reshuffling Iraqi Generals: Who Benefits?
Three top commanders have been replaced in northern areas where Iran-backed militias are trying to outmuscle the regular security forces. Washington should find out why.
Jun 6, 2019
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Michael Knights
Alex Almeida
Brief Analysis
The Hodeida Campaign (Part 2): Can Yemen Recapture Major Ports from the Houthi Rebels?
The United States should not interfere in the campaign, which has begun and stands a good chance of succeeding, except through steps to make the operation quicker and less destructive.
May 15, 2018
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Alex Almeida
Michael Knights
Articles & Testimony
The Best Thing America Built in Iraq:
Iraq's Counter Terrorism Service and the Long War Against Militancy
A compact size, high pay, and rigorous standards have helped the service thrive, but now it needs sustained support to become a lasting monument to U.S. good intentions in Iraq.
Jul 19, 2017
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Michael Knights
Alex Almeida
Articles & Testimony
Defeat by Annihilation: Mobility and Attrition in the Islamic State's Defense of Mosul
A detailed look at how the group has chosen to fight the final stages of the battle in northern Iraq, with potential lessons for the next 'last stand' battle in Raqqa.
Apr 18, 2017
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Michael Knights
Alex Almeida
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